Republicans unlikely to win the Senate

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Chris, Sep 16, 2010.

  1. Chris
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    Chris Gold Member

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    Republicans, who are modest favorites to take over the House from Democrats, still have a chance to do the same in the United States Senate. But their odds have dropped significantly: from a 26 percent chance last week to 15 percent today, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecasting model.

    The main reason for the decline is the outcome of Tuesday’s Republican primary in Delaware, in which the insurgent candidate, Christine O’Donnell, defeated Michael N. Castle. Two recent polls, including one completed after the primary, show her trailing her Democratic opponent, Chris Coons, by margins of 11 percent and 16 percent.

    Although Ms. O’Donnell and Mr. Coons remain relatively unknown to some Delaware voters, and a comeback by Ms. O’Donnell is not impossible, the forecasting model gives it only a 6 percent likelihood of happening — and has established Mr. Coons, therefore, as a 94 percent favorite. Had Republican voters selected Mr. Castle instead, the numbers would be exactly the opposite: Mr. Castle would be the 94 percent favorite to win the seat, leaving Mr. Coons with just a 6 percent chance of an upset.

    After Delaware, G.O.P. Senate Takeover Appears Much Less Likely - NYTimes.com
     
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  2. Avatar4321
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    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

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    Do the people of Delaware really want Coons? Do they know who he is? Maybe you should find out before you start projecting him the winner of anything.

    Or is that just too stupid an idea for some people?
     
  3. RadiomanATL
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    RadiomanATL Senior Member

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    At this stage of the game, the official lines from both sides are desperately playing the lowered expectations game.

    In the home stretch, I never believe any future predictions in a close race.
     
  4. Oddball
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    Oddball BANNED Supporting Member

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    Leave it to the lib moonbats at the NY Slimes to tell republicans who they should be electing. :rolleyes:
     
  5. The Rabbi
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    The Rabbi Diamond Member

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    Don’t celebrate yet, Mr. Coons Slavens Says

    Wasnt she behind like 25 points and now is down only 11? Are people in DE really stupid? I know they elected Biden, but this is different.
    I wouldn't count O'Donnell out just yet. Nor would I count out the GOP taking control of Congress. This year is shaping up to be a landslide of major proportions.
     
  6. MarcATL
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    MarcATL Gold Member

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    DumbDumb, the article was in no way telling RepubliCON$ who to vote for. Simply predicting what THEIR choice of WHO they voted for to represent them would likely mean as far as their chances of winning the Senate seat.

    Relax clown.
     
  7. Toro
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    Toro Diamond Member

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    On Intrade, the odds of the Republicans winning control of the Senate plunged nearly 10% over the past few days.
     
  8. Mad Scientist
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    Mad Scientist Deplorable Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

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    I think House going Republican but Senate staying Dem may be a good thing. It'll force Obama and the Dems to prove they can work with Republicans but of course we know that'll be a massive failure. That will assure a huge Republican takeover of the senate in 2012.
     
  9. Oddball
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    Oddball BANNED Supporting Member

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    Irrelevant.

    We've been hearing leftloons like the stooges at the NY Slimes tell republicans who is and isn't "viable" as republican candidates for no less than a decade, yet their "loser" candidates have a nasty habit of winning (see: Rubio) while their "winners" seem to always get drubbed (see: Juan McLouse).

    Maybe they and Gomers like you should stick to waving the pom-poms for your own train wreck of a party and let the republigoobers run theirs.
     
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  10. Dr.House
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    Dr.House Lives on in syndication!

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    Winning the House is what I want (Gridlock, Baby! Gridlock!)

    Never expected the Senate would change hands... Having it close, as it appears might be the case, is also good for my desired gridlock... Besides, the R's would need to overcome the squishy Maine duo to truly control the Senate...

    Tossing out some RINOs this year is just pure icing on the cake!...:lol:
    Friggin' sweet!
     

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