Will 2010 Be Another 1994?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Erik the Red, Jan 11, 2010.

  1. Erik the Red
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    Erik the Red Rookie

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    Do you remember election day 1994? Though I lived on Long Island (as I do now), I was in Oklahoma at the time to attend my grandmother’s funeral. It was almost as surreal as that Orson Wells hoax when there were alleged UFO sightings everywhere. When I turned on the radio, it was as if another Democrat had gone up in smoke and some rookie Republican was taking his place. Ted Kennedy won, but only after the political fight of his life to that point. The People had become sick and disillusioned by the Donkey Party and, as evidenced by the election results, were ready for something different. The GOP tsunami had rolled in and they had a glorious opportunity to hold and build power for a long time.

    Of course, we know the rest of the story. Not unlike a playoff baseball game where the visiting team is leading five to one in the bottom of the ninth with nobody on base, the relief pitcher gets sloppy and throws a fastball down the middle of the plate, only to see it launched into the upper deck behind left field. Then, because the enemy has finally seen a weakness, this pitcher gives up three singles in a row. Now the manger has no choice but to pull him and bring in the relief pitcher he had hoped to save for the next night. This is so he can face the home team’s big gun who is now at the plate. It is already five to two and the bases are loaded. Lo and behold, the big gun does the expected and hits a four hundred and fifty foot grand slam homerun into the parking lot, cracking a couple of windshields in the process. However, the crowd is oblivious to the damaged cars and are screaming their guts out as their players round the bases and are met by their jubilant teammates while, at the same time, the players, who just a few minutes earlier seemed to have the game in the bag, walk off the field with their heads down in total shock.

    The same thing happened within a short couple of years to the GOP. They had their boots firmly planted on the back of the Democrats necks and were seemingly cruising down the tracks in a power they had not experienced in decades. The only ones who could mess it up were themselves. And that is what they did.

    Did they learn from their mistakes? That remains to be seen.

    In 2010, we have an election year where, again, there are a lot of Democratic constituents who are displeased with their representatives. Their voices have been ignored regarding such important topics as gay rights, abortion, and health care. For gay rights and abortion, this is more serious since these are subjects where these supporters were made promises during the 2008 campaign but have been dissed to this point. Regarding health care, many Democrats – particularly senior citizens – loudly and clearly voiced their disapproval of a government-run program yet nary a compromise was struck by their votees.

    Some people will undoubtedly vote for their party member regardless of how lame of a job that person has done on their behalf. But you can be assured that many place credence on actual issues as opposed to personalities. In this age of financial crisis, a mentality of “what have you done for me lately” is growing by leaps and bounds. What I plan to do personally (it’s called ‘putting my money where my mouth is’) is to start in my own neighborhood and inform as many people face to face as are willing to listen how their Congressperson or Senator has voted on key issues that directly affect them. For those whose minds are already made up, I likely won’t get in the door in the first place. But for those who are either on the fence, who don’t generally follow politics closely, or who aren’t aware of many of the issues, raised eyebrows are inevitable. And why wouldn’t they be? Politics are very important because they touch everyone’s lives in some capacity, whether that person gives a hoot or not.

    It rarely ceases to amaze me how there are so many who can quote a one hundred year old baseball statistic or who knows every word of Oprah’s book but can not tell me who their Congressperson is. This is something that needs to change. And when it does, real change will follow.

    Happy 2010
     
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  2. WillowTree
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    WillowTree Diamond Member

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    don't you recall the bright young voters of 2008? They could tell you all about Mrs. Palin and the lies put forth but for the life of em they could not tell you who was on the ticket with the obamalama.. oh well, priorities ya know?
     
  3. Baruch Menachem
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    Baruch Menachem '

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    Don't see the anger yet.

    Abramahoff and the Page scandal are still fresh in people's memories.

    And there really hasn't been the insane level of entitlement on the democrat side there was in 94.
    94 wasn't just about hillarycare. There was the bank, there was Jim Wright's book deal and the whitewash by the ethics committee. The whole Lincoln mess (No, Senator McCain, I have not forgotten that one).. It just piled on and on.

    There was Madison Guarantee too. And the monks with all that money to spend on Presidential campaigns.

    It will take a lot more than what we have seen so far to make that kind of change.


    And there is also the reality that the banking crisis and the huge increase in unemployment took place on Bush's watch. I give Frank, Geitner, and Dodd much of the credit for that. But Bush is the man asleep at the switch.

    It is a long 11 months. Eggs haven't even been laid yet.... lets not count chickens for a while yet
     
  4. rightwinger
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    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    No
     
  5. Erik the Red
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    Erik the Red Rookie

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    Baruch,

    Unemployment has almost doubled and the national deficit almost quadrupled on Obama's watch - in just one year.
     
  6. Sinatra
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    Sinatra Senior Member

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    The anger is indeed there - fueled by widespread uncertainty as to what exaclty is coming.

    If Brown wins the Mass. Senate race - watch out folks, the momentum is going to shift into ultra high gear - and 2010 could actually eclipse 1994.

    While not yet likely - it remains possible...
     
  7. EriktheRed
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    EriktheRed Eh...

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    wtf!?!?!
     
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  8. uptownlivin90
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    uptownlivin90 Rebelious Youngin

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    No. Unless something drastic happens with the economy in 2010 (unemployment hitting 13-14%), I don't think this is going to be a huge tsunami of Republican anger against the democrats, and I don't think the Dems have MUCH to fear. There will be some minor changes though.

    -I'm betting Harry Reid will not be Senate Majority Leader in 2011.:eusa_whistle:
    -I'm betting the Missouri seat up for grabs that used to be republican will be taken by Carnahan the Democrat.
    -I'm betting the Blanche Lincoln looses her seat to a republican.:clap2:
    -I'm betting that Dorgan's seat will go republican.
    -I'm betting Dodd's seat will remain Democratic.
    -I'm betting the seat in Ohio goes Democratic (hopefully Tim Ryan).:eusa_pray:

    There's a few interesting races I'm going to love watching this year. Florida... comes to mind instantly because of the Rubio-Crist battle which just keeps getting uglier and uglier. Either candidate winning is going to alienate somebody. Crist winning would probably cause a redo of the 23rd district mess that occured in NY last year. Wouldn't be suprised if we have a third party candidate run if Crist wins the Republican nomination.

    I imagine that Rubio will have a hard time selling himself to the moderates and democrats that Crist has always been able to rely on to win elections in a general election after the battle that he helped waged against the "moderate conservative traitor candidate".:lol:

    Floridian democrats need to prepare to take advantage of this, and get a moderate, or atleast likeable candidate like that Jewish congresswoman (forget her name) from Broward County and run a smart hands off campaign and let the republicans rip themselves apart, like they did in the 23rd district.

    My guess is all together Democrats will have around a 55-45 majority in 2011 in the senate, simply because there will be alot of loses, but there is hope in a few gains to be made as well. The margin of loss might be greater for Dems in the house, though.

    I think the tea party dynamic will prove to be the most dangerous to republicans.

    I think of the seats democrats gain in the house there are going to be more fiscal responsability and populist candidates, mostly coming out of the midwest. I think the south will go republican again.

    Another good prediction to be made... Michael Steele won't be the RNC chairman come 2011 either.:lol:
     
    Last edited: Jan 11, 2010
  9. Article 15
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    Article 15 Dr. House slayer

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    Well that didn't take long ....
     
  10. blu
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    blu Senior Member

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    I dont know why the Rs think that anyone will vote for them. its not like they wouldn't be doing the same exact thing the Ds are now
     

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