Summer Temps Below Average for USA; 34th coolest on record



I live in Indiana and visited Minnesota this year. I'll confirm that it has been cool in both locations. I happen to prefer the warmer end of the normal temperature variation in both places. Oh, well. At least the economic recovery continues, I guess, I'm told. Oh, God, how the cash rolls in...

I was looking for a map of temperature stations and stumbled across this article:

http://wattsupwiththat.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/surfacestationsreport_spring09.pdf

In it is an interesting description of various items, no map, on the collection of US Weather Data by NOAA. One part is about the change from Whitewash used in the early part of the record to Latex paint used since the 70's to coat the little bird house looking thingy's used to shield the thermometers.

The 70's is a point in the record when there was a big uptick in the "warming". See the comments on the effect in the change of the coating materials on the shielding structures below:

<snip> from page 4:

One is bare wood, unpainted, as a control; the middle one is
painted with latex, as sent by the supplier; and the third is painted with
a historically accurate (for early twentieth century) whitewash mixture
that I obtained (both materials and formula) from the head chemist at the National Lime Company.

<snip> from page 5

This test showed that changes to the surface coatings did
make a difference in the temperatures recorded in these
standard thermometer shelters, shown in Figure 3. I found
a 0.3º F difference in maximum temperature and a 0.8º F
difference in minimum temperature between the whitewashand
latex-painted screens. This is a big difference, especially
when we consider that the concern over anthropogenic
global warming was triggered by what these stations
reported was an increase of about 1.2º F over the entire
twentieth century.

<snip>

Code again. Quote has ended. Please recall also that from the 70's forward, virtually every temperature in the record has been adjusted upward by NOAA to account for innaccuracies. Interesting to those who wonder about such things.
 
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Sorry to leave you hanging. There really is no "and". I just thought that it was interesting.

If you read the article, Watts explains that various temperature stations have been engulfed by Urbanization where once there was a rural setting.

The heat island effect is well documented. If the Latex paint adds to the readings over and above that and then the readings are adusted upward again after having been recorded, how many upward anthropogenic adjustments are required to completely overwhelm the actual recorded warming?

We're only talking about a degree in any event.
 
yep sounds irrelevant, in the PNW we tied a record yesterday for the most 90 degree days in a year, and if today gets over 90 we'll set a new record for the year, anomalies
 
yep sounds irrelevant, in the PNW we tied a record yesterday for the most 90 degree days in a year, and if today gets over 90 we'll set a new record for the year, anomalies


Glads to hear that Summer was present somewhere. It was AWOL in the Mid West.

The vast temperature differences really makes one question the accurracy of projections made in the Arctic where there are comparitively few temperature stations and the last one in any particular area covers 1000's of square miles.

When Portland Oregon is having one of it's warmest Summers and Minneapolis is having one of its coolest Summers, the variability of weather at latitude across distance really is punctuated.

Nationwide, this Summer has produced about 3000 record low highs and record low lows.

I know in Indy, the number of 90 degree days has been very low. In 2007, there were weeks when it never got below 85 even at night and we were knocking on the door for 100 often in August.

That was too hot. This year too cool. I like Baby Bear Weather.
 
The sun is at its lowest level of activity in 80 years, and the ocean temperatures are the highest ever recorded.
 
NOAA: Warmest Global Ocean Surface Temperatures on Record for July
16 August 2009
The planet&#8217;s ocean surface temperature was the warmest on record for July, breaking the previous high mark established in 1998 according to an analysis by NOAA&#8217;s National Climatic Data Center. The combined average global land and ocean surface temperature for July 2009 ranked fifth-warmest since world-wide records began in 1880.

