What about the Senate races ?

fubar

Member
Aug 8, 2004
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I have been so caught up in the Presidential race that i haven't evn looked into what is going on with the Senator/Rep's races.

Is our re elected pres. going to have a stronger majority to get things done?
 
US SENATE
Balance of Power: 51 Republicans, 48 Democrats and 1 Independent (Vermont)
(GOP has 15 seats to defend, two open. Democrats have 19 to defend, five open.)



 Republican-Held(red) ||  Democrat-Held(blue) ||  Open Republican (light red)||  Open Democrat (light blue)
Retiring Senators: Campbell (R-CO); Fitzgerald (R-IL); Nickles (R-OK);
Edwards (D-NC); Hollings (D-SC); Miller (D-GA); Graham (D-FL); Breaux (D-LA)



senate.Par.0004.ImageFile.gif
 
Here's one prediction of the Senate elections by state in a chart showing the probabilities of reelection of the incumbants:

http://www.econ.umn.edu/~amoro/Research/senprobs.html

According to these probabilities (and assuming that open seats are assigned with probability 50/50), republicans have 75% probability of retaining control of at least 51 seats.

It's interesting that the probability of John Edwards being reelected if he was running again would have been the lowest at only 67%. :clap1:
 
DKSuddeth said:
the dems will take back illinois, keyes can't keep up with obama

No joke! Nearly 1/2 the previous Rep. administration is in jail or heading that way, including the indicted governor. No surprise there DK. IL was never in play.
 
ScreamingEagle said:
It's interesting that the probability of John Edwards being reelected if he was running again would have been the lowest at only 67%. :clap1:
If (hopefully when) Edwards isn't made VP, is he not running again for Senate in NC?
 
UsaPride said:
If (hopefully when) Edwards isn't made VP, is he not running again for Senate in NC?

Nope he aint running for reelection in North Carolina because he cant win.
 
Avatar4321 said:
Nope he aint running for reelection in North Carolina because he cant win.
Whew!! His first term and he blew us off to campaign. Helluva Senator :bang3:
 
The race here in Missouri is very close. Current State Treasurer Nancy Farmer is running against incumbent Kit Bond, who has skated by the last two times he's been up for re-election (1992 and 1998). I think the Democrats have a good chance of taking the Senate, but neither party will have more than a one or two vote majority.

acludem
 

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