CDZ Wow! Some Proprietary Market Indicators

Discussion in 'Clean Debate Zone' started by william the wie, Jul 9, 2016.

  1. Mac1958
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    Mac1958 Diamond Member

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    The "experts" and pundits have been telling us since early February that the market was frothy and it was gonna crash.

    The S&P is up about 14% since then.

    Probably best not to try to time the market.
    .
     
  2. waltky
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    waltky Wise ol' monkey Supporting Member

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    This gonna sink Granny...

    ... Uncle Ferd gonna have to fix up her ol' apple cart...

    ... so she can sell apples onna street corner.
     
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  3. william the wie
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    william the wie Gold Member

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    Actually loss avoidance timing strategies increase returns markedly at less than 80% accuracy.
     
  4. Moonglow
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    Moonglow Diamond Member

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    And put communist in power..
     
  5. Dekster
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    Dekster Gold Member

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    I think Hillary's problem is that it is hard for her to walk the line between the civil unrest and her pandering to minority groups whose support she needs. If she panders, she risks alienating other groups like unions/middle-class whites. I probably should not have gone down this rad though as I didn't desire to derail the thread from the economic issues.

    The jobs numbers make no sense. To go from a revised 11K new jobs and a lower unemployment rate to almost 300K new jobs and a higher unemployment rate the following month sounds very fishy to me. Auto sales being down in the US and the Bank of England preparing to cut interest rates a full quarter are not good signs to me.
     
  6. Holos
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    Holos Senior Member

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    I feel that because each of the concepts you have posted about are of such a wide reaching complexity, a constructive debate on the topic which binds them would require the introduction of your comprehension of them first.

    Your indications seem impenetrable from the goal of having a debate.
     
  7. william the wie
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    william the wie Gold Member

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    Some truth to that. I am more interested in obtaining new information about how to better ensure return of capital than return on capital.
     
  8. Dekster
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    Dekster Gold Member

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    What is your time horizon on investments? The bond market does not look like a good place to be and it certainly does not look bright for the global economy. UK lowering interest rates; US not expected to raise rates again until late next year; Japan about to go on another run of QE. When long-term bond investors or so absolutely bearish on the economy, it causes me to question how long even the stock indexes can hold ground. China will probably continue to throw out good ROI's in the near term, but in the words of Ted, "Bill, strange things are afoot at the Circle K."
     
  9. william the wie
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    william the wie Gold Member

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    Don't have one as such Buffett the greatest living investor and his mentor Graham the greatest investor of all time did not have a time horizons either. My position is to write covered puts on safe issues with a put to call ratio of three or greater and an APR on the premium I receive in excess of 15%. My current problem is that I already have positions in all issues that meet my criteria that I am aware of. That results in me being 60% in cash at the moment.
     
  10. Picaro
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    Picaro Gold Member

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    Giant sucker rally going on today.
     

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