Record Exports means a 46% increase in U.S. trade Under Obama

Where is the middle class's purchasing POWER gone?...
For hundreds of years, all classes of free American workers have had the power to purchase both US grown corn and wheat along with foreign grown coffee and chocolate. People who life in a socialist workers paradise only have the power to purchase and earn what the state tells them to.
...We're not contrasting other economic systems to the USA's...
Exactly, you were asking about the purchasing power of the American middle class.
We contrasting what America once was compared to what it is after 30 years of supply side policies.[/I]
OK, good to know you understand that purchasing power thing now, but let's get clear before we change the subject again. You want to compare American's wealth and income now to what it was 30 years ago.

Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago. OK, a couple years ago unemployment peaked to 10.2. So what. In '83 it was 10.8. We're better off now.
 
For hundreds of years, all classes of free American workers have had the power to purchase both US grown corn and wheat along with foreign grown coffee and chocolate. People who life in a socialist workers paradise only have the power to purchase and earn what the state tells them to.
...We're not contrasting other economic systems to the USA's...
Exactly, you were asking about the purchasing power of the American middle class.
We contrasting what America once was compared to what it is after 30 years of supply side policies.[/I]
OK, good to know you understand that purchasing power thing now, but let's get clear before we change the subject again. You want to compare American's wealth and income now to what it was 30 years ago.

Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago. OK, a couple years ago unemployment peaked to 10.2. So what. In '83 it was 10.8. We're better off now.

Income disparity says you are wrong. Move the bulk of the nations money to the top and it skews the results.
 
...Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago. OK, a couple years ago unemployment peaked to 10.2. So what. In '83 it was 10.8. We're better off now.
Income disparity says you are wrong...
Really? He was just here a minute ago --ah, here he is. Huh, I just asked Incomedisparity and he said I was right and you misunderstood what he was telling you. So there. OK, you're probably thinking I made up what I said about income disparity. I believe you made up what you said about income disparity too.

Planet Earth. No more making things up. Table A-2 in this Census Bur. report says real median income now is more than 15% above what it was 30 years ago.
 
...a trade deficit that's far higher now than at the end of the Bush Admin. Meaning: A net negative for this country...
No, it's not 'far higher'. How about we look at the numbers first, and say what they are after:
baltrade.png

First, the trade balance now is the same it was when Bush left office. Second, the trade balance was 'worse' back when we had jobs and it's 'better' now with people out of work. The only way to hate a big trade deficit is to hate working.

To draw a correlation between the two is ridiculous! My point was that since Obama took office it has grown, this was the counter the argument that exports had grown since obama took office, and that is true! Yes, the deficit is lower now than in 2006, but it didn't seem to matter to us then when we were using our homes as ATM's did we.
 
...we're only like losing about half TRILLION dollars a year in trade imbalance!...
We hear that a lot so I guess it's easy for many to get turned around.

We're talking about trade with foreigners. Foreigners don't use dollars so we can't possibly lose "about half TRILLION dollars a year" by giving it to foreigners. They use their own money. The only way we can buy foreign goods is with their money. The only way we can get their money without selling them our goods is by selling other stuff to get their money. Our dollars never go there. Our dollars never get lost there.

It's called the balance of payments and it's how money, buying, and selling work with foreigners.

Yes we do lose it, why else would our trade deficit SUBTRACT from economic/GDP growth nearly every quarter.

The only difference is that the last ten years the rest of the world has loaned that money back to us in the form of T-Bills and Subprime mrtg derivatives. That party is over though.
 
...Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago. OK, a couple years ago unemployment peaked to 10.2. So what. In '83 it was 10.8. We're better off now.
Income disparity says you are wrong...
Really? He was just here a minute ago --ah, here he is. Huh, I just asked Incomedisparity and he said I was right and you misunderstood what he was telling you. So there. OK, you're probably thinking I made up what I said about income disparity. I believe you made up what you said about income disparity too.

Planet Earth. No more making things up. Table A-2 in this Census Bur. report says real median income now is more than 15% above what it was 30 years ago.

