Swing State Polls: Ryan Helps Romney in Wisconsin, While Obama Keeps Ohio Lead

Aug 7, 2012
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These polls trace issues that will decide matters in the swing states:

• Caring: Obama leads 52% to 35% percent when polled on “care about the needs of people like you.” Those this may seem a trivial measure, it goes much deeper than "who you'd like to have a beer with." The issues people care about right now are major questions about country's direction.

• Obama has an atronomical lead over Romney with African-American voters. Again, the key here is for Obama to spend his time wooing independents, while Romney needs to appeal to food-on-the-table issues that appeal to all voters.

• Women. Obama holds a 13-point lead amongst women voters in Ohio. The "war on women" that has caused such controversy over the past several months actually hides the fact that women's issues are rather low on both candidate's agendas. This voting block can only be swung out of the liberal camp by a clear Republican enunciation of economic issues.

The article also says that this point, Obama's lead in the swing states looks conclusive. There is always time for surprises, however, like in the case of Carter's astonishing lead over Ronald Reagan that suddenly flipped to a Republican victory. Peggy Noonan's advice to Romney both sides: articulate why your plan for healthcare and the economy is better, and you can sway anxious voters.

Problem is he won't give details!

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The trend is against obama. Even in states where he is leading, his lead is shrinking. That's his problem. The trend is against him. In some cases obama can only lead by splitting the voters into smaller segments. obama doesn't lead among women. He leads among single women. Romney leads among married women.

Obama Struggles With 'Marriage Gap'

obama leads in Chicago, but doesn't in Illinois. obama's lead is getting smaller and smaller because he has to section off smaller and smaller groups of people to see a lead at all.
 

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