Trump mocks Obama's selfie presidency

GOP Bull shit consumption skyrockets ...Trump trying to ease the shortage...
Donald Trump’s Bullshitopedia: An Ever Expanding Catalog Of Lies

When Donald Trump announced his candidacy for the Republican nomination for president, he embarked on a mission that immediately sought to exalt himself, insult and disparage his critics, and reduce the intellectual tenor of American politics to the level of remedial third grade bullies. Now, after five months it has become clear that, more than […]
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I really don't care, I know Obama isn't a man. More like a crying baby.
The only crying I saw was from those who couldn't believe he won..., TWICE!!!
:banana: :beer: :mm:
I love it when the puppies get their training LOL GOP sucks large.....they got a real wiener in T-Rump LOL
His Majesty Donald Trump Uses Threats To Gain Superiority Over Politics And The Press
Just think he will probably be your next president.
 
I take it your point is if you look at only 3 states out of 50, 2 of which lean Democrat, you can claim the vast majority of felons nationwide are Democrat??

So you're saying you don't like the sample size?

How is it any different from any other poll?

The rules of statistics clearly define the sizes of samples as related to the accuracy of the extrapolations
Like any poll, the results are only relevant to the region of the sampling. So you showed 3 states have a higher propensity of felons coming out of jail registering as Democrats. If that poll is what Cruz was talking about when he claimed a majority of felons vote Democrat in the United States, then he failed miserably.

So you actually think that every poll used for any nationwide predictions uses people from all 50 states? FYI there isn't much difference between people in any of the states

Maybe you should study up on statistics and polls
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.
 
I take it your point is if you look at only 3 states out of 50, 2 of which lean Democrat, you can claim the vast majority of felons nationwide are Democrat??

So you're saying you don't like the sample size?

How is it any different from any other poll?

The rules of statistics clearly define the sizes of samples as related to the accuracy of the extrapolations
Like any poll, the results are only relevant to the region of the sampling. So you showed 3 states have a higher propensity of felons coming out of jail registering as Democrats. If that poll is what Cruz was talking about when he claimed a majority of felons vote Democrat in the United States, then he failed miserably.

So you actually think that every poll used for any nationwide predictions uses people from all 50 states? FYI there isn't much difference between people in any of the states

Maybe you should study up on statistics and polls
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.

So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
 
I take it your point is if you look at only 3 states out of 50, 2 of which lean Democrat, you can claim the vast majority of felons nationwide are Democrat??

So you're saying you don't like the sample size?

How is it any different from any other poll?

The rules of statistics clearly define the sizes of samples as related to the accuracy of the extrapolations
Like any poll, the results are only relevant to the region of the sampling. So you showed 3 states have a higher propensity of felons coming out of jail registering as Democrats. If that poll is what Cruz was talking about when he claimed a majority of felons vote Democrat in the United States, then he failed miserably.

So you actually think that every poll used for any nationwide predictions uses people from all 50 states? FYI there isn't much difference between people in any of the states

Maybe you should study up on statistics and polls
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.

So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
 
So you're saying you don't like the sample size?

How is it any different from any other poll?

The rules of statistics clearly define the sizes of samples as related to the accuracy of the extrapolations
Like any poll, the results are only relevant to the region of the sampling. So you showed 3 states have a higher propensity of felons coming out of jail registering as Democrats. If that poll is what Cruz was talking about when he claimed a majority of felons vote Democrat in the United States, then he failed miserably.

So you actually think that every poll used for any nationwide predictions uses people from all 50 states? FYI there isn't much difference between people in any of the states

Maybe you should study up on statistics and polls
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.

So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
 
Like any poll, the results are only relevant to the region of the sampling. So you showed 3 states have a higher propensity of felons coming out of jail registering as Democrats. If that poll is what Cruz was talking about when he claimed a majority of felons vote Democrat in the United States, then he failed miserably.

So you actually think that every poll used for any nationwide predictions uses people from all 50 states? FYI there isn't much difference between people in any of the states

Maybe you should study up on statistics and polls
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.

So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.
 
So you actually think that every poll used for any nationwide predictions uses people from all 50 states? FYI there isn't much difference between people in any of the states

Maybe you should study up on statistics and polls
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.

So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.

You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
 
Last edited:
Nationwide surveys poll respondents nationwide. Statewide polls do the same within the state their polling. It really is that eimple. When a pollster wants to determine the pulse on how candidates might do in the New Hampshire primary, for example, it makes no sense to poll folks in other states. If they want a sense of the entire nation, it makes no sense to survey just 3 states.

