Sqeezing NK

[Annie]

Links at stie. Which is worse for China, a NK that will not fall in line or an armed Japan?:

http://austinbay.net/blog/?p=1276

7/9/2006
The python strategy: North Korea in the squeeze
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* General

— site admin @ 6:34 pm

I first wrote about the Bush Administration’s “python embargo” on May 14, 2003.

The diplomatic component was ovious– the six-nation talks. It’s a ballet of sorts.

The Times On-Line now reveals some of the “covert war” elements of s policy designed to squeeze the nukes out of Pyongyang.

The lede:

A PROGRAMME of covert action against nuclear and missile traffic to North Korea and Iran is to be intensified after last week’s missile tests by the North Korean regime.

Intelligence agencies, navies and air forces from at least 13 nations are quietly co-operating in a “secret war” against Pyongyang and Tehran.


It has so far involved interceptions of North Korean ships at sea, US agents prowling the waterfronts in Taiwan, multinational naval and air surveillance missions out of Singapore, investigators poring over the books of dubious banks in the former Portuguese colony of Macau and a fleet of planes and ships eavesdropping on the “hermit kingdom” in the waters north of Japan.

Few details filter out from western officials about the programme, which has operated since 2003, or about the American financial sanctions that accompany it.

But together they have tightened a noose around Kim Jong-il’s bankrupt, hungry nation.

“Diplomacy alone has not worked, military action is not on the table and so you’ll see a persistent increase in this kind of pressure,” said a senior western official.

In a telling example of the programme’s success, two Bush administration officials indicated last year that it had blocked North Korea from obtaining equipment used to make missile propellant.

The Americans also persuaded China to stop the sale of chemicals for North Korea’s nuclear weapons scientists. And a shipload of “precursor chemicals” for weapons was seized in Taiwan before it could reach a North Korean port.



Note the date of the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI)– May 31, 2003. The “python embargo” was becoming a “python strategy.” The financial restriction element is also essential.

As for Japanese military options The London Times says:

The [Japanese] government is already committed to installing defensive Pac-3 Patriot missiles in co-operation with the Americans. But radical opinion in Japan has been fortified by Kim’s adventures.


“The vast majority of Japanese agree that we need to be able to carry out first strikes,” said Yoichi Shimada, a professor of international relations at Fukui Prefectural University.

“I spoke to Mr Abe earlier this week and he shares my opinion that for Japan, the most important step would be for Japan to have an offensive missile capability.”

Such talk causes severe concern to Washington, which has sheltered Japan under the umbrella of its nuclear arsenal since forging a security alliance after the second world war.

Read the entire article.