This graph shows why obama is ahead in the polls

beretta304

Rookie
Aug 13, 2012
8,664
76
0
A Saner Place
Graph of Democrat Oversampling Shows Media Polls Skewed Toward Obama | TheBlaze.com

"This is a telling bit of information, and shows the power of polls to become a self-fulfilling prophecy. Granted, most of the polls using a high Democrat oversampling may be doing so simply as a means to estimate conservatively what could happen, if things stay the same from 2008. This is not unreasonable, given the enthusiasm gap that has recently been measured, but that enthusiasm gap is itself arguably reinforced by polling. The Romney ground game will need to push back aggressively if it wants to make up for that negative feedback loop."
 
Yeah...nearly every poll is oversampling Democrats. Pfft.

Well, they are. Most are assuming close to the same turnout that occurred in 2008 (39D/32R/29I). I feel confident those splits won't happen this year, as that was Republicans worst showing since at least 1984.
 
1.jpg
 

Forum List

Back
Top