The Jacksonians vs. the Academics

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Adam's Apple, Apr 5, 2008.

  1. Adam's Apple
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    Adam's Apple Senior Member

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    http://www.townhall.com/columnists/michaelbarone/2008/04/05/the-democratic-tribes-at-war

    "The Democratic Tribes at War", Michael Barone's analysis of the 2008 Democratic primary.

    The original article from which this article was developed and a follow-up article can be found by going to the U.S. News & World Reports website and doing a search for Barone’s blogs. (These articles are lengthy, interesting, and analytical and strictly for political junkies like Barone and Chris Matthews.)
     
  2. midcan5
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    midcan5 liberal / progressive

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    Pure BS, tribes and other nonsense most of which is obvious, Townhall has few people who have ever had an original thought.
     
  3. Adam's Apple
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    Adam's Apple Senior Member

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    Try reading the article instead of pouncing on a few words, and you will find an interesting article that analyzes the various support groups lining up behind Hillary and Obama in their primary campaigns.
     
  4. midcan5
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    midcan5 liberal / progressive

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    The crux of his opinion is noted below: 'suggests' and 'may' are the key words and the voters he refers to probably have no idea who Jackson was or even what the hell he is getting at. And does any of this really fit anything except his imagination, when journalist are on weekly deadlines they tend to write weekly dead lines.

    "Polling suggests that the Democratic nominee may not be able to count on the losing candidate's tribes in November. Academics and young people and blacks may not turn out in extraordinary numbers for Clinton, as they have for Obama, and the upscale may prefer McCain to a tax increase.

    Similarly, Jacksonians, the elderly, the downscale and Latinos may prefer the very Jacksonian McCain to Obama. All of which should worry the super-delegates who must determine who wins the Democrats' tribal war."

    Do they?
     
  5. Adam's Apple
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    Adam's Apple Senior Member

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    You missed a lot of factual data by just reading the closing paragraphs. To produce his article on which voters are supporting Obama and which voters are supporting Clinton, Barone studied the polling data and examined how the voting went by county and congressional district from New Hampshire to Mississippi. His conclusions are logical and supported by the election data. He says here is what we learn by looking at the data. The intent of Barone's article was not to predict how the election will go but to identify factors that determine who supports Obama and who supports Clinton within the Democrat Pary.

    I would imagine that Democrat voters are very aware of who Jackson was since he was largely responsible for founding the current Democrat Party. Ever hear of the Jefferson-Jackson dinners, held to recognize the founders of your party?

    If the issue has no relevance, Democrats would not be so worried about a permanent split developing in the party over the outcome of the primary races and dooming their chances to occupy the White House.
     

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