The Real Poll Data

[Jroc]

The media is trying to create a sense of momentum and of inevitability about the Obama candidacy. One benighted Newsweek reporter even speculated about a possible Democratic landslide.

On Friday, I saw the real numbers. These state-by-state polls, taken by an organization I trust (after forty years of polling) show the real story. The tally is based on more than 600 likely voter interviews in each swing state within the past eight days.

The trend line is distinctly pro-Romney. Of the thirteen states studied, he improved or Obama slipped in nine states while the reverse happened in only four. To read the media, one would think that Romney had a terrible month. In fact, the exact reverse is true.

Romney is currently leading in every state McCain carried plus: Indiana, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, Nevada, North Carolina, and Colorado. If he carries these states, he’ll have 228 electoral votes of the 270 he needs to win.

To win the election, Romney would then have to carry Florida where he trails by two points, and either Virginia (behind by two) or Ohio where he’s down by only one.

If he carries all three of these states and also wins all the others where Obama is now at 50% or less – Iowa, New Mexico, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey — he will get 351 electoral votes, a landslide about equal to Obama’s 363 vote tally in 2008.

The Real Poll Numbers at DickMorris.com

 

[Seawytch]

ROFLMAO...Prostitute Toe Sucker Dick Morris? The same guy that wrote Condi versus Hillary?

{snort}

 

[AmyNation]

I highly doubt anyone will be winning in a landslide this time around.

If the economy continues to stall, I predict a Romney win. If it picks up, an Obama victory. However I think either win will be a narrow one.

 

[martybegan]

Polls this far out, in the middle of summer, and before any of the conventions happen are not to be trusted, whatever they say.

The prime topic for the current part of the campaign is how quick the Democrats have resorted to full blown negative attacks. They run the risk of numbing the independent electorate.

 

[Jroc]

Polls this far out, in the middle of summer, and before any of the conventions happen are not to be trusted, whatever they say.

The prime topic for the current part of the campaign is how quick the Democrats have resorted to full blown negative attacks. They run the risk of numbing the independent electorate.

The point is people are driving this Obama is ahead in all these swing states bull and he is not. Under 50 % Obama is a loser

 

[bripat9643]

ROFLMAO...Prostitute Toe Sucker Dick Morris? The same guy that wrote Condi versus Hillary?

{snort}

Well that response certainly convinced me that he's wrong!

 

[bripat9643]

Polls this far out, in the middle of summer, and before any of the conventions happen are not to be trusted, whatever they say.

The prime topic for the current part of the campaign is how quick the Democrats have resorted to full blown negative attacks. They run the risk of numbing the independent electorate.

Democrats have already convinced any rational person that they are complete and utter sleazebags without a scruple.

 

[candycorn]

Polls this far out, in the middle of summer, and before any of the conventions happen are not to be trusted, whatever they say.

The prime topic for the current part of the campaign is how quick the Democrats have resorted to full blown negative attacks. They run the risk of numbing the independent electorate.

The point is people are driving this Obama is ahead in all these swing states bull and he is not. Under 50 % Obama is a loser

Obama has this election in the bag. And has for quite a while.

 

[OODA_Loop]

Obama has this election in the bag. And has for quite a while.

A body bag ?

 

[candycorn]

Obama has this election in the bag. And has for quite a while.

A body bag ?

Lame-o.

 

[Stephanie]

Well if the people are stupid enough to vote for the community agitator again..

we all should pray for our country and freedoms

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Obama will continue to lie and Dems are already manufacturing votes in all those states.

Real Americans have to come out in droves to overcome the Democrat Vote Fraud drive and that's exactly what's going to happen

 

[LoneLaugher]

Anyone know what medical condition causes Dick Morris to talk out of the side of his mouth like he does?

How about Dick Cheney?
Reince Priebus?

 

[plant]

It's not the polls it's the fucking loser the GOP picked to run Romney is a loser . Romney really lol

 

[Jroc]

It's not the polls it's the fucking loser the GOP picked to run Romney is a loser . Romney really lol

Obama Really?

 

[JoeB131]

Whenever the Toe-Sucker starts talking about the "real Poll Data", we know they are in serious denial.

 

[Jroc]

Whenever the Toe-Sucker starts talking about the "real Poll Data", we know they are in serious denial.

Coming from a hater not very credible

 

[JoeB131]

Dick Morris was a Clinton lacky, until he got caught in a hotel room paying a hooker to suck her toes... and Clinton fired him.

Since then, he's been against the Democrats...

 

[Dutch]

Dick Morris just oozes creepiness. He is just upset that the Clintons kicked him to the curb.

 

[Jackson]

No president with an approval rating less than 50 percent in June has won re election. YET. All I can say is this this going to be a squeaker. If his approval ratings don't increase above 50 percent, I can't see a victory for him.

Keep an eye on the approval rating from likely voters.