The Right is a little Overconfident

[IM2]

Out of curiosity, which candidate do you think will get the nomination?

and why do you believe any of them could beat Trump?

(and, to my knowledge, the EC still counts more than the Popular vote)

I can't call it right now and IMO they all can beat Trump.

Because they actually have plans and know how to operate on the world stage.

Trump has been a disaster. We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office, he lies about how he created this economy and you guys sucked it on up and want to give him a second term. Every democrat on that stage would provide a better economic situation than the one we are in now.

Trump won on a fluke that has happened only 5 times. Don't expect that to happen in 2020.

Your hatred of Trump has clouded any logic your judgement. You seriously believe ANY candidate can beat Trump? If Any Democrat candidate could deliver a better economy I would vote for them. However, you are making a statement with no empirical data to back it up. Put a Barry Sanders in the White House and watch the Capital Markets retreat out of fear.

Trump did not deliver this economy and Barry Sanders is not a presidential candidate . We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office. This is a fact. Every democrat is a better candidate than Trump.

 

[Bruce_T_Laney]

Out of curiosity, which candidate do you think will get the nomination?

and why do you believe any of them could beat Trump?

(and, to my knowledge, the EC still counts more than the Popular vote)

I can't call it right now and IMO they all can beat Trump.

Because they actually have plans and know how to operate on the world stage.

Trump has been a disaster. We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office, he lies about how he created this economy and you guys sucked it on up and want to give him a second term. Every democrat on that stage would provide a better economic situation than the one we are in now.

Trump won on a fluke that has happened only 5 times. Don't expect that to happen in 2020.

Polls are meaningless at this point and like in 2016 they are meaningless when it come to the Electoral College count.

What those like you on the left keep on forgetting is if the Green Party run another candidate like Stein that will steal the College vote from the Democratic Nominee and if so you could lose closely contested states like Pennsylvania once again.

Also if you think a polarizing candidate like Harris could beat Trump in a National Election, well you would believe that but she would lose badly and so would Warren...

The fact is you need to worry about third party candidates and if a scandal will rock your political party like it did in 2016 because with someone like Biden, Warren, Harris or even Beto you run a chance of that happening.

Your political party mistake was not backing the former Governor of Colorado and running someone like him...

 

[Bruce_T_Laney]

I'm hoping the Dems nominate Pocahontas.

If that happens, she will beat Trump fairly soundly. You might vote for Trump because he will try slurring her to death, but the majority of Americans will not.

If Clinton could not beat Trump then Warren has no chance...

Warren is another New England Progressive that will not sell to the Rust Belt and Red States.

 

[Bruce_T_Laney]

Out of curiosity, which candidate do you think will get the nomination?

and why do you believe any of them could beat Trump?

(and, to my knowledge, the EC still counts more than the Popular vote)

I can't call it right now and IMO they all can beat Trump.

Because they actually have plans and know how to operate on the world stage.

Trump has been a disaster. We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office, he lies about how he created this economy and you guys sucked it on up and want to give him a second term. Every democrat on that stage would provide a better economic situation than the one we are in now.

Trump won on a fluke that has happened only 5 times. Don't expect that to happen in 2020.

Your hatred of Trump has clouded any logic your judgement. You seriously believe ANY candidate can beat Trump? If Any Democrat candidate could deliver a better economy I would vote for them. However, you are making a statement with no empirical data to back it up. Put a Barry Sanders in the White House and watch the Capital Markets retreat out of fear.

Trump did not deliver this economy and Barry Sanders is not a presidential candidate . We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office. This is a fact. Every democrat is a better candidate than Trump.

No, not every candidate is better than Trump...

Sanders socialism is crazy, Harris is nuts just like Beto and Warren may not lie as much as Trump but she is a damn liar...

Biden is too old and outdated, so who does that leave you?

The Gay Mayor and the woman from Hawaii and the Hawaiian Congresswoman has no chance because those like her will not vote for her because she is the wrong minority and from your past conversations with me you are anti-gay so you will not vote for the gay Mayor either...

 

[Obiwan]

The Trump supporters are counting all kinds of unhatched eggs. Trump did not win the popular vote in 2016. He will not in 2020. Hillary Clinton will not be his opponent. He will not be an outsider. He has a record now, and despite the finest delusions of the cult members here, that record is abysmal.

