Willfull ignorance, then and now

Dr. Trenberth is absolutely correct. And more violent and chaotic weather systems with more precipitation, as a result of global warming, are exactly what the climate scientists have been predicting for the last few decades.

“Given that global warming is unequivocal,” climate scientist Kevin Trenberth cautioned the American Meteorological Society in January of this year, “the null hypothesis should be that all weather events are affected by global warming rather than the inane statements along the lines of ‘of course we cannot attribute any particular weather event to global warming.’”


ThinkProgress » Storms Kill Over 250 Americans In States Represented By Climate Pollution Deniers

I actually like Trenberth. While he does have an ideology to promote he seldom actually lies about the science.

....the uncertainty in AR5's climate predictions and projections will be much greater than in previous IPCC reports, primarily because of the factors noted above. This could present a major problem for public understanding of climate change. Is it not a reasonable expectation that as knowledge and understanding increase over time, uncertainty should decrease? But while our knowledge of certain factors does increase, so does our understanding of factors we previously did not account for or even recognize.

this is an interesting quote. Trenberth actually admits that when the IPCC starts taking more factors into account the uncertainty will increase!!. what does that say about the reality of their previous declarations of 'certainty'? if your model only accounts for a few factors and you say it is 90% likely to be accurate what does it mean if you ADD more factors and it becomes less likely to be certain? obviously the first model wasnt 90% certain in the first place was it?




That is certainly a logical interpretation of his statement.
 

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