Which Way Will China come to the Table?

[william the wie]

All the non-Han groups plus Hong Kong are upset with Beijing. Han Chinese are shrinking as a proportion of China's population. This is a result of the one child and femicide policies. The Labor force fraction is shrinking much faster than advertised due to earlier retirement ages, 55 for women and 60 for men, than the ILO norms of 65. China has the largest military in the world, which also shrinks the LFF.

The main economic threat to China is the USMCA. Mexico can often underbid China, particularly east of the Rockies.

China's attempt to expand its empire makes it easier to sell weapons to Southeast Asia so that the People's army will have to be expanded. Every increase in the size of the army, secret police and emigration also reduces the LFF. So, which will be the decisive problem for China?

 

[Rambunctious]

China is out of control...they are seeking global dominance and people are purposely turning a blind eye to it.....Trump is trying to slow them down by keeping them from cheating the world in trade....we had better wake up and get on board and stop the stupid hate Trump games....

 

[MarathonMike]

Michael Pillsbury is one of America's foremost experts on China. He is not optimistic about China coming to the table anytime soon. He wrote a book on China that details their VERY long term plans to overtake America as the global super power.

 

[Rambunctious]

We should all be very concerned about China's goals....we had better stop with the Trump impeachment BS and get together as one so China will begin to pay attention.....the dems by not standing with Trump is giving China exactly what they want...a divided America....and before you libs say But but but Trump is mean...you must know the dems would be doing this to Jeb too....

 

[william the wie]

Michael Pillsbury is one of America's foremost experts on China. He is not optimistic about China coming to the table anytime soon. He wrote a book on China that details their VERY long term plans to overtake America as the global super power.
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This is not some snide remark but a good case can be made that China has had the same goals and the same government structure for 2,000 + years. China has been on the outs with Japan, north Korea and you name the place for about the same number of years. Given that record of failure I concur with Pillsbury but for a different reason, the current dynasty is in the process of losing the mandate of heaven big time.