Why Do We Trust Climate Models?

Discussion in 'Environment' started by IanC, Jan 3, 2011.

  1. IanC
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    IanC Gold Member

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    climate models are tweaked to give results that look similar to actual past data, using simplistic methods that do not match what happens in reality. mother nature produces corrections that overshoot, large ones that counter the disrurption, smaller one in the other direction, then smaller one in the first direction, etc. models dont.

    the models simply dont use the same homeostatic methods that reality does. they dont replicate cloud systems, they need ocean currents as inputs rather than predict them, and every model uses 'aerosols' as a method to tweak the result rather than just a measured input.
     
  2. Old Rocks
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    Old Rocks Diamond Member

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    Climate models are attempts to predict how the climate will change under known forcings. Not even the scientists who create them "trust" them. They use them, and the deviations from them to try to create better models. Were you to actually read what the people that are creating these models say, you would sound less shrill. In fact, you might go the the lectures of the last two AGU Conferances, and check the videos by the scientists that actually study climate.
     

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