So Who Were The Most Accurate Pollsters?

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Black_Label, Nov 7, 2012.

  1. Black_Label
    Offline

    Black_Label Registered Democrat

    Joined:
    Jun 20, 2012
    Messages:
    6,306
    Thanks Received:
    508
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +514
    The final results are in and here's the official results from the final polls compared to the election results with their bias:

    Politico: Tie, Bias -2.2 Right wing

    Rasmussen: Willard +1, Bias -3.2 right wing

    IDB: Obama +1, Bias -1.2 Right wing

    CNN: Tie, Bias -2.2 Right wing

    Gallup: Willard +1, Bias -3.2 right wing

    ABC: Obama +3, Bias +0.8 left wing

    Monmouth/surveyusa: Tie, Bias -2.2 right wing

    NBC: Obama +1, Bias -1.2 right wing

    Pew: Obama +3, Bias +0.8 left wing

    RCP: Obama +0.7, Bias -1.5 right wing

    Unskewed, the one that claims to "fix" the democratic bias to polls, Willard +2.7, Bias, -4.9 right wing

    Now factoring in the margins of error to give the most to the least accurate pollster, the results are,.....

    1. Pew

    2. ABC

    3. NBC

    4. IDB

    5. RCP

    6. Monmouth/surveyusa

    7. Politico

    8. CNN

    9. Gallup

    10. Rasmussen

    11. Unskewed

    What we can clearly see is that there was no "oversampling of dems" conspiracy the right wing machine was trying to spread, quite the opposite. Most pollsters oversampled republicans.

    Proof again that rasmussen is nothing but right wing propaganda that fudges the numbers to give the right wingers a stroke job, and the classic "the polls are lib biased!" tinfoil conspiracy unskewed was trying to pull was nothing but a complete steaming pile of shit.

    Remember this thread, any time a right winger tries to claim rasmussen or unskewed are "the most accurate" it will be proof again they are full of shit :clap2:

    RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Romney vs. Obama
     
    Last edited: Nov 7, 2012
  2. nodoginnafight
    Offline

    nodoginnafight No Party Affiliation

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2008
    Messages:
    11,755
    Thanks Received:
    1,069
    Trophy Points:
    175
    Location:
    Georgia
    Ratings:
    +1,497
    I think you are making the same mistake that Fordham political science teacher made in 2008 when he used incomplete numbers to grade pollsters.

    I think when all the votes are finally counted - the real final result might be different than Obama +2.2.
     
  3. Truthmatters
    Offline

    Truthmatters BANNED

    Joined:
    May 10, 2007
    Messages:
    80,182
    Thanks Received:
    2,223
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +2,233
    Not Rass
     
  4. nodoginnafight
    Offline

    nodoginnafight No Party Affiliation

    Joined:
    Dec 15, 2008
    Messages:
    11,755
    Thanks Received:
    1,069
    Trophy Points:
    175
    Location:
    Georgia
    Ratings:
    +1,497
    No - I believe Rass will only get further away from the actual total. Seems a lot of the counting that remains is in places where Obama's margins were fairly big,. But there are some votes out there Romney as well in ruralish kinds of state where he did well like Tennessee.

    But I do think the final count could get up to as much as 2.5 or 2.6.
     
  5. Black_Label
    Offline

    Black_Label Registered Democrat

    Joined:
    Jun 20, 2012
    Messages:
    6,306
    Thanks Received:
    508
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +514
    I agree it's possible once all the votes from florida come in the results for Obama could go even higher :D
     

Share This Page