Dr.House
Lives on in syndication!
It's a simple question, yet all of them are afraid to answer it....
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The parallel universe where Mitt Romney leads all polls
- Thread starter rightwinger
- Start date
It's a simple question, yet all of them are afraid to answer it....
- Aug 4, 2009
- 281,015
- 140,247
- 2,300
- Thread starter
- #62
Do you believe 11% more democratics than republicans, and only 1 percent of independents will turn out in Ohio on election day?
A simple yes or no please...
You're wasting your time.. RW lives in an alternate reality that well, rejects reality.
It's a simple question, yet all of them are afraid to answer it....
I answered you
You just can't accept what you are being told
Denial of trending results in Ohio can only get you so far
You're wasting your time.. RW lives in an alternate reality that well, rejects reality.
It's a simple question, yet all of them are afraid to answer it....
I answered you
You just can't accept what you are being told
Denial of trending results in Ohio can only get you so far
leftwhiner is impervious to reality.
GiGo.
That's not just his motto, it's the way he discusses everything.
- Aug 4, 2009
- 281,015
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- Thread starter
- #64
It's a simple concept.. When you include overwhelmingly more D's than Rs and only 1% of independents, then your data is oversampled to the D's.... If the turnout is not D+11 then 0bama does not get that result...While polling Ohio, how does one go about "oversampling"
Logical fallacy... You cannot claim one action caused the other action...Why did every sample show a significant swing to the Democratic side after Romneys 35% debacle?
In making a random poll, how does one know who will answer as a Democrat and who will answer as a Republican? You don't....you just report what was answered
Republicans just don't like the answer
Romneys numbers dropped in all swing states after the 47% blunder....do you have a better explanation?
It's a simple concept.. When you include overwhelmingly more D's than Rs and only 1% of independents, then your data is oversampled to the D's.... If the turnout is not D+11 then 0bama does not get that result...While polling Ohio, how does one go about "oversampling"
Logical fallacy... You cannot claim one action caused the other action...Why did every sample show a significant swing to the Democratic side after Romneys 35% debacle?
In making a random poll, how does one know who will answer as a Democrat and who will answer as a Republican? You don't....you just report what was answered
Republicans just don't like the answer
Romneys numbers dropped in all swing states after the 47% blunder....do you have a better explanation?
Leftwhiner is still pretending to believe that the rough percentages of poll responders is akin to how the voters will come to the polls.
- Aug 4, 2009
- 281,015
- 140,247
- 2,300
- Thread starter
- #66
Conservative reaction to Ohio polling results
Dr.House
Lives on in syndication!
You're wasting your time.. RW lives in an alternate reality that well, rejects reality.
It's a simple question, yet all of them are afraid to answer it....
I answered you
Link?
I asked for a yes or no...
leftwhiner's reaction to having the truth about Dim oversampling pointed out to him is a butthurt moment of caterwauling -- again.
Because of which the question must be asked of him:
Because of which the question must be asked of him:
- Aug 4, 2009
- 281,015
- 140,247
- 2,300
- Thread starter
- #69
It's a simple question, yet all of them are afraid to answer it....
I answered you
Link?
I asked for a yes or no...
Yes or no on something that hasn't happened yet?
You have been answered
Dr.House
Lives on in syndication!
An unweighted poll of whomever answers the phone is not a demographic of voter turnout on election day.. You can pretend it will be a representative sample, but we'll just laugh at you...It's a simple concept.. When you include overwhelmingly more D's than Rs and only 1% of independents, then your data is oversampled to the D's.... If the turnout is not D+11 then 0bama does not get that result...While polling Ohio, how does one go about "oversampling"
Logical fallacy... You cannot claim one action caused the other action...Why did every sample show a significant swing to the Democratic side after Romneys 35% debacle?
In making a random poll, how does one know who will answer as a Democrat and who will answer as a Republican? You don't....you just report what was answered
Republicans just don't like the answer
Polls out show people agree with Romney's comment more than they disagree with it... The ones who disagree were never going to vote for Romney anyway...Romneys numbers dropped in all swing states after the 47% blunder....do you have a better explanation?
"The main stream media polling is REAL, damnit." -- leftwhiner.
He says it because he believes.
He chooses to believe.
He WANTS to believe!
He says it because he believes.
He chooses to believe.
He WANTS to believe!
Dr.House
Lives on in syndication!
A yes or no on your belief of what turnout will be...
