The End Of The World

Discussion in 'Environment' started by Burp, Apr 22, 2009.

  1. Burp
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    Burp Always carry, never tell

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    Predictions made by scientists on Earth Day, 1970.


    “We have about five more years at the outside to do something.”
    • Kenneth Watt, ecologist

    “Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.”
    • George Wald, Harvard Biologist

    “Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.”
    • Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

    “Demographers agree almost unanimously on the following grim timetable: by 1975 widespread famines will begin in India; these will spread by 1990 to include all of India, Pakistan, China and the Near East, Africa. By the year 2000, or conceivably sooner, South and Central America will exist under famine conditions….By the year 2000, thirty years from now, the entire world, with the exception of Western Europe, North America, and Australia, will be in famine.”
    • Peter Gunter, professor, North Texas State University

    “Scientists have solid experimental and theoretical evidence to support…the following predictions: In a decade, urban dwellers will have to wear gas masks to survive air pollution…by 1985 air pollution will have reduced the amount of sunlight reaching earth by one half….”
    • Life Magazine, January 1970

    Stanford's Paul Ehrlich announces that the sky is falling.
    “Air pollution…is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”
    • Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist

    “We are prospecting for the very last of our resources and using up the nonrenewable things many times faster than we are finding new ones.”
    • Martin Litton, Sierra Club director

    “By the year 2000, if present trends continue, we will be using up crude oil at such a rate…that there won’t be any more crude oil. You’ll drive up to the pump and say, `Fill ‘er up, buddy,’ and he’ll say, `I am very sorry, there isn’t any.’”
    • Kenneth Watt, Ecologist

    “Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.”
    • Sen. Gaylord Nelson

    Earth Day predictions of 1970. The reason you shouldn’t believe Earth Day predictions of 2009.

    -----

    I believe the term is: pwned
     
  2. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    As I call it "moving the goal posts". They make these predictions to scare people into funding the companies that fund them ... then when they don't happen they have to make up something scarier to trick people a little while longer.
     
  3. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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  4. AVG-JOE
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    AVG-JOE American Mutt Staff Member Gold Supporting Member

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    It's a good thing people woke up and the 70's and 80's brought about anti-pollution legislation that caused these predictions to be thwarted...

    Do y'all think we can handle the challenges we face today?

    -Joe
     
  5. Burp
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    Burp Always carry, never tell

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    So even though none of those predictions came try, it's good they made them because everyone got scared and, hence, anti-pollution legislation?
     
  6. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    You do realize that all that legislation did was force people to use certain products and services, many of which were worse than the pollution they were creating. Oh wait ... the prophet (who never seems to live what he preaches) said it's so.
     
  7. Iriemon
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    Iriemon VIP Member

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    Maybe the term is logical fallacy. The fallacy in your point is the presumption that these warnings were all ignored and therefore they were all mistaken. Some predictions were silly. On the other hand, dynamic changes altered the predicted course, some of which were based on these warnings; which doesn't mean the prediction was invalid because it was based upon a continuation of present trends.

    Population rates declined in industrialized countries, though overpopulation is still a huge problem in many parts of the world. The passage of pollution controls has vastly improved air and water quality (even though as I recall it was supposed to bankrupt business). Wildlife preservations efforts have saved a number of critters from extinction.
     
  8. Iriemon
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    Iriemon VIP Member

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    Exactly. If there was a prediction that thousands would die from air pollution if things didn't change, and as a result pollution laws were passed that cleaned up the air so thousands didn't die, that didn't make the prediction and its warning invalid.
     
  9. Burp
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    Burp Always carry, never tell

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    [ame]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZUatnbaNfEo[/ame]
     
  10. KittenKoder
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    KittenKoder Senior Member

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    The flaw ... since they did nothing has apparently changed according to the scientists, this is why they don't focus on those anymore. Not to mention that none of their unalterable events (there are many) ever happened (CFC delayed effects for the most prominent example). The legislation hasn't caused any decrease in pollutants according to the same scientists, so these should have still happened. Now you are spinning completely.
     

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