The Mountain the Democrats Must Climb


It seems that you estimate a very low chance that the Democrats will win the Presidency and a much lower chance that Hillary will win the election. I'm curious, what probability do you estimate that Hillary will win the election?

I estimate a 30% chance by the time the election rolls around: Her chances are getting less every day.

After Paris, Americans see Trump, Clinton as most able to address terrorism: poll

Interesting. I'm curious. Suppose someone then offered you a bet where you get $15 if she isn't elected and paid $25 if she is, would you take it?
 
The Democrats have a virtual mountain they must climb to succeed in 2016. First, they must have a viable candidate. That is not clear as of this date.

Should Hillary be charged by Loretta Lynch on any of the charges being looked at by the FBI, her political future is over. Even if she is not charged, her trustworthiness and that of the Obama Administration will be tarnished.

Should Hillary secure the Presidency, she will face a Republican majority in the Senate and in the House. While there may be a chance that the Democrats will re-take the Senate, that is in no way a guarantee.

The argument that Obama has succeeded with executive orders and having legislation passed because of the failure of Republicans to achieve 60 votes is still no guarantee of Hillary's success in doing so.

Hillary really has no platform to run on. About the only platform she has proposed is free college tuition paid for by someone else's money. Any new tax is going to be greeted by strong opposition by both houses of Congress.

Indeed, the Democrats have a mountain to climb before 2016.

There are some realities you have left out or are not aware of. In 2012, minorities comprised 51% of the electorate, in 2016, that number will be closer to 63% with most supporting Hillary Clinton by a wide margin. This will result in a landslide for Democrats in 2016. The only way this coming juggernaut is stopped is by a war or a financial collapse both of which are minor blips on the radar screen thus far. Hillary Clinton will be damaged if the FBI comes up with criminal behavior charges, but frankly that is a very long shot. Even If she does go down, other candidates will arise and Republicans will still not have the numbers necessary to beat them.

Minorities will make up closer to 30% of the electorate. Eventhrough they're now 37% of the population groups like hispanics punch below their weight.

This is up from 28% in 2012 for the electorate.

Republicans will never win more then 300 electorals again. They can thank Reagans amnesty, and the immigration policies that helped change America.

Republicans must win all the normal red states plus Florida, Virgina, Ohio and Co.

Hillary: the first candidate to campaign for the US Presidency while subject of an FBI Investigation and charged with lying to Congress

Here is why Nuhuh, the left wing propagandist, is as full of crap as a Thanksgiving turkey.

(Pay attention lefty, I am educating you!)

The Hispanic population; which is very diverse I might add, resides mostly in 6 states. Here are those 6 states.....Texas, Nevada, New Jersey, Illinois, and Florida.

OK all you people who follow politics and think it is ALL about Hispanics, here is your SAT test!

With all those Hispanics, who is going to take Texas-) Shall we even say that Nevada is a toss up? Did the GOP ever think it would take California, New Jersey, or Illinois, no matter who lived there?!?!?!?! -) So what exactly has changed lefties?!?!?!?!?!?!?!

Oh yes, something has changed, and here it is---------> Florida!!!!!!!! What you say lefties, let us not talk about Florida, lololol. Oh yes we shall-)

You see, the Hispanic population of Florida is largely Cuban, and man oh man, do they hate the CASTRO brothers, and rightfully so! And so, who/whom has made a another ass kissing deal, this time with the CASTRO brothers? Why Barry and the Democrats, that is who, and the CUBAN community is livid!!!! Florida will go by 5 to 6 points GOP this time, in fact, don't be surprised if Debbie, Wasserman, (I know nothing, NOTHING) Shultz actually loses here place in the House!

But here is the other problem the Democrats have. Hispanics HATE Trump, (not Cubans though) but they do not hate Cruz or Rubio. (actually, they love Rubio, but will tolerate Cruz, eventhough his immigration policy mirrors Trumps) But most working Americans, including a lot of Democrat union workers, will vote Trump, Cruz, or Carson.

The Dems are in deep trouble, because some of their base is going to the other side, as long as certain GOP candidates win the nomination. (not Kasich or Bush. Want to lose, give them the nod) It is all about the illegal alien thing, American jobs for Americans, and wages being lowered by illegals taking American positions in companies. Add to that the fiasco that Disney pulled off with American stem workers, and the GOP has this election sown up, unless the establishment Republicans want to give it away, because they would rather keep Washington in control, because having some power sitting next to Hillary, is a whole lot better than having the states get back their power, even if you are sitting next to a President Cruz!

Screw both establishment parties. With enough working Democrats with us, Washington can go pound sand up their a**!!!!!!!
 
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The Democrat Party would have a much better shot at repairing their numbers in congress if their Messianic Leader would quit parading his affection for those who want America dead.

But, trust me on this, He won't.
 

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