What to Make of Declining Democratic Registration?

longknife

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Sep 21, 2012
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by John Hinderaker @ What to Make of Declining Democratic Registration? | Power Line

On our podcast today, Brian Ward, Steve Hayward and I talked about the obviously bogus polls that purport to show Barack Obama with a big lead in various swing states, even though those same polls show Romney winning independent voters by significant margins. Those results make sense only if enormous numbers of voters are signing up as Democrats. But is there any evidence of any such trend? Not at all; the evidence is entirely to the contrary. Hugh Hewitt, among others, has been talking about these data:

Voter registration in the Buckeye State is down by 490,000 people from four years ago. Of that reduction, 44 percent is in Cleveland and surrounding Cuyahoga County, where Democrats outnumber Republicans more than two to one. …

Ohio is not alone. An August study by the left-leaning think tank Third Way showed that the Democratic voter registration decline in eight key swing states outnumbered the Republican decline by a 10-to-one ratio. In Florida, Democratic registration is down 4.9 percent, in Iowa down 9.5 percent. And in New Hampshire, it’s down down 19.7 percent. …

The Third Way study, which was conducted in August, indicates the Democrats’ drop in registered voters coincides with a gain in independent voters.

And all of the polls show that Romney is doing well with independent voters; far better, obviously, than with Democrats. This is just one more example of how inconsistent the data are, on the basis of which the Democratic Party media are boosting Barack Obama’s campaign.

:cool:
 
It's not declining.

The registration is not what it was the first time a black man made history by running as a democrat. It's back down to normal levels.
 
Paul Ryan: “We’re going to win this race.”

Ryan, confident about victory, says debates will offer voters 'very clear choice' | Fox News

I hope Ryan is right but he polls are not looking too good. Rasmussen tracking in the swing states today shows Romney trailing Obama by four points, 44% to 48%.

Daily Swing State Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

And even those polls are weighted and adjusted. The best guestimate is no one knows. There is so much false information coming from all sides that it's impossible to really know. The election is still, even at this late date, in a state of flux. No one knows what effect the Libyan fiasco will have, or the Univision expose of Fast and Furious. Romney's make up is a HUGE issue to hispanics, but dead hispanics aren't.
 
Hey Katz.... About what you said regarding Fast and Furious. If Romney's campaign is smart enough to address this issue... It may be a good oportunity for Romney to make gains with hispanics in this election.
 
Maybe this has something to do with it:


Aggressive recruitment efforts in one of California's most hotly contested voting districts has created a surge of newly minted Republicans like Marleny Reyes. Except she had no intention of joining the GOP.

The Moreno Valley College student is among scores of voters in Riverside County who say they were duped.

Formal complaints filed with the state by at least 133 residents of a state Senate district there say they were added to GOP rolls without their knowledge, calling into question the party's boast that Republican membership has rocketed 23% in the battleground area.

More than 27,700 residents of the legislative district have become Republicans since January, according to the California secretary of state's office — erasing a registration edge long held by Democrats.

The complaints have also shined a light on the political committee behind the registration drive, Golden State Voter Participation Project, and its biggest donor, wealthy GOP activist Charles Munger Jr. Other donors include the California Apartment Assn., Farmers Group Inc. and Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturing of America.


Riverside County GOP registration surge raises questions of fraud - latimes.com


If it's going on in California, then maybe...
 

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