IndependntLogic
Senior Member
- Jul 14, 2011
- 2,997
- 399
- 48
What Obama Should Do Next. Is he Re-Electable? This is a question that those on the Far Right would immediately answer with a resounding "No!". On the other side, you have the Far Left with the opposite opinion. Right now, it looks like (barring an X-Factor), Obama will probably win a close race. My personal estimate is Obama 290, Romney 248.
I thought Obama made a huge mistake with the whole Birth Control thing but it seems it was a very shrewd red herring on his part. According to right-leaning Gallup, it has cost him nothing among Catholics. Also, Catholic Health Systems has issued a press release thanking President Obama for his compromise. But the GOP is discussing it every day. This occupies twice the news time as gas prices and much more than unemployment. Oops.
As seen below, as of 3/1/12 his current lead over Romney in the combined average of seven polls is +6 points:
Rasmussen Tracking 2/28 - 3/1 1500 LV 48 42 Obama +6
Politico/GWU/Battleground 2/19 - 2/22 1000 LV 53 43 Obama +10
USA Today/Gallup 2/20 - 2/21 881 RV 47 47 Tie
Associated Press/GfK 2/16 - 2/20 1000 A 51 43 Obama +8
Quinnipiac 2/14 - 2/20 2605 RV 46 44 Obama +2
Democracy Corps (D) 2/11 - 2/14 1000 LV 49 45 Obama +4
CNN/Opinion Research 2/10 - 2/13 937 RV 51 46 Obama +5
Prior to the Birth Control issue, he led Romney by only 2 points. This issue is obviously working in his favor.
Now it's time to get smart again. His talk about green technology liberating us from a long term problem is appealing to his base but we Independents aren't as impressed. Now I don't complain about gas prices because it was my choice to buy a ginormous gas-guzzling sedan. But I'm the exception to the rule. Regardless of T. Boone Pickens' assertion that politicians don't determine prices, a lot of people will blame Obama anyway. And they have a point. He may not have caused them but he can effect them.
Obama should state that yes, he's continuing his Green Program or whatever the hell it's called AND he's immediately lifting the ban on offshore drilling. Better us than China and Cuba. He should announce the acceleration of the EIS for Keystone XL and that he will approve a route within three weeks. He should make it clear he is opening the floodgates to allow domestic more domestic leases. Leave the SPR alone. ANWAR isn't necessarily needed either. Open offshore drilling, public land leases and Keystone XL, and the speculators are going to have a VERY hard time justifying $5 a gallon. It will offer the additional benefit of sending OPEC a clear message that we are serious about providing for ourselves.
What then? Throw out a couple more diversionary issues. Grutter v. Bollinger is going before the Supreme Court soon. Obama has publicly stated that he doesn't support Affirmative Action as practiced at the University of Michigan. But he should publicly announce that he feels this is a very important issue.
He should also put out some soundbites that he feels the examination and striking down of racial profiling etc... as proposed in AZ SB1070 (the AZ immigration law) is a huge victory for Real Americans. Put it in words just like that. Inflame the Far Right. If they run with it to the Extreme Right the way they have about birth control, Obama is guaranteed the minority vote.
The final two strategies I think he should implement are:
#1. Attack the GOP using only the words of non-Democrats.
"Moody's stated the reason for the downgrade was directly attributable to the inability of the US Congress' to approve the debt ceiling."
"I would not have bailed out the auto industry."
"The GOP took a pledge that they would take no action that will result in an increase in taxes - until it comes to one that benefits the Middle Class."
"Mitt Romney doesn't care about the Middle Class." and so on from Newt Gingrich, Santorum, Bachmann et. al.
#2. I think he's been sand-bagging and is just waiting to do this: Brag about his record of accomplishments. Now of course, The Far Right will go into denial about every fact, figure and anything else that makes Obama look good. But they don't count. Like the Far Left, they don't determine elections.
Regardless of what they say, Obama has a lot of facts working in his favor as far as his record for the last year. Not opinons or spin. Facts that only the Extreme Right even try to deny. It's time for him to quite being so darn humble!
(LOL! I Know our Extreme Conservative friends are going to love that one!).
Facts:
* Dow has gone up over 85% since Obama took office.
* GDP is up.
* Unemployment has been on a consistent downward trend.
* Manufacturing is up.
* GM & Chrysler are showing profits.
* We got Osama bin Laden
* We're out of Iraq.
* We've announced the withdrawal from Afghanistan. No more Bush wars.
* We got in and out of Libya without huge cost or casualties.
* He repealed DADT.
* He refunded the Veterans Administration and double the counselors.
* Closed the hole in MediCare for seniors.
I'm not saying Obama is responsible for all those things. American voters don't read long, detailed articles and posts. They listen to 15 - 30 second soundbites. There are a lot of soundbites in the list above.
Barring the X-Factor, I see Obama winning 290 to 248. Better if it's not Romney.
The fact that I'm voting for Obama this year doesn't make me a Democrat. That's what The RIght wishes. What it means is that Obama does better with Independents than the GOP candidates are doing.
