Sociology: Of Demographics and War

[Annie]

Gee, the one degree that I've seldom used since working MSA's for the 'phone company breakup':

http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htterr/articles/20070112.aspx

Conclusion:

...Heinsohn also points that many historical upheavals were attributable, at least in part, to the Youth Bulge. These would include the American and French Revolutions and many other uprisings in places like Ireland and Latin America. The current growth of Youth Bulge can largely be blamed on Western efforts to improve the lives and health of people in the developing world. No good deed goes unpunished.

This "youthquake" problem is taken for granted by many experienced terrorism and criminology experts. But the pattern is not generally recognized as the main cause of unrest. However, historically it appears to be the case. In pre-industrial societies, 5-10 years of favorable weather would create an abundance of food, and a population explosion. There would follow a period of civil unrest and wars as these kids came of age. Zoologists note the same pattern in animal populations. Humans are more complex beasts, but just as the American crime rates began to plunge in the 1990s, as the Youth Bulge disappeared, so will the civil disorders and terrorism now causing so much misery. The one new element is the presence of weapons of mass destruction (WMD), which youthful rebels have already used once (the Japanese terrorist attacks with nerve gas in 1995). This has led to the current dispute between those who advocate taking the youthful terrorists head on, and those who prefer to treat the terrorists like a police problem, and basically wait them out. For many in the United States, terrorists using airliners as WMD on September 11, 2001, was justification for declaring war on unruly youth.

 

[trobinett]

Gee, the one degree that I've seldom used since working MSA's for the 'phone company breakup':

http://www.strategypage.com/htmw/htterr/articles/20070112.aspx

Conclusion:

Makes some sense, in a scary sort of way.......

 

[Annie]

Makes some sense, in a scary sort of way.......

Yes it does. Then you also need to study birthrates in West. Scary thing, while there might be some reduction on the Islamic side, they can't help but overtake the West...

 

[Gunny]

Yes it does. Then you also need to study birthrates in West. Scary thing, while there might be some reduction on the Islamic side, they can't help but overtake the West...

By the time they overtake "us," we will most likely be Mexicans anyway.

 

[trobinett]

By the time they overtake "us," we will most likely be Mexicans anyway.

Ouch!!