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election
by Rachel Bitecofer

In July of 2018, my innovative forecasting model raised eyebrows by predicting some four months before the midterm election that Democrats would pick up 42 seats in the House of Representatives. In hindsight, that may not seem such a bold prediction, but when my forecast was released, election Twitter was still having a robust debate as to whether the Blue Wave would be large enough for Democrats to pick up the 23 seats they needed to take control of the House of Representatives and return the Speaker’s gavel to Nancy Pelosi.

Based on its 2018 performance, my model, and the theory that structures it, seem well poised to tackle the 2020 presidential election – 16 months out. I’ll serve up that result below, but first let’s set the table by reviewing my model’s 2018 forecasting success.

Not only did I predict that they would gain nearly double the seats they needed, but I also identified a specific list of Republican seats Democrats would flip, including some, such as Virginia CD7, that were listed as “Lean Republican” by the majority of race raters at the time. At a time when other analysts coded even the most competitive House races for Democrats as Lean or Tilt Democrat, I identified 13 Republican-held districts as “Will Flips,” 12 as “Likely to Flip,” and 6 as “Lean Democrat.” I also identified a large list of “Toss Ups,” from which I would later identify the remaining “flippers.” In addition, I identified some “long-shot toss-up” districts that could be viable flips under some turnout scenarios. Of the original 25 districts I identified as definitely or highly likely to flip, all but one, Colorado CD3, did so, possibly because the party failed to invest in their nominee there.

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election - Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy - Christopher Newport University

So are you banking on the fake injun, the Caucasian whore who pretends to be black (and is a descendant of slave owners), the old serial groper, or the old communist that is so lazy (and crazy) he was thrown out of a commune???

 

[LeftofLeft]

Out of curiosity, which candidate do you think will get the nomination?

and why do you believe any of them could beat Trump?

(and, to my knowledge, the EC still counts more than the Popular vote)

I can't call it right now and IMO they all can beat Trump.

Because they actually have plans and know how to operate on the world stage.

Trump has been a disaster. We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office, he lies about how he created this economy and you guys sucked it on up and want to give him a second term. Every democrat on that stage would provide a better economic situation than the one we are in now.

Trump won on a fluke that has happened only 5 times. Don't expect that to happen in 2020.

Your hatred of Trump has clouded any logic your judgement. You seriously believe ANY candidate can beat Trump? If Any Democrat candidate could deliver a better economy I would vote for them. However, you are making a statement with no empirical data to back it up. Put a Barry Sanders in the White House and watch the Capital Markets retreat out of fear.

Trump did not deliver this economy and Barry Sanders is not a presidential candidate . We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office. This is a fact. Every democrat is a better candidate than Trump.

Thank you for the correction on the Bernie Sanders clarification. Economically speaking, perhaps you can explain WHY and HOW cash and capital were stagnant during the 7.5 years compared to the past 2.5 years? Further, please define “growth”? Factually speaking, how is it Black unemployment decline did not kick in until after Trump took office?

If you are going to state facts, you need to back them up with empirically-validated data.

 

[DBA]

Out of curiosity, which candidate do you think will get the nomination?

and why do you believe any of them could beat Trump?

(and, to my knowledge, the EC still counts more than the Popular vote)

I can't call it right now and IMO they all can beat Trump.

Because they actually have plans and know how to operate on the world stage.

Trump has been a disaster. We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office, he lies about how he created this economy and you guys sucked it on up and want to give him a second term. Every democrat on that stage would provide a better economic situation than the one we are in now.

Trump won on a fluke that has happened only 5 times. Don't expect that to happen in 2020.

Your hatred of Trump has clouded any logic your judgement. You seriously believe ANY candidate can beat Trump? If Any Democrat candidate could deliver a better economy I would vote for them. However, you are making a statement with no empirical data to back it up. Put a Barry Sanders in the White House and watch the Capital Markets retreat out of fear.

Trump did not deliver this economy and Barry Sanders is not a presidential candidate . We have had 10 consecutive years of growth. Trump has been in office 2.5. The economy was growing for 7.5 years before Trump took office. This is a fact. Every democrat is a better candidate than Trump.

