Romney neck and neck with Obama in the polls !!

[yidnar]

with 6 months to go the race is even !! thats good news for Romney !!history shows that the challenger usually gains in % points 6 months out !! good by Obama !!

 

[RightWingFerret]

this would make a great billboard,,,,,CAN'T FIND A JOB? IT'S OBAMA'S FAULT !!!

 

[JoeB131]

with 6 months to go the race is even !! thats good news for Romney !!history shows that the challenger usually gains in % points 6 months out !! good by Obama !!

Not really. Usually the incumbant wins...

We haven't thrown out an incumbant in 20 years. We haven't thrown out an incumbant whose party has only held the presidency for one term in 32 years.

Romney is trailing Obama and this is really Romney's high water mark.

It's too bad the GOP couldn't come up with a real candidate.

 

[SniperFire]

with 6 months to go the race is even !! thats good news for Romney !!history shows that the challenger usually gains in % points 6 months out !! good by Obama !!

Not really. Usually the incumbant wins...

We haven't thrown out an incumbant in 20 years. We haven't thrown out an incumbant whose party has only held the presidency for one term in 32 years.

Romney is trailing Obama and this is really Romney's high water mark.

It's too bad the GOP couldn't come up with a real candidate.

 

[JoeB131]

Some day, Sniper might add something to a conversation...

some day.

 

[yidnar]

Some day, Sniper might add something to a conversation...

some day.

as the heat gets turned up on Obama his % points will plummet !!

 

[RightWingFerret]

the average american sees Obama as the equivalent of Barney the Dinasour,Bigbird and Spongebob Squarepants all rolled into one. thats why he never polls higher than 45%.

 

[JoeB131]

the average american sees Obama as the equivalent of Barney the Dinasour,Bigbird and Spongebob Squarepants all rolled into one. thats why he never polls higher than 45%.

RealClearPolitics - Election Other - President Obama Job Approval


Poll

Date

Sample

Approve

Disapprove

Spread



RCP Average

4/11 - 5/4

--

47.8

47.7

+0.1



Gallup

5/2 - 5/4

1500 A

48

46

+2



Rasmussen Reports

5/2 - 5/4

1500 LV

50

49

+1



Democracy Corps (D)

4/28 - 5/1

1000 LV

45

50

-5



FOX News

4/22 - 4/24

915 RV

45

51

-6



NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl

4/13 - 4/17

1000 A

49

46

+3



CBS News/NY Times

4/13 - 4/17

957 A

48

42

+6



Quinnipiac

4/11 - 4/17

2577 RV

47

48

-1



CNN/Opinion Research

4/13 - 4/15

1015 A

49

48

+1



Reuters/Ipsos

4/12 - 4/15

1044 A

49

49

Tie

 

[LoneLaugher]

Excuse me, weird guy.......


Who is going to "turn up the heat"? Those who oppose the President have had all burners firing for almost 5 years now. Are you trying to tell us that you nutters have been storing up fuel and will now toss it on the fire?

You have nothing. You have nominated a person who is not likeable.....and offers no new ideas. No heat.

 

[California Girl]

It is seriously waaaay too early for either side to be gloating - or panicking - about polls.

 

[JoeB131]

It is seriously waaaay too early for either side to be gloating - or panicking - about polls.

I agree, it is.

But it isn't too early to realize the Demographics and political landscape do not favor Romney.

First, the Democrats have a huge advantage in the Electoral College. Just the states they've taken every time in the last five elections nets them 242 votes out of the 270 they need. This is a good argument to get rid of the electoral college, but the GOP is too wedded to the idea that 2000 was a really good result, so they won't propose meaningful changes.

Second, historically, rarely have presidents been thrown out of office when their party has only controlled the White House for one Term. Usually, voters are fair enough to realize that when you inherit a mess, you aren't going to fix it in four years. The last time they threw out an incumbant after one term for his party was 1980. The last time before that was 1892, and in that case, there was a real question who had actually won in 1888. (Garfield won the popular vote, but lost the electoral vote in 1888, but he won both in 1892, being the only president to serve non-consequitive terms.)

Third, there's the question about who is better at this election thing. Romney's history is losing to Ted Kennedy, barely beating non-entity Shannon O'Brien, losing to Huckabee and McCain and barely beating Rick Santorum. Compare that to Obama who record was losing to Bobby Rush once, winning his seat in the IL legislature a buch of times, beating well funded Machine candidates for the Democratic nomination in IL, and then winning the presidency after beating two well-established elder statesmen (Hillary and McCain).

 

[Sarah G]

Seriously, if Santorum and Gingridge presented a primary challenge what do you suppose Obama is going to do to him?

[ame=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZrjSqK7xPLE]Tom Cruise in The Color of Money - YouTube[/ame]

 

[Sallow]

You can also include that McCain beat Romney..then went on to choose an unknown governor from Alaska as his running mate.

 

[Katzndogz]

Undecided's at this stage, usually break for a challenger. That's why obama is doing so poorly. He's also not the same candidate he was. As an unknown he could say anything. Now he has a record to run on. Because his policies have not been popular, he's become more hysterial in their defense. He's also made some horrible missteps. The egotism in the Bin Laden raid, and the absolute debacle of the Chen situation has only increased the perception that he is not only inept, but more of an arrogant egotist than he was ever understood to be.

 

[Sallow]

Undecided's at this stage, usually break for a challenger. That's why obama is doing so poorly. He's also not the same candidate he was. As an unknown he could say anything. Now he has a record to run on. Because his policies have not been popular, he's become more hysterial in their defense. He's also made some horrible missteps. The egotism in the Bin Laden raid, and the absolute debacle of the Chen situation has only increased the perception that he is not only inept, but more of an arrogant egotist than he was ever understood to be.

You guys are so easy to conflate when it's not your guy.

You want a real Chinese Debacle? How about the downing of a spy plane over China. Then a crew of captured Americans gets paraded in front of Chinese TV stations. Then the President of the United States "demands" the return of the crew and plane..and is essentially laughed at. Then the President is told to apologize..and at first refuses..then relents.

Or egotism? Flying out to an aircraft carrier in full military regalia to declare the end of an on-going war?

 

[yidnar]

You can also include that McCain beat Romney..then went on to choose an unknown governor from Alaska as his running mate.

if Obama can't get his % over 45 that means he will lose !!

 

[JoeB131]

Undecided's at this stage, usually break for a challenger. That's why obama is doing so poorly. He's also not the same candidate he was. As an unknown he could say anything. Now he has a record to run on. Because his policies have not been popular, he's become more hysterial in their defense. He's also made some horrible missteps. The egotism in the Bin Laden raid, and the absolute debacle of the Chen situation has only increased the perception that he is not only inept, but more of an arrogant egotist than he was ever understood to be.

Guy, I would be really impressed if I heard that from someone who voted for him in 2008 rather than someone like you who has been nursing a 4 year grudge...

I've not met an Obama Supporter yet who has told me he's ready to go out and pull a switch for Romney.

 

[Mac1958]

.

I wasn't aware that we elected Presidents on national polls. I could have sworn it was by electoral vote totals. Dang.

Learn something new every day, I guess.

.

 

[LoneLaugher]

You can also include that McCain beat Romney..then went on to choose an unknown governor from Alaska as his running mate.

if Obama can't get his % over 45 that means he will lose !!

No it doesn't, dumb-dumb.

 

[RightWingFerret]

i actually like to see a poll taken by 3000 dogs.