Yes or no on something that hasn't happened yet?
Do you BELIEVE turnout will be D+11 in Ohio on election day?
Want to try again? Just a yes or no...
A yes or no on your belief of what turnout will be...Link?
I asked for a yes or no...
Yes or no on something that hasn't happened yet?
Do you BELIEVE turnout will be D+11 in Ohio on election day?
Want to try again? Just a yes or no...
He will bravely tell you what he believes those Election Day numbers will be --
some day after Election Day.
Will D turnout in Ohio be +11? Probably not quite. Maybe +8. The difference is normal margin of error stuff.
More randomly sampled voters are now identifying themselves as Democrats. That's not bias, that's just bad news for Republicans. So they're in denial about it, and they're making up these conspiracy theories to justify their denial.
Now, turnout is a very different thing than margin of winning, but Liability and Dr. House have already demonstrated their inability to grasp such simple concepts, so there's no point in trying to walk them through it. We'll just be sure to check back with them in a month, to savor their sweet tears of sorrow.
More randomly sampled voters are now identifying themselves as Democrats. That's not bias, that's just bad news for Republicans. So they're in denial about it, and they're making up these conspiracy theories to justify their denial.
Now, turnout is a very different thing than margin of winning, but Liability and Dr. House have already demonstrated their inability to grasp such simple concepts, so there's no point in trying to walk them through it. We'll just be sure to check back with them in a month, to savor their sweet tears of sorrow.
Will D turnout in Ohio be +11? Probably not quite. Maybe +8. The difference is normal margin of error stuff.
More randomly sampled voters are now identifying themselves as Democrats. That's not bias, that's just bad news for Republicans. So they're in denial about it, and they're making up these conspiracy theories to justify their denial.
Now, turnout is a very different thing than margin of winning, but Liability and Dr. House have already demonstrated their inability to grasp such simple concepts, so there's no point in trying to walk them through it. We'll just be sure to check back with them in a month, to savor their sweet tears of sorrow.
The D turnout in Ohio is unlikely to be much higher than (if any higher than) the Republican turnout.
The Dims are justifiably demotivated.
Indys are likely to break more for the GOP candidate than for the failed Dim candidate.
The undecided voters will come down on the side of Romney.
Ohio is going into the GOP column. Why? Because Ohioans may make some mistakes, but they ain't stupid.
NYcarbineer
Diamond Member
Will D turnout in Ohio be +11? Probably not quite. Maybe +8. The difference is normal margin of error stuff.
More randomly sampled voters are now identifying themselves as Democrats. That's not bias, that's just bad news for Republicans. So they're in denial about it, and they're making up these conspiracy theories to justify their denial.
Now, turnout is a very different thing than margin of winning, but Liability and Dr. House have already demonstrated their inability to grasp such simple concepts, so there's no point in trying to walk them through it. We'll just be sure to check back with them in a month, to savor their sweet tears of sorrow.
The D turnout in Ohio is unlikely to be much higher than (if any higher than) the Republican turnout.
The Dims are justifiably demotivated.
Indys are likely to break more for the GOP candidate than for the failed Dim candidate.
The undecided voters will come down on the side of Romney.
Ohio is going into the GOP column. Why? Because Ohioans may make some mistakes, but they ain't stupid.
Some of us haven't forgotten you made these same kind of insane arguments to claim that Fred Thompson was going to win the 2008 Iowa caucuses.
The Foxnews poll in Ohio had Obama leading among Independents.
AceRothstein
Gold Member
- Sep 8, 2012
- 5,978
- 1,441
- 245
Some of us haven't forgotten you made these same kind of insane arguments to claim that Fred Thompson was going to win the 2008 Iowa caucuses.
Really? What a dum-dum!
NYcarbineer
Diamond Member
A yes or no on your belief of what turnout will be...Link?
I asked for a yes or no...
Yes or no on something that hasn't happened yet?
Do you BELIEVE turnout will be D+11 in Ohio on election day?
Want to try again? Just a yes or no...
Why do you keep asking that question?
AceRothstein
Gold Member
- Sep 8, 2012
- 5,978
- 1,441
- 245
A yes or no on your belief of what turnout will be...Yes or no on something that hasn't happened yet?
Do you BELIEVE turnout will be D+11 in Ohio on election day?
Want to try again? Just a yes or no...
Why do you keep asking that question?
Because he is too stupid to realize how polling works.
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