Swing State Roundup for Obama Looks Great

Discussion in 'Politics' started by courseofhistory, Oct 18, 2012.

  1. courseofhistory
    Offline

    courseofhistory BANNED

    Joined:
    Aug 7, 2012
    Messages:
    1,230
    Thanks Received:
    179
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +181
    Swing state polling roundup at Kos looks great

    It's getting back to where it was pre-debates - and president over 50 in quite a few of them:

    Colorado (PPP, 10/16-18): Obama 50, Romney 47
    Florida (Newsmax/Zogby, 10/14-16): Obama 47, Romney 44
    Iowa (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 51, Romney 43
    Michigan (EPIC-MRA, 10/17): Obama 52, Romney 46
    North Carolina (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 46, Romney 52
    Ohio (Rasmussen, 10/17): Obama 49, Romney 48
    Ohio (SurveyUSA, 10/12-15): Obama 45, Romney 42
    Virginia (PPP, 10/15-16): Obama 49, Romney 48
    Wisconsin (Marist/NBC, 10/15-17): Obama 51, Romney 45
     
  2. auditor0007
    Offline

    auditor0007 Gold Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    12,566
    Thanks Received:
    2,255
    Trophy Points:
    255
    Location:
    Toledo, OH
    Ratings:
    +3,218
    It doesn't look great. Obama needs to see a change in the direction of these polls. Hopefully that will happen over this week, but cherry picking one favorable poll here and there to make a point does not change the fact that Romney has been riding a big wave of momentum. Right now, this election is up for grabs. If you live in a swing state, you might want to consider taking off of work on election day and making some phone calls or helping get out the vote.
     
  3. BluePhantom
    Offline

    BluePhantom Educator (of liberals)

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2011
    Messages:
    7,062
    Thanks Received:
    1,738
    Trophy Points:
    255
    Location:
    Portland, OR / Salem, OR
    Ratings:
    +3,137
    Sigh.........way to cherry pick a poll from every state to support the idea that Obama is in a good place. Leave to the Daily Kos (and COH)...and I can't believe you are using PPP and Marist to support the claim. Good Lord!
     
    Last edited: Oct 18, 2012
  4. Oldstyle
    Online

    Oldstyle Gold Member

    Joined:
    Jul 19, 2011
    Messages:
    20,600
    Thanks Received:
    3,069
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    Florida
    Ratings:
    +7,299
    Daily Kos? Really? LOL
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  5. Old Rocks
    Offline

    Old Rocks Diamond Member

    Joined:
    Oct 31, 2008
    Messages:
    46,440
    Thanks Received:
    5,409
    Trophy Points:
    1,840
    Location:
    Portland, Ore.
    Ratings:
    +10,294
  6. Listening
    Offline

    Listening Gold Member

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 2011
    Messages:
    14,989
    Thanks Received:
    1,642
    Trophy Points:
    260
    Ratings:
    +2,045
    My first thought is that Course should just make up the numbers instead of quoting these polls.
     
  7. BluePhantom
    Offline

    BluePhantom Educator (of liberals)

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2011
    Messages:
    7,062
    Thanks Received:
    1,738
    Trophy Points:
    255
    Location:
    Portland, OR / Salem, OR
    Ratings:
    +3,137
    Yeah....no toss ups. Now look at their count with toss ups and it's Romney 206, Obama 201

    RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

    Now let's have a look at those toss ups. Obama will take Michigan and Pennsylvania, he will probably take Wisconsin as well. That's 46 more for a total of 247.

    Romney will take Florida, Virginia, and Colorado for 51. That's a total of 257. If he takes Ohio it's game, set, and match. Obama is currently ahead in Ohio but a) it's within the margin of error, and b) his RCP average is being padded by PPP (run by the Democratic party and on average 4-5 points more favorable to Obama than the rest), and Marist (who is also always way out of line with everyone else and always favoring Obama). Ohio is probably Obama +1.5 - +2 right now. That's a closing trend in Romney's favor.

    If Obama continues to get good news like this from the Daily Kos Romney will be picking out his desk for the oval office pretty quickly.
     
  8. BluePhantom
    Offline

    BluePhantom Educator (of liberals)

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2011
    Messages:
    7,062
    Thanks Received:
    1,738
    Trophy Points:
    255
    Location:
    Portland, OR / Salem, OR
    Ratings:
    +3,137
    Well as far as PPP and Marist are concerned it's pretty much the same thing.
     
  9. Listening
    Offline

    Listening Gold Member

    Joined:
    Aug 27, 2011
    Messages:
    14,989
    Thanks Received:
    1,642
    Trophy Points:
    260
    Ratings:
    +2,045
    Remember when this thing first started....RCP had Obama with enough to win (that was without tossups). He's now behind Romney in leaning states by 5.

    This thing is only going in one direction.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 1
  10. BluePhantom
    Offline

    BluePhantom Educator (of liberals)

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2011
    Messages:
    7,062
    Thanks Received:
    1,738
    Trophy Points:
    255
    Location:
    Portland, OR / Salem, OR
    Ratings:
    +3,137
    Ahhhh but according to the...ahem...Daily Kos :lol: there's so much for Obama supporters to be thrilled about. Like the headline said "It's looking great" :rofl:
     

Share This Page