From you pdf:

Between 2007 and 2009, the child
poverty rate and the number in
poverty increased by 2.7 percentage

In 2009, 6.3 percent of all people,
or 19.0 million people, had income
below one-half of their poverty
threshold, up from 5.7 percent and
17.1 million in 2008. This group represented
43.7 percent of the poverty
population in 2009. The percentage
and number of people with income
below 125 percent of their threshold
was 18.7 percent and 56.8 million, up
from 17.9 percent and 53.8 million
in 2008. For children under the age
of 18 in 2009, 9.3 percent and 6.9
million lived in families with income
below 50 percent of their poverty
threshold, up from 8.5 percent and
6.3 million in 2008. The percentage
and number of children living in families
with income below 125 percent
of their poverty threshold in 2009
was 26.3 percent and 19.6 million, up
from 25.0 percent

Millions of people in poverty in this country is too much. They can't ALL be lazy. And since we went into a recession, of course the number has grown.
 
Yeah yeah, we KNOW you love you some Guberment.

They be that GREAT sugar daddy of ALL TIME.

Did our founders deside government was how you obtain freedom?

Yes they did you brain washed fool


No they didn't you freakin' idiot. The founders believed that freedom is a basic human right, you're born with it. You sure as hell don't get it from gov't, only a total left wing loon thinks that. Govt' is there to protect our rights, and ensure they are not lost or diminished. And doing a pisspoor job of it over the past 100+ years or so.
 
...Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago. OK, a couple years ago unemployment peaked to 10.2. So what. In '83 it was 10.8. We're better off now.
...From you pdf: Between 2007 and 2009...
That's what I was saying, before 2009 everything was so much better, but even though we've dropped a lot since 2007. Table A-2 in this Census Bur. report still says real median income now is more than 15% above what it was 30 years ago.

Hey, don't blame me, I don't run the Census Br.
 
...we can't possibly lose "about half TRILLION dollars a year" by giving it to foreigners. They use their own money. The only way we can buy foreign goods is with their money. The only way we can get their money without selling them our goods is by selling other stuff to get their money. Our dollars never go there. Our dollars never get lost there. It's called the balance of payments...
Yes we do lose it, why else would our trade deficit SUBTRACT from economic/GDP growth nearly every quarter...
LOL!!! The GDP isn't money lost or found, it's money that moves. When the GDP drops a half trillion dollars, it's because $1/2T got put in the bank and didn't work in the economy. Money sitting in the bank is not in the GDP, and nobody lost the $1/2T, we know exactly where it is!

Of course the GDP is still economic activity and that's important too, but while we're having net exports subtracted we're also having the capital and financial transactions that balance it added. Here's how it's been happening in real life for the past four years:
tradegdp.png

At the beginning of 2008 we had a good GDP even though the 'bad' trade deficit was taken out. A year later the GDP tanked while the 'better' trade deficit took less out. Now the GDP is picking back up even though that 'terrible' trade deficit takes more out.

Trade deficits are subtracted and a capital surplus is added when the economy is good.
 
LOL!!! The GDP isn't money lost or found, it's money that moves. When the GDP drops a half trillion dollars, it's because $1/2T got put in the bank and didn't work in the economy. Money sitting in the bank is not in the GDP, and nobody lost the $1/2T, we know exactly where it is!

Of course the GDP is still economic activity and that's important too, but while we're having net exports subtracted we're also having the capital and financial transactions that balance it added. Here's how it's been happening in real life for the past four years:
tradegdp.png

At the beginning of 2008 we had a good GDP even though the 'bad' trade deficit was taken out. A year later the GDP tanked while the 'better' trade deficit took less out. Now the GDP is picking back up even though that 'terrible' trade deficit takes more out.

Trade deficits are subtracted and a capital surplus is added when the economy is good.

Ironically, the money flowing in to fund our budget deficits is what's offsetting our record trade deficits, preventing a dollar collapse. In my opinion - money flowing into this country in the form of financial instruments is not a reasonable or sustainable substitute for money buying our goods at a level to offset our much higher imports. That 500 billion that leaves is money that could have gone into the pockets of Americans, and then spent in the American economy.