Oh and for the whackjobs out there. The fact that I'm voting for Obama this year doesn't make me a Democrat. That's what you wish. What it means is that Obama does better with Independents than your guys do. Those of you who can't tackle issues and facts (you know who you are
) will post about me instead of the topics covered above. SO easy to predict...
I thought Obama made a huge mistake with the whole Birth Control thing but it seems it was a very shrewd red herring on his part. According to right-leaning Gallup, it has cost him nothing among Catholics. Also, Catholic Health Systems has issued a press release thanking President Obama for his compromise. But the GOP is discussing it every day. This occupies twice the news time as gas prices and much more than unemployment. Oops.
As seen below, as of 3/1/12 his current lead over Romney in the combined average of seven polls is +6 points:
Rasmussen Tracking 2/28 - 3/1 1500 LV 48 42 Obama +6
Politico/GWU/Battleground 2/19 - 2/22 1000 LV 53 43 Obama +10
USA Today/Gallup 2/20 - 2/21 881 RV 47 47 Tie
Associated Press/GfK 2/16 - 2/20 1000 A 51 43 Obama +8
Quinnipiac 2/14 - 2/20 2605 RV 46 44 Obama +2
Democracy Corps (D) 2/11 - 2/14 1000 LV 49 45 Obama +4
CNN/Opinion Research 2/10 - 2/13 937 RV 51 46 Obama +5
Prior to the Birth Control issue, he led Romney by only 2 points. This issue is obviously working in his favor.
Now it's time to get smart again. His talk about green technology liberating us from a long term problem is appealing to his base but we Independents aren't as impressed. Now I don't complain about gas prices because it was my choice to buy a ginormous gas-guzzling sedan. But I'm the exception to the rule. Regardless of T. Boone Pickens' assertion that politicians don't determine prices, a lot of people will blame Obama anyway. And they have a point. He may not have caused them but he can effect them.
Obama should state that yes, he's continuing his Green Program or whatever the hell it's called AND he's immediately lifting the ban on offshore drilling. Better us than China and Cuba. He should announce the acceleration of the EIS for Keystone XL and that he will approve a route within three weeks. He should make it clear he is opening the floodgates to allow domestic more domestic leases. Leave the SPR alone. ANWAR isn't necessarily needed either. Open offshore drilling, public land leases and Keystone XL, and the speculators are going to have a VERY hard time justifying $5 a gallon. It will offer the additional benefit of sending OPEC a clear message that we are serious about providing for ourselves.
What then? Throw out a couple more diversionary issues. Grutter v. Bollinger is going before the Supreme Court soon. Obama has publicly stated that he doesn't support Affirmative Action as practiced at the University of Michigan. But he should publicly announce that he feels this is a very important issue.
He should also put out some soundbites that he feels the examination and striking down of racial profiling etc... as proposed in AZ SB1070 (the AZ immigration law) is a huge victory for Real Americans. Put it in words just like that. Inflame the Far Right. If they run with it to the Extreme Right the way they have about birth control, Obama is guaranteed the minority vote.
The final two strategies I think he should implement are:
#1. Attack the GOP using only the words of non-Democrats.
"Moody's stated the reason for the downgrade was directly attributable to the inability of the US Congress' to approve the debt ceiling."
"I would not have bailed out the auto industry."
"The GOP took a pledge that they would take no action that will result in an increase in taxes - until it comes to one that benefits the Middle Class."
"Mitt Romney doesn't care about the Middle Class." and so on from Newt Gingrich, Santorum, Bachmann et. al.
#2. I think he's been sand-bagging and is just waiting to do this: Brag about his record of accomplishments. Now of course, The Far Right will go into denial about every fact, figure and anything else that makes Obama look good. But they don't count. Like the Far Left, they don't determine elections.
Regardless of what they say, Obama has a lot of facts working in his favor as far as his record for the last year. Not opinons or spin. Facts that only the Extreme Right even try to deny. It's time for him to quite being so darn humble!
(LOL! I Know our Extreme Conservative friends are going to love that one!).
Facts:
* Dow has gone up over 85% since Obama took office.
* GDP is up.
* Unemployment has been on a consistent downward trend.
* Manufacturing is up.
* GM & Chrysler are showing profits.
* We got Osama bin Laden
* We're out of Iraq.
* We've announced the withdrawal from Afghanistan. No more Bush wars.
* We got in and out of Libya without huge cost or casualties.
* He repealed DADT.
* He refunded the Veterans Administration and double the counselors.
* Closed the hole in MediCare for seniors.
I'm not saying Obama is responsible for all those things. American voters don't read long, detailed articles and posts. They listen to 15 - 30 second soundbites. There are a lot of soundbites in the list above.
Barring the X-Factor, I see Obama winning 290 to 248. Better if it's not Romney.
The fact that I'm voting for Obama this year doesn't make me a Democrat. That's what The RIght wishes. What it means is that Obama does better with Independents than the GOP candidates are doing.
Oh and for the whackjobs out there. The fact that I'm voting for Obama this year doesn't make me a Democrat. That's what you wish. What it means is that Obama does better with Independents than your guys do. Those of you who can't tackle issues and facts (you know who you are
) will post about me instead of the topics covered above. SO easy to predict...
