What about the Senate races ?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by fubar, Sep 13, 2004.

  1. fubar
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    fubar Member

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    I have been so caught up in the Presidential race that i haven't evn looked into what is going on with the Senator/Rep's races.

    Is our re elected pres. going to have a stronger majority to get things done?
     
  2. padisha emperor
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    padisha emperor Senior Member

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    I've read that a new electoral cutting has been done.

    In some state, like in Iowa, it can be good for the democrates.

    (I've read it in a US newspapper)
     
  3. MtnBiker
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    MtnBiker Senior Member

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    US SENATE
    Balance of Power: 51 Republicans, 48 Democrats and 1 Independent (Vermont)
    (GOP has 15 seats to defend, two open. Democrats have 19 to defend, five open.)



     Republican-Held(red) ||  Democrat-Held(blue) ||  Open Republican (light red)||  Open Democrat (light blue)
    Retiring Senators: Campbell (R-CO); Fitzgerald (R-IL); Nickles (R-OK);
    Edwards (D-NC); Hollings (D-SC); Miller (D-GA); Graham (D-FL); Breaux (D-LA)



    [​IMG]
     
  4. MtnBiker
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    MtnBiker Senior Member

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    US HOUSE OF REPRESENATIVES
     228 GOP ||  206 Democrat ||  1 "Independent"

    [​IMG]
     
  5. ScreamingEagle
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    ScreamingEagle Gold Member

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    Here's one prediction of the Senate elections by state in a chart showing the probabilities of reelection of the incumbants:

    http://www.econ.umn.edu/~amoro/Research/senprobs.html

    According to these probabilities (and assuming that open seats are assigned with probability 50/50), republicans have 75% probability of retaining control of at least 51 seats.

    It's interesting that the probability of John Edwards being reelected if he was running again would have been the lowest at only 67%. :clap1:
     
  6. DKSuddeth
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    DKSuddeth Senior Member

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    the dems will take back illinois, keyes can't keep up with obama
     
  7. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    No joke! Nearly 1/2 the previous Rep. administration is in jail or heading that way, including the indicted governor. No surprise there DK. IL was never in play.
     
  8. UsaPride
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    UsaPride Senior Member

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    If (hopefully when) Edwards isn't made VP, is he not running again for Senate in NC?
     
  9. Avatar4321
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    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

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    Nope he aint running for reelection in North Carolina because he cant win.
     
  10. UsaPride
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    UsaPride Senior Member

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    Whew!! His first term and he blew us off to campaign. Helluva Senator :bang3:
     

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