The global ocean surface temperature for July 2009 was the warmest on record, 1.06 °F (0.59 °C) above the 20th century average of 61.5 °F (16.4 °C). This broke the previous July record set in 1998. The July ocean surface temperature departure of 1.06 °F from the long-term average equals last month&#8217;s value, which was also a record.
The global land surface temperature for July 2009 was 0.92 °F (0.51 °C) above the 20th century average of 57.8 °F (14.3 °C), and tied with 2003 as the ninth-warmest July on record.
The combined global land and ocean surface temperature for July 2009 was the fifth warmest on record, at 1.03 °F (0.57 °C) above the 20th century average of 60.4 °F (15.8 °C).

Green Car Congress: NOAA: Warmest Global Ocean Surface Temperatures on Record for July
 
I'm surprised that as mild as it's been this summer that any of that ice at the North Pole got the chance to melt. Maybe it was warmer up there! Maybe this is just all bullshit too.:lol:
 


And another in the continuing study of the Arctic Sea ice Extent. Highlighted in red below is an interesting tid bit. In 1905, Amundson navigated the Northwest Passage. This strikes me as interesting in that it was open in 1905.

It was open again briefly recently and may or may not have been open this year. Have we cooled since 1905? If the ice is melting...

Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis

Sea routes in the Arctic

The Northwest Passage is not a single passage, but rather a number of possible routes through the channels of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. Satellite images show that the shallow and narrow southern route, which Amundsen navigated in 1905, appeared to open briefly this August. This route was also open in 2007 and 2008. The deeper northern route, of great interest for potential commercial transport, was open in 2007 but is still blocked by ice this year.

On the other side of the Arctic, the Northern Sea Route is open along most of the route, except for a narrow band of ice between the islands of Severnaya Zemlya and the Siberian mainland. Ice tends to persist in this area because of winds that push ice into the constrained region. Even during the record low extent year of 2007, the area around Severnaya Zemlya remained clogged with ice.

Evidence based on satellite data should not be taken as proof of safe conditions for shipping—hazardous areas of ice may remain.
 
Note that the temps for this year have tied those of 2003 as the fifth warmest year on record. Given the growing El Nino, 2009 will probably end up being the third or fourth warmest year on record. Not at all what you predicted, Code, and exactly what I predicted. It is very likely that 2010 will exceed both 1998 and 2010 as the warmest year on record. As previously stated and restated, all that drivel about cooling was just exactly that, drivel.


Other Notable Developments

Current sea ice extent as measured by NOAA's GOES, POES, and DMSP satellites.

High resolution (Credit: NOAA)
For the year to date, the combined global land and ocean surface temperature of 58.3 degrees F tied with 2003 for the fifth-warmest January-August period on record. This value is 0.99 degree F above the 20th century average.
According to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC), Arctic sea ice covered an average of 2.42 million square miles during August. This is 18.4 percent below the 1979-2000 average extent, and is generally consistent with a decline of August sea ice extent since 1979.
NSIDC data indicated Antarctic sea ice extent in August was 2.7 percent above the 1979-2000 average. This is consistent with the trend during recent decades of modest increases in August Antarctic sea ice extent.

NOAA - National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration - NOAA: Warmest Global Sea-Surface Temperatures for August and Summer
 


And another in the continuing study of the Arctic Sea ice Extent. Highlighted in red below is an interesting tid bit. In 1905, Amundson navigated the Northwest Passage. This strikes me as interesting in that it was open in 1905.

It was open again briefly recently and may or may not have been open this year. Have we cooled since 1905? If the ice is melting...

Arctic Sea Ice News & Analysis

Sea routes in the Arctic

The Northwest Passage is not a single passage, but rather a number of possible routes through the channels of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago. Satellite images show that the shallow and narrow southern route, which Amundsen navigated in 1905, appeared to open briefly this August. This route was also open in 2007 and 2008. The deeper northern route, of great interest for potential commercial transport, was open in 2007 but is still blocked by ice this year.

On the other side of the Arctic, the Northern Sea Route is open along most of the route, except for a narrow band of ice between the islands of Severnaya Zemlya and the Siberian mainland. Ice tends to persist in this area because of winds that push ice into the constrained region. Even during the record low extent year of 2007, the area around Severnaya Zemlya remained clogged with ice.

