Gotta agree Faun - that said, some of these are online polls or polls that call nothing but landlines or nothing but cell phones. That's why I rarely trust 3-4 point RCPAs. The swing vote could be women - many won't pop the chad for Creepy Roy. And after his "blacks were better off under slavery" comment (or whatever it was .. close to that, the black turnout may be a surprise. All that said - I hope he wins .. Dems will tie him around Republican's necks like an old sweaty sock in 2018.