The Mechanics of a Downturn

william the wie

Gold Member
Nov 18, 2009
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Let's keep this simple a downturn happens when more people try to sell than try to buy.

The only way short sellers and buyers of puts can make a profit is by buying the underlying issue and delivering it to the owner or writer respectively. This is expensive and provides a floor on the decline.

The only time you should ever even consider shorting is when nobody else is doing so. So, at the moment even though valuations are mostly insane a serious downturn cannot happen because of too many short sellers and put buyers in the market.
 

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