Evidence based on satellite data should not be taken as proof of safe conditions for shipping&#8212;hazardous areas of ice may remain.

Amundsen's ships were not large modern freighters.

Northwest Passage - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Amundsen expedition
Main article: Roald Amundsen
The Northwest Passage was not conquered by sea until 1906, when the Norwegian explorer Roald Amundsen, who had sailed just in time to escape creditors seeking to stop the expedition, completed a three-year voyage in the converted 47-ton herring boat Gjøa. At the end of this trip, he walked into the city of Eagle, Alaska, and sent a telegram announcing his success. Although his chosen east&#8211;west route, via the Rae Strait, contained young ice and thus was navigable, some of the waterways were extremely shallow making the route commercially impractical.

Now read that carefully. Do you realize just how ridiculous that your comparison of a 47 ton herring boat that took three years to do the passage is compared to the multi-thousand ton freightors that are using the North East Passage as we post.
 
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yep sounds irrelevant, in the PNW we tied a record yesterday for the most 90 degree days in a year, and if today gets over 90 we'll set a new record for the year, anomalies

Currently they are predicting three 90+ days for next week. Really hate that, repairing heavy machinery in a steel mill is a bitch on hot days.
 
When it's WAY fucking HOT, that's AGW!

When it starts getting damn fucking COLD, that too is AGW (since applying algorian nuance results in knowing all about "paradoxical effects").

And if the average global temperature stays the same for any extended period of time, that's UTTERLY unexpected (said with ALARM!) and thus qualifies as concrete proof of -- you guessed it -- AGW!

But surely, it must either get hotter or colder or the temperature must remain unchanged, and therefore we have compelling PROOF of AGW!

This is "good science" as well as flawless logic! :D (Shhhh. Anybody mentions that it qualifies as neither and the AGW crowd will be all up in arms.)

AGW: it can't be "disproved" so it MUST be "good!"
 
When it's WAY fucking HOT, that's AGW!

When it starts getting damn fucking COLD, that too is AGW (since applying algorian nuance results in knowing all about "paradoxical effects").

And if the average global temperature stays the same for any extended period of time, that's UTTERLY unexpected (said with ALARM!) and thus qualifies as concrete proof of -- you guessed it -- AGW!

But surely, it must either get hotter or colder or the temperature must remain unchanged, and therefore we have compelling PROOF of AGW!

This is "good science" as well as flawless logic! :D (Shhhh. Anybody mentions that it qualifies as neither and the AGW crowd will be all up in arms.)

AGW: it can't be "disproved" so it MUST be "good!"

Now you are being silly. There has been no major cooling in the last 30 years. And one of the predictions of global warming is wider and wilder weather swings, with an overall increase in the average temperatures. And that is precisely what we are seeing.

If you wish to ignore reality, that is your right. However, making sophmoric comments does not impress anyone with the least intellect.
 
New GOES-R weather satellite...

U.S. weather satellite's launch promises 'quantum leap' in forecasts
Nov 19 2016 - A U.S. weather satellite that will "revolutionize" forecasting blasted off from Florida's Cape Canaveral on Saturday, promising to deliver continuous high-definition views of hurricanes and other storms over the Western Hemisphere.
A detailed stream of images provided by the satellite is expected to sharpen weather forecasts, provide more advanced warning of floods and better tracking of wildfires, plumes and volcanic ash clouds. Carried atop an Atlas 5 rocket, the GOES-R satellite lifted off from Cape Canaveral Air Force Station at 6:42 p.m. EST. The launch was delayed an hour to resolve a technical issue with the rocket, developed by United Launch Alliance, a partnership of Lockheed Martin Corp. (LMT.N) and Boeing Co. (BA.N), said NASA launch commentator Mike Curie. A second, unrelated issue also contributed to the delay.