I understand your desire for what you found to make your point; and it almost does for three states. Even then it fails as the study indicates Democrats offer incentives for inmates to want to votes for them.

So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.

You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.
 
Oh my god, the President does things that normal every day human beings do! This is a catastrophe!
 
So what if incentives are offered the government does nothing but give incentives

But if you think people in NY are sooo much different than people in any other state then you are not only clueless as to human behavior but also willfully ignorant
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.

You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.

Geographic area is NOT a factor
 
You should learn about survey sampling. You're speaking from ignorance now to support a study which is limited to just 3 states. It does not represent the nation as you think it does.
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.

You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.

Geographic area is NOT a factor
Of course it is, don't be ridiculous. From the pollster I referred to, they sample all 50 states. From the one you referred to, they poll the continental states.

In case you don't know, those are geographical areas.
 
Prove it

And then debunk every national poll that didn't include people from every single state
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.

You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.

Geographic area is NOT a factor
Of course it is, don't be ridiculous. From the pollster I referred to, they sample all 50 states. From the one you referred to, they poll the continental states.

In case you don't know, those are geographical areas.

YEah not the entire continental US

Participants from all 50 states are not necessary for any national poll
 
Not my job to educate you on the science behind polling. As far as nationwide polling, here's an example...

How are interviews conducted for the Gallup U.S. Daily?

Gallup interviews U.S. adults aged 18 and older living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia using a dual-frame design, which includes both landline and cellphone numbers.


More from Gallup

What a pity you don't take the time to do your homework before you post on subjects you're ignorant in. Sure could save yourself the embarrassment of making a fool of yourself by spouting such idiocies.

You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.

Geographic area is NOT a factor
Of course it is, don't be ridiculous. From the pollster I referred to, they sample all 50 states. From the one you referred to, they poll the continental states.

In case you don't know, those are geographical areas.

YEah not the entire continental US

Participants from all 50 states are not necessary for any national poll
You run with that. :eusa_doh:
 
You have yet to debunk every national poll

Sorry but you are naive to the point of retardation if you think every national poll uses people from every state

Most polls only use a sample of about 1000 people anyway even the so called national polls

Sampling

The margin of error for a sample is dependent on four main factors: the size of the sample; the variability of the item being measured; the effect of weighting and the sample design (captured by the design effect); and the proportion of the total population being sampled. Of these, the size of the sample is by far the most important. The margin of error declines as the size of the sample gets larger, but the relationship is not linear. Because of how the margin of sampling error is calculated, decreases in the margin of error get smaller as the sample grows. This is why so many polls have samples of around 1,000 or so. Adding another 1,000 interviews for a total of 2,000 reduces the margin of error by only about 1 percentage point


notice that geographical area is NOT one of the main factors in determining margin of error
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.

Geographic area is NOT a factor
Of course it is, don't be ridiculous. From the pollster I referred to, they sample all 50 states. From the one you referred to, they poll the continental states.

In case you don't know, those are geographical areas.

YEah not the entire continental US

Participants from all 50 states are not necessary for any national poll
You run with that. :eusa_doh:

You don't know shit about human behavior

If a poll was conducted with participants from a scattering of states from the east to the west coast it would be just as accurate as one if participants were from every single state but idiots like you would say "Wait no one in Arizona was polled so it's not a national poll"
 
Your own link says their national polls survey the continental U.S. and that regional polls are limited to the regions of the surveys. And statistically, calling 1000 people nationwide provides a 99.99999% chance that every state will be reached.

You really suck at this.

Geographic area is NOT a factor
Of course it is, don't be ridiculous. From the pollster I referred to, they sample all 50 states. From the one you referred to, they poll the continental states.

In case you don't know, those are geographical areas.

YEah not the entire continental US

Participants from all 50 states are not necessary for any national poll
You run with that. :eusa_doh:

You don't know shit about human behavior

If a poll was conducted with participants from a scattering of states from the east to the west coast it would be just as accurate as one if participants were from every single state but idiots like you would say "Wait no one in Arizona was polled so it's not a national poll"
Too fucking retarded. :cuckoo:

You're actually claiming a poll which covered only 6% of the states in the country, represents the nation as a whole.

Polls are regional. Deal with it. That's why pollsters don't poll Florida when doing a poll in New Hampshire to test the waters in New Hampshire's upcoming primary.
 

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