Trajan
conscientia mille testes
Just thinking out loud here.......he started campaigning for dollars, so I'll start grinding the speculation machine........
I am actually surprised that the media has not at least thought of a scenario and whiz-banged it in their usual fashion ( maybe they are waiting for a slower news day) or trump to get out of the headlines, before they float any thoughts as to Obama and his team spying some weakness ( in demographics) that could turn fatal and decide to freshen things up, add some pizazz and bring on a new Veep.
.... he won't match the previous intensity level of 08 across the board, thats always a one off, the 18-24 won't vote in the same numbers, he won't get as many blue collar whites (which was problematic first time around in any event) , he'll still get over 90% of the black vote BUT how many of them will vote compared to 08, independents if they stay luke warm or actually stay or go colder etc etc. status of the economy, the appeal of the republican front runner and to WHOM they appeal, the status of the economy etc...
Its all an 'informed' calculation across a myriad of demo's vis a vis trends/polling etc.
like some living breathing slot machine, put in the data, pull the lever watch the fruit line up and ?....
he will run unchallenged so the convention means little, he should have an intact ticket when the primary starts.....that leaves us till Feb...
And if he switches, who do you think he would consider?
I am actually surprised that the media has not at least thought of a scenario and whiz-banged it in their usual fashion ( maybe they are waiting for a slower news day) or trump to get out of the headlines, before they float any thoughts as to Obama and his team spying some weakness ( in demographics) that could turn fatal and decide to freshen things up, add some pizazz and bring on a new Veep.
.... he won't match the previous intensity level of 08 across the board, thats always a one off, the 18-24 won't vote in the same numbers, he won't get as many blue collar whites (which was problematic first time around in any event) , he'll still get over 90% of the black vote BUT how many of them will vote compared to 08, independents if they stay luke warm or actually stay or go colder etc etc. status of the economy, the appeal of the republican front runner and to WHOM they appeal, the status of the economy etc...
Its all an 'informed' calculation across a myriad of demo's vis a vis trends/polling etc.
like some living breathing slot machine, put in the data, pull the lever watch the fruit line up and ?....
he will run unchallenged so the convention means little, he should have an intact ticket when the primary starts.....that leaves us till Feb...
And if he switches, who do you think he would consider?
