Updated election forecasting model still points to Romney win

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Leweman, Oct 4, 2012.

  1. Leweman
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    Leweman Gold Member

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    According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes -- down five votes from their initial prediction -- and short of the 270 needed to win.

    The new forecast by political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver is based on more recent economic data than their original Aug. 22 prediction. The model itself did not change.


    Updated election forecasting model still points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says | University of Colorado Boulder

    And this was BEFORE Mitt Romney got to show who he really is by destroying Obama in the debate.
     
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  2. rightwinger
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    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Last edited: Oct 4, 2012
  3. California Girl
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  4. California Girl
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    Hmmmm, let's review.

    On the one hand, academic, peer reviewed, research that has successfully predicted every election since 1980.

    On the other, polls.

    I know which I lean towards.
     
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  5. Leweman
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    Leweman Gold Member

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  6. rightwinger
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    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    Big fucking deal

    I have predicted every election since 1964

    Most are blowouts. Its not hard to do. I bet my streak lasts longer than the University of Colorado's
     
  7. California Girl
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    But their's is based on methodology, not horse shit.
     
  8. rightwinger
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    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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  9. rightwinger
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    rightwinger Paid Messageboard Poster Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    So is mine

    Theirs only looks at one factor...I look at them all

    University of Colorado is going down
     
  10. Leweman
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    Leweman Gold Member

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    Yeah, but you have a time machine so it's not exactly fair.
     

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