usmbguest5318
Gold Member
This thread is for the purpose of discussing the study below. I look forward to receiving well considered feedback about the study and its implications.
Linda J. Blumberg, PhD, Bowen Garrett, PhD, and John Holahan, PhD in April of last year published their original research that answered that question. Using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) from 2000 to 2012 and the Health Reform Monitoring Survey (HRMS) data for 2013 and 2015, they developed an approach to determine the number of people who would be uninsured in the absence of the ACA and isolated the change in coverage as of March 2015 that can be attributed to the ACA. They produced counterfactual forecasts of the number of uninsured absent the ACA for 9 age-income groups and compared those estimates with 2015 estimates based on HRMS relative coverage changes applied to CPS-based population estimates.
As of March 2015, they found the ACA has reduced the number of uninsured adults by 18.1 million compared with the number who would have been uninsured at that time had the law not been implemented. That decline represents a 46% reduction in the number of nonelderly adults without insurance. The approach developed here can be applied to other federal data and timely surveys to provide a range of estimates of the overall effects of reform.
As a consequence of the main coverage expansions taking place, they found that the number of uninsured adults was reduced by 16.9 million, to 22.5 million uninsured adults. The young adult expansions implemented in 2010 reduced the number of uninsured by an additional 1.2 million adults, which is well within the range of estimates (from around 900 000 to 2 million) produced by others using different data and methods.
The “decrease in uninsured” column shows the full ACA coverage effect in 2015, which accounts for the main coverage expansions that were implemented beginning in 2014 and the early expansion for young adults, indicating that the ACA reduced the number of uninsured adults by 18.1 million people by March 2015, a reduction of approximately 46%.
The largest relative decreases in uninsured adults caused by the ACA accrue to those in the middle-income group. The uninsurance rate in this group fell 51%. The uninsurance rate fell 45% in the low-income group and 34% in the high-income group. By age category, the largest relative decreases in the uninsured occur for the 19- to 25-year-olds and the 45- to 64-year-olds: Each fell more than 50%. The 26- to 44-year-olds saw a 37% reduction.
Click on the link at the start of this post to access the study. In it you will find laid out in simple layman's terms the methodology they used to arrive at the conclusions noted above.
Linda J. Blumberg, PhD, Bowen Garrett, PhD, and John Holahan, PhD in April of last year published their original research that answered that question. Using data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) from 2000 to 2012 and the Health Reform Monitoring Survey (HRMS) data for 2013 and 2015, they developed an approach to determine the number of people who would be uninsured in the absence of the ACA and isolated the change in coverage as of March 2015 that can be attributed to the ACA. They produced counterfactual forecasts of the number of uninsured absent the ACA for 9 age-income groups and compared those estimates with 2015 estimates based on HRMS relative coverage changes applied to CPS-based population estimates.
As of March 2015, they found the ACA has reduced the number of uninsured adults by 18.1 million compared with the number who would have been uninsured at that time had the law not been implemented. That decline represents a 46% reduction in the number of nonelderly adults without insurance. The approach developed here can be applied to other federal data and timely surveys to provide a range of estimates of the overall effects of reform.
As a consequence of the main coverage expansions taking place, they found that the number of uninsured adults was reduced by 16.9 million, to 22.5 million uninsured adults. The young adult expansions implemented in 2010 reduced the number of uninsured by an additional 1.2 million adults, which is well within the range of estimates (from around 900 000 to 2 million) produced by others using different data and methods.
The “decrease in uninsured” column shows the full ACA coverage effect in 2015, which accounts for the main coverage expansions that were implemented beginning in 2014 and the early expansion for young adults, indicating that the ACA reduced the number of uninsured adults by 18.1 million people by March 2015, a reduction of approximately 46%.
The largest relative decreases in uninsured adults caused by the ACA accrue to those in the middle-income group. The uninsurance rate in this group fell 51%. The uninsurance rate fell 45% in the low-income group and 34% in the high-income group. By age category, the largest relative decreases in the uninsured occur for the 19- to 25-year-olds and the 45- to 64-year-olds: Each fell more than 50%. The 26- to 44-year-olds saw a 37% reduction.
Click on the link at the start of this post to access the study. In it you will find laid out in simple layman's terms the methodology they used to arrive at the conclusions noted above.
