Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Donald Polish, Mar 12, 2015.
Right now all signs point to Hillary.
Highly unlikely we'll know the outcome of the 2016 election until sometime in 2017.
Bernie Sanders. That's who I want. I THINK John Kasich has a good chance IF he runs. Republican governor who is moderate from a swing state (Ohio) who has been re elected.
Hard to see how any Republican could win, being that the EC can't be gerrymandered.
Demographics. By 2016, the Obama 2012 states are a lock. North Carolina leans Democratic. Georgia and Arizona still lean Republican, but the GOP will have to invest a lot of effort to keep them.
I think Hillary will have trouble in the western blue states like Colorado and maybe Nevada. The democrats there are more the "new age" democrats who wanna legalize marijuana and such, and not the union-loving, older crowd types you find out east. By 2016 I think it's going to be really hard for a Republican to win Nevada though, so it's really just Colorado she needs to watch.
What's kinda interesting is that with the current electoral college the way it is the GOP needs to make inroads into blue-leaning states like New Hampshire, Nevada, Virginia, and Colorado, while the Democrats can win more or less on their own turf. They can get to 270 while losing all the red-leaning states like Ohio, Florida, North Carolina, and Missouri.
If Hillary wins in Florida the GOP is almost completely shut out from getting to 270 regardless of how other states go.
With the way voting trends play out as long as the Democrats can win in either Virginia or Colorado getting to 270 should be easy. Since Hillary is the inevitable nominee and she's likely to face trouble in Colorado, it would be in her best interests to secure Virginia. Since Virginia is huge in military spending and Clinton is a big war hawk it should be easy to win here, also she'll have her right hand man McAuliffe as governor of the state.
but what if Hillary develops heart related ailments into her campaign? something to consider, remember, she's pushing 70 and under a lot of stress! Like Chris Christie !!
Would another stroke be considered "heart related"?
The GOP will redouble their voter suppression and vote theft though.
Republicans need something bigger than a second e-mail account to beat Hillary with. Heck, I've forgotten how many e-mail accounts I have.
As far as Benghazi is concerned, the only people who care about that are people who would never vote for Hillary anyway.
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