Discussion in 'Europe' started by Zhukov, Jan 1, 2006.
This crisis will probably cease soon. Ukrain needs this gas. Russia need to export it. and the rest of Europe need it to. particularly countries who didn't import a lot from other countries. Poland's stock is only for 1 week. UK's stock only for 14 days. France for 48, and Germany for 75.
Western Europe has other countries (like France : Algeria and North sea), but some eastern countries, or central countries, like Austria, would have more problem if Russia stop its exportations. There is already a pressure low in Austria.
Russia is trying to regain Ukraine, no?
if regain means "take back", maybe.
Russia lost influence with the "Orange revolution", when Ioutchenko came at the power. Ukraine went near Europe, and took its distance with Russia. Russia is probably making pay Ukraine for this reason. Putin knows that 80 % of the gas for Europe go through Ukraine.
So, if you were Ukrainian, what would you want your gov't to do? I mean the one you voted for and basically revolted for?
I would want that the government will find an issue to the crisis, becasue without gas, it's hard...particularly during winter. But Ukraine shouldn't have to pay to much for the gas too....so, 2 interest in contradiction : preservation of the gas for Ukraine, and avoid to pay a lot for it.
If they hold out, find another producer, even more expensive, they will win. If they give in, they will have paid ransom and never be safe from the Bear again.
Two good finds:
If the Ukrain is a major point of transport, seems like a lose-lose scenario for all. Pretty testy situation.
Ukraine can siphon off gas if it is forced to, but Russia cannot afford to play this game for long, they need the $$$ too much. Best thing US/EU could do, back Ukraine and find other sources, then Ukraine could demand removal of Russian pipes or they will confiscate them.
Separate names with a comma.