OK the 2010 showed a steady out-migration from more liberal states to generally more conservative states as have all previous 20 censuses. The UC/tax cut compromise places greater fiscal and economic pressure on states with higher payouts: more liberal states; since states pay a share of UC. Anecdotal evidence suggests that the current trend is towards placing industry where year round use of barge traffic on the Mississippi and its tributaries give a logistical advantage and lower UC payouts give a fiscal and tax advantage. This will reduce the house and therefore Electoral College impact of traditionally liberal states. So my questions are how big do you expect such an effect to be and what are likely consequences?