Take that, Nate Silver!

Ah well, 3 days to 7Nov12. Guess we will see who is stupid, and who needs comfort then.
Guessing wrong doesn't make anyone "stupid", it just makes them wrong.

Besides, there are Guesses, Wild Ass Guesses and Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Nate Silver is making Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.
 
Ah well, 3 days to 7Nov12. Guess we will see who is stupid, and who needs comfort then.
Guessing wrong doesn't make anyone "stupid", it just makes them wrong.

Besides, there are Guesses, Wild Ass Guesses and Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Nate Silver is making Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Using the 2008 model.....s'ok though...we'll send him packing back to his jammies.
 
Ah well, 3 days to 7Nov12. Guess we will see who is stupid, and who needs comfort then.
Guessing wrong doesn't make anyone "stupid", it just makes them wrong.

Besides, there are Guesses, Wild Ass Guesses and Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Nate Silver is making Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Using the 2008 model.....s'ok though...we'll send him packing back to his jammies.

Nate the "boy genius" Silver was on the Wall Street Journal show today....bragging about Poker, baseball, and his 1 election "track record" (of course he failed to mention that he access to internal polling and Team Obama during the entire campaign!). He didn't seem 85% confident to me.....he looked scared!! :clap:
 
Guessing wrong doesn't make anyone "stupid", it just makes them wrong.

Besides, there are Guesses, Wild Ass Guesses and Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Nate Silver is making Scientific Wild Ass Guesses.

Using the 2008 model.....s'ok though...we'll send him packing back to his jammies.

Nate the "boy genius" Silver was on the Wall Street Journal show today....bragging about Poker, baseball, and his 1 election "track record" (of course he failed to mention that he access to internal polling and Team Obama during the entire campaign!). He didn't seem 85% confident to me.....he looked scared!! :clap:

He is taking it for the team this time around....Obama is fucked and most people know it.
 
Nate has Obama at 85.5% now. You'd have to be particularly retarded or dishonest to call that walking back ... but look who's talking.

RCP has Obama at +0.5% in the national vote. Looks like President Obama will walk away with the popular vote as well. No wonder all the righties here are having meltdowns. Here, let's get 'em a little meltier.

RCP O290-R248
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map No Toss Ups

Pollster.com O277-R191
Pollster: Pictures, Videos, Breaking News

Five-thirty-eight.com (Nate Silver) O306.4-R231.6 (85.5%)
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Princeton Election consortium (Sam Wang) O303-R235 (98.4%)
Princeton Election Consortium — A first draft of electoral history

Election Analytics O302.6-R235.4
Presidential Election 2012 | University of Illinois

Electoral Vote O281-R206
ElectoralVote

ElectionProjection O290-R248
2012 Election Polls, Daily Poll Report - Election Projection
 
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Nate has Obama at 85.5% now. You'd have to be particularly retarded or dishonest to call that walking back ... but look who's talking.

RCP has Obama at +0.5% in the national vote. Looks like President Obama will walk away with the popular vote as well. No wonder all the righties here are having meltdowns. Here, let's get 'em a little meltier.

RCP O290-R248
RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map No Toss Ups

Pollster.com O277-R191
Pollster: Pictures, Videos, Breaking News

Five-thirty-eight.com (Nate Silver) O306.4-R231.6 (85.5%)
Election Forecasts - FiveThirtyEight Blog - NYTimes.com

Princeton Election consortium (Sam Wang) O303-R235 (98.4%)
Princeton Election Consortium — A first draft of electoral history

Election Analytics O302.6-R235.4
Presidential Election 2012 | University of Illinois

Electoral Vote O281-R206
ElectoralVote

ElectionProjection O290-R248
2012 Election Polls, Daily Poll Report - Election Projection

Stupid people who support voter suppression post EV maps with no toss ups ;)
 
Did you know Ya Boi Nate

First, we understand that you on the right do the messiah thing all the time, but try to understand that we on the left don't share your need for daddy-figures. When Nate screws it up, we let him know, and it doesn't bother us at all.

is a "Climate Change Denier"?

Dead wrong. You can read Dr. Mann explaining it. Nate is wrong on a certain point, but he's no denialist.

Michael E. Mann: FiveThirtyEight: The Number of Things Nate Silver Gets Wrong About Climate Change
 
BREAKING NEWS!!! BREAKING NEWS!!!

The Final piece of data is in!!! Gnocchi the election-predicting pet squirrel from South Carolina, ate 9 nuts from his Romney bowl versus only 5 eaten from his Obama bowl!!! Like Nate "the boy Genius" Silver, this nut eating squirrel correctly predicted Obama's 2008 win. This Shit is OVAH!!!

14974415.jpg


The Five-30-Ate "model" now indicates that Romney has a 99.87% chance of winning the Presidency.
 
Well, Nate Silver and the RCP seemed actually to have underestimated the margin of the President's win.

:badgrin:Hey Zander, you like your crow boiled or fryed?:badgrin:
 
Well well well. I added this piece of data to my "Five-30-Ate" analysis (my very own "poll aggregation" site) and it is the final piece of "science" that puts Mitt way over the top - It now appears that Romney has an 84.9% chance of winning the electoral college and popular vote. Once I get the data from the Pizza Hut and Dunkin Donuts coffee cup surveys, the analysis will be complete, but at this point, it's really over. Obama will be unemployed soon....



Obviously that is just a scientific as Nate's "analysis" - which is to say it is non-scientific.


Republicans Have Won Every November 6th Presidential Election Since 1860

Why do you say Silver is non-scientific?

Lighten up Toro, it's a parody...:thup:

In 5 days Nate Silver will be remembered as the "boy genius" or the "fool". My money is on the latter.......

Here is the face of the man that the left has placed all of their hopes and dreams on....a 35 year old geek. Maybe you guys can run him for POTUS in 2016?

6a00d8341c90b153ef0154335e2c81970c-320wi

So Zander, how much money did you lose?:badgrin::badgrin:
 
Why do you say Silver is non-scientific?

Lighten up Toro, it's a parody...:thup:

In 5 days Nate Silver will be remembered as the "boy genius" or the "fool". My money is on the latter.......

Here is the face of the man that the left has placed all of their hopes and dreams on....a 35 year old geek. Maybe you guys can run him for POTUS in 2016?

6a00d8341c90b153ef0154335e2c81970c-320wi

So Zander, how much money did you lose?:badgrin::badgrin:

Nate Silver for President in 2016! He can run against The Donald, another rich, white, arrogant Republican.
 

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