Answer me this expat - if high growth and a high deficit somehow go hand-in-hand, then how come the 2000's, a decade where our trade deficit was so much higher than any other decade was also a decade where we saw the lowest GDP growth in generations?

Also, it's well known in economics that a growing trade deficit OFFSETS GDP growth. This article is somewhat old but it illustrates this...

GDP Growth Stunted by Trade Deficit - TheStreet

Oh and by the way - GDP was not good at the beginning of 2008, it contracted at an annual rate of negative 1.8%

http://www.economagic.com/em-cgi/data.exe/var/rgdp-qtrchg

It had grown only 1.9% in the year prior (2007), you cannot argue that this is high growth. Give me a break.

http://www.economagic.com/em-cgi/data.exe/nipa/T1t1t1l1a
 
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...Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago. OK, a couple years ago unemployment peaked to 10.2. So what. In '83 it was 10.8. We're better off now.
...From you pdf: Between 2007 and 2009...
That's what I was saying, before 2009 everything was so much better, but even though we've dropped a lot since 2007. Table A-2 in this Census Bur. report still says real median income now is more than 15% above what it was 30 years ago.

Hey, don't blame me, I don't run the Census Br.

What is with you people? An economy as large as the American economy doesn't change dramatically overnight unless there some kind of disaster. The recession was brewing for years. Even you can't possibly believe that one man being elected could change the entire US economy in the period of a couple of weeks. It take 4 or 5 years at least. Bubbles take a LONG time to build before they pop. No matter how ignorant Republicans pretend things happen overnight, they know, it's only because they hate Obama more than they love America
 
I think America is exporting a lot of food, grain, beef , seafood. There is a global food shortage ongoing in the world right now.
America is the worlds Supermarket after all.!?$$
 
...Ironically, the money flowing in to fund our budget deficits is what's offsetting our record trade deficits...
Funny, I was all set to show you why that wasn't true but then I checked and it turns out the amount of the annual trade deficit ($1/2T) is about equal to the amount of foreign purchases of T-bills. The thing is that even though that's what's happening now, foreign T-bill money could also be used to say, buy US real estate and it would be giving us a trade surplus.
...preventing a dollar collapse...
That part is crazy though, the dollar's exchange rates have nothing to do with the trade deficit.
...That 500 billion that leaves is money that could have gone into the pockets of Americans...
We just went from crazy to halucinagenic --EARTH TO LIKEABIRD, NO $1/2T went anywhere!!
...Answer me this expat - if high growth and a high deficit somehow go hand-in-hand, then how come the 2000's, a decade where our trade deficit was so much higher than any other decade was also a decade where we saw the lowest GDP growth in generations?...
Ah, maybe the problem here is I get my GDP numbers from the BEA, and you're talking about numbers from well,

--elsewhere...
 
Funny, I was all set to show you why that wasn't true but then I checked and it turns out the amount of the annual trade deficit ($1/2T) is about equal to the amount of foreign purchases of T-bills. The thing is that even though that's what's happening now, foreign T-bill money could also be used to say, buy US real estate and it would be giving us a trade surplus.

Funny that. But still - regardless of what it's used for, it's still somewhat balancing our balance of payments, albeit in a somewhat artificial and unsustainable manner. Us paying them for goods then them turning around and loaning the money back to us is hardly a good economic model, or a path to sustained prosperity.

That part is crazy though, the dollar's exchange rates have nothing to do with the trade deficit.

Not directly, but smaller exports against larger imports (which then get converted to local currencies) decreases the demand for US dollars, causing a fall in the value of the dollar. This however has at least for now been offset by capital inflows (eg funding of our budged deficit) and the fact that the US dollar is the default currency for a lot of commodity trading. So I hope that doesn't change.

We just went from crazy to halucinagenic --EARTH TO LIKEABIRD, NO $1/2T went anywhere!!

Let me elaborate even more.

"Gross Domestic Product. The total market value of all final goods and services produced in a country in a given year, equal to total consumer, investment and government spending, plus the value of exports, minus the value of imports.
What is GDP? definition and meaning

So basically when we have more imports than we have exports, trade subtracts more from our gdp than it does add to gdp.

