Voting trends from US Census may hinder GOP in November

[JimH52]

I received this chart for the US Census concerning voting trends since 1964. If the black vote comes out again in November like it did in 2008, any GOP nominee is going to have a real uphill battle. Select the image below:

 

[Robert_Stephens]

Based on personal opinion, why do you say such? Very interested is all.

Robert

 

[JakeStarkey]

I received this chart for the US Census concerning voting trends since 1964. If the black vote comes out again in November like it did in 2008, any GOP nominee is going to have a real uphill battle. Select the image below:

Government stats?

Don't tell bigrebnc, please.

He thinks it is all a conspiracy from Moscow. Idaho.

 

[JimH52]

Based on personal opinion, why do you say such? Very interested is all.

Robert

Examine the chart and see the significant increase in blacks between 18-24 that voted in 2008. If that trend repeats, Obama has what appears to be a very real advantage. The question will be, "Can he once again be able to energize that sector?"

With the very high unemplyment rate for that segment of the population, it may be a challenge.

 

[JimH52]

I received this chart for the US Census concerning voting trends since 1964. If the black vote comes out again in November like it did in 2008, any GOP nominee is going to have a real uphill battle. Select the image below:

Government stats?

Don't tell bigrebnc, please.

He thinks it is all a conspiracy from Moscow. Idaho.

Then I am sure this will get his bowels in an uproar.

 

[Stephanie]

LOL, gotta keep posting those Hope and Hope..

they don't give a damn about change anymore.

 

[Salt Jones]

LOL, gotta keep posting those Hope and Hope..

they don't give a damn about change anymore.

No need to hope, I guarantee that President Obama wins reelection this November by at least 6 percentage points. The black and Hispanic vote percentage will be greater than in 2008.

 

[waltky]

Minorities come up short in census count...

Census continues to undercount blacks, Hispanics and kids
22 May`12 - The Census continued to miss blacks and Hispanics in 2010 despite achieving what was probably the most accurate count in the nation's history, according to Census analysis out Tuesday.

The Census counted 36,000 too many people — a slim 0.01% net national overcount. In the previous Census in 2000, there was a 0.49% overcount. The latest Census missed hundreds of thousands of blacks, Hispanics, renters, young kids and middle-aged men of all races. People who are here illegally or are poor are harder to find and count because they move more often and may avoid government contact. The largest undercount of any racial and ethnic group — 4.88% — was of American Indians on reservations. Offsetting that, the Census overcounted non-Hispanic whites, middle-aged and older women and homeowners. Americans who have two residences, such as college students and snowbirds, are more likely to be counted twice.

The Census has no plans to adjust the count, used to allocate about $400 billion in federal funding annually and to apportion seats in Congress. The study will be used to improve the count in 2020, when the Census Bureau faces strong pressure to cut costs by, among other things, offering a questionnaire online. "An undercount can negatively impact certain states and certain communities," says Marc Morial, president of the National Urban League. "There should be a mechanism to allow for an adjustment." More than 700,000 Hispanics were missed, and "that's about the size of a congressional district," says Arturo Vargas, executive director of the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials.

To measure the undercount, the Census Bureau carried out a national survey of 300,000 housing units right after the census. Survey responses were checked against completed census forms to see if that person was counted. The Census Bureau also pulled out all the census forms from survey-targeted areas and checked them against the survey responses. The two comparisons produced estimates of how many people the census missed or counted twice.

Among kids, children younger than 5 were missed most often. "The undercount of minorities has been given a lot of attention, but the undercount of children has not," says William O'Hare, a research fellow at the Census Bureau who is studying the undercount of children. It's not clear why young children are missed, but one possibility is that the Census questionnaire allows listing six people in a household. "Large families may have more trouble filling out the form," says O'Hare, a consultant to the Annie E. Casey Foundation's KIDS COUNT program. "There are young kids in living arrangements that make them harder to count — moving, in poverty."

Source

 

[Mr. Shaman]

Voting trends from US Census may hinder GOP in November

May 22, 2012

Buh-Bye, Social-Conservatives​

"Growing public support for gay rights, including gay marriage, is the latest example of the moral liberalism that has transformed advanced industrial societies in the last few generations. The social traditionalists who claimed to be a “moral majority” in the United States in the 1980s are acting like an embattled, declining minority in the second decade of the 21st century. A few years ago the conservative activist Paul Weyrich declared that the right had lost “the culture war” and called on social conservatives to withdraw from mainstream society into their own traditionalist enclaves."

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