If you believe this you either a) have no money invested or b) are completely ignorant on how the economy works. Every Democratic candidate with the possible exception of Biden, assuming he doesn't continue to trend left, will absolutely destroy our economy. Our only hope would be that they wouldn't be able to get anything through the Senate. Take a look at Europe for Socialist policies in action. Their economies are horrible, one even offerning a negative interest rate loan to encourage investment. You guys still haven't figure it out yet. Let people work and keep more of the money they earn and our economy will flourish. It is that simple, but over the heads of most lefties.

 

[Dick Foster]

The Trump supporters are counting all kinds of unhatched eggs. Trump did not win the popular vote in 2016. He will not in 2020. Hillary Clinton will not be his opponent. He will not be an outsider. He has a record now, and despite the finest delusions of the cult members here, that record is abysmal.

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election
by Rachel Bitecofer

In July of 2018, my innovative forecasting model raised eyebrows by predicting some four months before the midterm election that Democrats would pick up 42 seats in the House of Representatives. In hindsight, that may not seem such a bold prediction, but when my forecast was released, election Twitter was still having a robust debate as to whether the Blue Wave would be large enough for Democrats to pick up the 23 seats they needed to take control of the House of Representatives and return the Speaker’s gavel to Nancy Pelosi.

Based on its 2018 performance, my model, and the theory that structures it, seem well poised to tackle the 2020 presidential election – 16 months out. I’ll serve up that result below, but first let’s set the table by reviewing my model’s 2018 forecasting success.

Not only did I predict that they would gain nearly double the seats they needed, but I also identified a specific list of Republican seats Democrats would flip, including some, such as Virginia CD7, that were listed as “Lean Republican” by the majority of race raters at the time. At a time when other analysts coded even the most competitive House races for Democrats as Lean or Tilt Democrat, I identified 13 Republican-held districts as “Will Flips,” 12 as “Likely to Flip,” and 6 as “Lean Democrat.” I also identified a large list of “Toss Ups,” from which I would later identify the remaining “flippers.” In addition, I identified some “long-shot toss-up” districts that could be viable flips under some turnout scenarios. Of the original 25 districts I identified as definitely or highly likely to flip, all but one, Colorado CD3, did so, possibly because the party failed to invest in their nominee there.

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election - Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy - Christopher Newport University

With the left so intent on losing and doing everything they can possibly think of to ensure defeat, there any wonder?

 

[bendog]

The Trump supporters are counting all kinds of unhatched eggs. Trump did not win the popular vote in 2016. He will not in 2020. Hillary Clinton will not be his opponent. He will not be an outsider. He has a record now, and despite the finest delusions of the cult members here, that record is abysmal.

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election
by Rachel Bitecofer

In July of 2018, my innovative forecasting model raised eyebrows by predicting some four months before the midterm election that Democrats would pick up 42 seats in the House of Representatives. In hindsight, that may not seem such a bold prediction, but when my forecast was released, election Twitter was still having a robust debate as to whether the Blue Wave would be large enough for Democrats to pick up the 23 seats they needed to take control of the House of Representatives and return the Speaker’s gavel to Nancy Pelosi.

Based on its 2018 performance, my model, and the theory that structures it, seem well poised to tackle the 2020 presidential election – 16 months out. I’ll serve up that result below, but first let’s set the table by reviewing my model’s 2018 forecasting success.

Not only did I predict that they would gain nearly double the seats they needed, but I also identified a specific list of Republican seats Democrats would flip, including some, such as Virginia CD7, that were listed as “Lean Republican” by the majority of race raters at the time. At a time when other analysts coded even the most competitive House races for Democrats as Lean or Tilt Democrat, I identified 13 Republican-held districts as “Will Flips,” 12 as “Likely to Flip,” and 6 as “Lean Democrat.” I also identified a large list of “Toss Ups,” from which I would later identify the remaining “flippers.” In addition, I identified some “long-shot toss-up” districts that could be viable flips under some turnout scenarios. Of the original 25 districts I identified as definitely or highly likely to flip, all but one, Colorado CD3, did so, possibly because the party failed to invest in their nominee there.

With 16 Months to go, Negative Partisanship Predicts the 2020 Presidential Election - Judy Ford Wason Center for Public Policy - Christopher Newport University

IF the dems have a candidate who is even marginally electable, Trump is energizing their voters. Problem is that Bernie and Wareen are not even marginally electable.

The dem primary voters have sold themselves on "we voted in progressives" when the fact is about 2/3's of the new dem reps in congress are NOT any where near socialism, and are more or less aligned with Obama's first term of healthcare and education.