Ah, maybe the problem here is I get my GDP numbers from the BEA, and you're talking about numbers from well,

--elsewhere...

A Fallacy.

Show proof that the website is inaccurate then. Check your BEA numbers again and you will see that they match. Economagic just presents it in better layout. That's why I used them. It's not exactly proprietary information we're talking about here.
 
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For hundreds of years, all classes of free American workers have had the power to purchase both US grown corn and wheat along with foreign grown coffee and chocolate. People who life in a socialist workers paradise only have the power to purchase and earn what the state tells them to.
...We're not contrasting other economic systems to the USA's...
Exactly, you were asking about the purchasing power of the American middle class.
We contrasting what America once was compared to what it is after 30 years of supply side policies.[/I]
OK, good to know you understand that purchasing power thing now, but let's get clear before we change the subject again. You want to compare American's wealth and income now to what it was 30 years ago.

Americans are more wealthy and have higher incomes now than 30 years ago.

Are you fucking blind?

SEriously there's no point in discussing this issue if we cannot agree on the facts in discussion.

If you believe that the American people are better off now than they were, then I can understand why your POV is so very different than mine.

So I guess we have to agree to disagree since there is nothing to debate unless we can first agree on the state of the nation.

You apparently think the middle class is fine.

I disagree.

IN debating terms we have reached an impasse.
 
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...Us paying them for goods then them turning around and loaning the money back to us is hardly a good economic model, or a path to sustained prosperity...
Trading bonds for goods is how the US has done things since before Washington took office and that part's sustainable and prosperous enough for me. What's not sustainable are current federal spending levels. That has to change.
...the dollar's exchange rates have nothing to do with the trade deficit.
Not directly, but smaller exports against larger imports (which then get converted to local currencies) decreases the demand for US dollars, causing a fall in the value of the dollar...
No, not even indirectly. Some times exports soar with a rising dollar and sometimes a falling dollar comes when exports drop off. We don't sell exports for dollars, we trade exports for things that foreigners are unloading. There's no $1/2T going overseas.
...trade subtracts more from our gdp than it does add to gdp...
It may subtract more in people's imaginations, but in real life--
tradegdp.png

--it doesn't.
...Show proof that the website is inaccurate then...
We've seen the actual BEA numbers for GDP and trade, we know the website says gdp and trade do the opposite of what we seen them do. and you don't accept that as proof that the websites wrong.

Sounds like there's nothing more that anyone can say here.
 
Trading bonds for goods is how the US has done things since before Washington took office and that part's sustainable and prosperous enough for me. What's not sustainable are current federal spending levels. That has to change.

I agree with you that this does need to change. So I am correct in my view that the supplying of money to the US through T-Bills has not only meant that our govt has put off problems in addressing their crazy spending, but also our balance of trade. As a result of this policy of trading bonds for goods we have a 15 trillion dollar debt.

not even indirectly. Some times exports soar with a rising dollar and sometimes a falling dollar comes when exports drop off. We don't sell exports for dollars, we trade exports for things that foreigners are unloading. There's no $1/2T going overseas.

You're talking about the overall end result, which is comprised of many different economic factors. We give them our US dollars in exchange for their goods, they turn around and use their money to buy imports, but at a much lower rate - this is the problem.

It may subtract more in people's imaginations, but in real life--
tradegdp.png

--it doesn't.

Yes it does subtract from GDP, you're point to various graphs where our economy still grew DESPITE the subtraction that the trade deficit had. But the deficit still does subtract from GDP, that is how GDP is calculated and I gave you that calculation in black and white. If it weren't for the trade deficit the GDP growth during that time period would have been higher.

We've seen the actual BEA numbers for GDP and trade, we know the website says gdp and trade do the opposite of what we seen them do. and you don't accept that as proof that the websites wrong.

Sounds like there's nothing more that anyone can say here.

It's not wrong, and you've yet to show proof that it is. Better yet, show me proof from YOUR data that GDP didn't contract in Q1 2008, and that it wasn't a slow 1.9% in FY 2007. Show me.

F-IT, I'll do it for you.

http://www.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=9&step=1

gdpbea-1.jpg
 
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