Once in position 22,300 miles (35,888 km) above the equator, GOES-R is designed to take a complete picture of the hemisphere every five minutes while simultaneously zooming in on specific regions to monitor fires, volcanic eruptions, heavy rainfall and storms. The satellite, the 17th in the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) series, is the first to be launched since 2010. It is a step up from its predecessors, which take 30 minutes to image the hemisphere and are not capable of carrying out multiple tasks at the same time. “This is a quantum leap,” Sandra Cauffman, deputy director of Earth Sciences at NASA, said at a press conference on Thursday. "It will truly revolutionize weather forecasting.” The heart of the new satellite is a high-resolution camera, designed and built Exelis Inc., a subsidiary of Harris Corp (HRS.N). It can see in 16 wavelengths, compared with five available with the current system.

GOES-R, developed by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, has four times better resolution and can take images five times faster than its predecessors, said NOAA program scientist Steven Goodman. The satellite's capabilities go beyond weather forecasting. The sharper view will enable forecasters to see waves in clouds, for example, so pilots can avoid turbulence and give airline passengers smoother rides. GOES-R, built by Lockheed, includes the first operational lightning mapper, which will image lightning fields in the western hemisphere 200 times a second, NOAA said.

It is the first of four satellites in a system upgrade that will cost $11 billion, including launch fees, said NOAA Assistant Administrator Stephen Volz. The next satellite is slated for launch in 2018. GOES, along with a second, polar-orbiting weather satellite network operated by NOAA, has faced cost overruns and program delays due to technical issues and mismanagement, according to a December 2015 U.S. Government Accountability Office report. Once in orbit, the new satellite will undergo about 11 months of testing before it joins the operational fleet, which now numbers three units, NOAA said.

U.S. weather satellite's launch promises 'quantum leap' in forecasts

See also:

Space junk project exposes threat to missions
Sun, Nov 20, 2016 - The mass of “space junk” orbiting the Earth poses a serious threat to future exploration, a British scientist said on Friday at the launch of a project to raise awareness of the issue.
“Tackling the problem of space debris is one of humankind’s greatest environmental challenges, but is also perhaps the one that is the least known,” said Hugh Lewis, head of astronautics research at the University of Southampton. He was supporting the launch of a creative project at London’s Royal Astronomical Society by artists and scientists aiming to shed light on the 27,000 pieces of debris being tracked as they orbit the Earth. There are believed to be about 100 million pieces in total, but some are too small to chart. So-called “space junk” has been left in space during the many missions that have taken place since the Soviet Union launched Sputnik 1, the first artificial satellite, in 1957.

The debris now poses a serious threat to future space exploration, scientists say. “Every day we use and rely on services provided by satellites without ever realizing how vulnerable they are,” Lewis said. Space debris puts these satellites at risk of being destroyed or damaged and “may affect the dreams and ambitions of future generations to work and live in space,” he said. The project, titled Adrift, uses film, sound and social media to explore the dangers of space junk.

P04-161120-305.jpg

People watch a rocket with a payload of four satellites lift off from a European Space Agency facility in Kourou, French Guiana​

A documentary by filmmaker Cath le Couteur features British-American meteorologist and astronaut Piers Sellers, who dropped his spatula during a space walk on NASA’s Discovery mission in 2006. The tool was left traveling at a speed of 27,000kph before burning up in the atmosphere. “Space debris as an operating astronaut, it was just the enemy... It’s a sleet of very fast-moving stuff,” Sellers said in the film. Speaking at the launch, Le Couteur said the documentary highlighted a “critical contemporary crisis.” “It is now a very serious threat to future space exploration, to us here on Earth, and to the damage and destruction of satellites that we rely on,” she said.

Audiences can “adopt” a piece of space junk on Twitter, such as Vanguard, the second US satellite into space and the oldest existing piece of space debris. The project also includes an attempt to follow audibly the path of space debris, using an electromechanical sound instrument to transform its movement into sound. BAFTA-winning composer and sound artist Nick Ryan recorded 1,000 sounds using objects chosen to represent space debris — which itself is silent — and used them to represent live data from space.

Space junk project exposes threat to missions - Taipei Times
 

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