Romney wins Iowa by 8 votes

2012 Iowa Caucus - Results | Politics | Fox News

Romney wins by 8 fucking votes...A state that he was beat by nearly 10 percent by Hickabee in 2008. He is expected to Win new hempshire by 20 points within 7 days...McCain beat him hard there in 2008....>Totally different game for Mitt then 2008 this year.

S.carolina is a toss up and Florida should be a close one, but mitt might win it. Nevada's mitt's to lose.
RealClearPolitics - Latest Election Polls
 
PRESIDENT – FLORIDA – GOP PRIMARY (TelOpinion)
Mitt Romney 27%
Newt Gingrich 26%
Ron Paul 5%
Rick Perry 4%
Michele Bachmann 4%
Jon Huntsman 1%
Rick Santorum 1%

About a week old, but after Iowa and New hempshire wouldn't suprise me if that increases for mitt.:eusa_boohoo:
 
Real Clear Politics - Average

Iowa - Romney +1.3 RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus

New Hampshire - Romney +22.2 RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - New Hampshire Republican Presidential Primary

South Carolina - Gingrich +16 RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - South Carolina Republican Presidential Primary

Florida - Gingrich +7 RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - Florida Republican Presidential Primary

Personally, I don't believe Gingrich will do that well in South Carolina and Florida.
 
Some thoughts.

Romney- Well, no matter where Romney placed tonight, his constituency in the MSM (until after he gets the nomination, anyway. See also John McCain) was going to declare it a victory for him. Really, though, he spent millions of dollars, had the whole of the GOP establishment behind him, had a huge organization, and he got a whole 8 votes more than a washed up ex-Senator who had the good fortune of being the last "not Romney" the base looked at. He got less of a percentage than he did in Iowa in 2008.

Santorum did well, and he's the "not Romney de jour for the moment. This just means that MSM hasn't gotten around to sliming him like they've slimed everyone else. He lacks the organization, but he might get a grassroots swell at this point. We'll see.

Ron Paul- Is not going to be the nominee.

Newt- Newt still has the resources to continue. South Carolina is his make or break state as he competes with Santorum to be the last "Not Romney" standing.

Rick Perry- Is apparently "reassessing" his campaign. Ah, if only you assessed your campaign before you started it, Ricky! If he drops out, that's a lot of Not Romney votes up for grabs.

Michelle Bachmann- Done, finished, stick a fork in her. She has to concentrate on winning her congressional seat.

Jon Huntsman- Never had any skin in the game in Iowa, so he's going to be waiting for NH. Romney's "win" (no, no, really, it's a win when 75% vote for someone else!) probably makes it harder for him to gain traction, so he's out after New Hampshire.
 

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