The Ebb And Flow Of Military Success

PoliticalChic

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Within each of us are the seeds of our own destruction, so it is said. But that same warning applies not just to individuals, but to societies and to cultures. And to military endeavors.



1.While many of us are familiar with the cryptographic miracle, the Enigma Machine, first offered to the Imperial German Navy in April of 1918, the story begins in 1914 with the German light cruiser SMS Magdeburg, a ship of the Baltic Fleet, during the war with Britain, France and Russia.


2. The German navy, as was the method of the times, used coded and enciphered German messagesā€¦

ā€œGermany had been forced to rely almost exclusively on wireless communication after Britain, in the first days of the war, had followed through on its 1912 plan to cut Germany's undersea cablesā€¦. [using] code books governing German naval and diplomatic communications. By far the most important, and secret, was the German navy's SKM code, short for Signalbuch der Kaiserlichen Marineā€¦. Only holders of a cipher "key" could divine the underlying text,ā€¦ā€
German SKM Code


3. The Magdeburg had four of the codebooks to decipher the messages they got, and the ship was sent to the Gulf of Finland, to sink any Russian ships they found. Due to a heavy fog, the Magdeburg ran aground. Unable to free the ship, with Russian ships coming, the Germans blew up the Magdeburg, and destroyed the codebooks.

So they thought.




4. One crewman threw a codebook overā€¦..another dove in with one of the codebooksā€¦and drowned.
The following day, a Russian ship sent divers downā€¦.and recovered two codebooks.

ā€œā€¦the Russians recovered the latter two from the sea and the fourth from the captainā€™s safe. They later scrapped Magdeburg where she lay.
The Russians retained two of the codebooks for themselves and offered the third to the British, provided that a British ship collected it. This did not happen immediately, but the Admiralty received the codebook on 13 October.ā€
Allied Capture of German Naval Code Books




5. ā€œThe capture of the code books proved to provide a significant advantage for the Royal Navy. The Admiralty had recently created a deciphering department known as Room 40 to process intercepted German wireless signals. With the code books and cipher key, the British were able to track the movements of most German warships; this information could be passed on to the Admiral John Jellicoe, the commander of the Grand Fleet.[9] This allowed the British to ambush parts of or the entire German fleet on several occasions, most successfully at the Battles of Dogger Bank in January 1915 and Jutland in May 1916.ā€ SMS Magdeburg - Wikipedia





Pretty good luck for the Brits?

Andā€¦.the Germans never caught onā€¦.and, as a result, turned down the offer of the Enigma Machine when was offered to them in 1918.


Thenā€¦..Britain suffers from hoof-in-mouth disease.

Next.
 
6. The German Navy had no clue that the Brits had co-opted their secret codesā€¦until, in 1919, retired Admiral of the Royal Navy John Fisher, wrote his Memories:

ā€œThe development of the wireless has been such that you can get the direction of one who speaks [triangulation] and go for him; so the German darenā€™t open his mouth. But if he does, of course, the message is in cypher; and itā€™s the elucidation of that cypher which is one of the crowning glories of the Admiralty work in the late war. In my time, they never failed once in that elucidation.ā€ Memories, by Admiral of the fleet, Lord Fisher : Fisher, John Arbuthnot Fisher, Baron, 1841-1920 : Free Download, Borrow, and Streaming : Internet Archive




Imagine the Germans, when they read that.


Think it might have been smarter to keep it a secret?????
 
7. In 1923, Winston Churchill really rubbed it in, in his book ā€˜The World Crisis:ā€™ ā€œā€¦the German light cruiser Magdeburg was wrecked in the Balticā€¦.cypher and signal books of the German navyā€¦. able to decodeā€¦the German naval messages.ā€


8.ā€œSuddenly the German navy saw that a mere change of codes was no longer enough. It needed to fundamentally transform its system of secret communications.

Perhaps a machine was the answer.ā€ ā€œSeizing "The Enigma: The Race to Break the German U-Boat Codes, 1933-1945ā€
By David Kahn, p. 45




Would the German naval authority have taken the expense and the burden of the Enigma machine, had the Brits not bragged about having the code books?

Perhaps. Maybe even probably.

Butā€¦when?

And if they didn't....how different would 'The Battle of the Atlantic' have been?




And, in that book, Kahn makes the point that the idea that the actual Enigma Machine was captured, is an error. ā€œCaptured by the British were the keying books. These made the naval Enigma breakableā€¦.ā€
 
9. Soā€¦.due to a heavy fog, a German miscalculation, and good work by Russian divers, the Brits were able to read German naval communications in WWI.

What they couldnā€™t do was keep their mouths shut about the good fortune.





The German Imperial government, like any other, was top heavy with bean-counting bureaucrats, who couldnā€™t see the economic necessity for investing in cryptograph machines, like Enigma.....

That changed when the British Admiralty let the cat out of the bag.

And it almost cost the Allies WWII.




10. Early on, with their new secret code system, the Germans were sinking more ships than America and England could build.

And they were increasing the totals: from 126,000 tons sunk in January, 1941 to 249,000 tons in April (The War at Sea Volume I. The Defensive (HMSO Official History of WWII - Military Book 1), Roskill, p.616)
 
the Germans should've thought about the possibility that the books would be recovered
 
How do we determine the concept of military success? The greatest real estate captured with the lowest casualties used to be the criteria of military success but unfortunately the concept of "military success" rests with pop historians and the liberal media. Iraq was one of the greatest land battle victories in U.S. history but it came during a rare republican administration and was dismissed as a political failure. Normandy was touted as a military success but the breakout came at the cost of thousands of American lives.
 

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