Real Clear Politics (Average): Obama 48.7 Gingrich 43 (SPREAD: Obama +5.7)

[L.K.Eder]

Rasmussen Reports 11/28 - 11/29 1000 LV 43 45 Gingrich +2


Rasmussen is more important then the RCP avg. The rcp is a leftist rag!

 

[BluePhantom]

What is more important to look at BTW is the trends. Take Rasmussen's last three polls. On the Nov. 11 - 12th poll Obama was up by 12. On the Nov. 19 - 20th poll Obama was up by 6. Now on their Nov. 28 - 29th poll Gingrich is up by 2.

You can also see on the Quinnapiac poll from Oct. 25 - 31st Obama was up by 15. Now in their most recent poll from Nov. 14 - 20th Obama is only up by 9.

RealClearPolitics - Election 2012 - General Election: Gingrich vs. Obama

So what's more important than the gap really is the trend...especially this far out. I would suggest that the reason why Gingrich is closing is because people are abandoning Cain and going to Newt, but that's just an assumption.

 

[blastoff]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

Obama should be crapping his pants over these kinds of numbers.

He needs to be at 52% at this point. Otherwise, he's vulnerable.

No, that's not true, for two reasons.

1) This far out from the election, the incumbent almost always polls worse than he will on election day. That's because the potential challengers are all campaigning and he isn't yet.

2) It's likely the economy will improve over the time between now and the election. Obama will benefit from the perception that things are improving.

Anything can happen between now and then, but a second Obama term is the way to bet.

Obama's not campaigning yet? Tell that to the liberal scum who populate Morning Joe every day on MSNBC. They're all complaining they want him to stop campaigning and get more engaged in the issues. House and Senate Dems don't hear from the guy; he's virtually a stranger to them.

But, hey, keep up the spin b.s. It's why folks like you show up at boards like this about this point in election cycles. Anyway, enjoy your stay. Your choir will love you.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Then liberals will love him.

 

[L.K.Eder]

Then liberals will love him.

no, YOU will love him.

 

[BluePhantom]

You know what's left out of these polls?

The left only has one candidate to support so their votes aren't split. When the gops field is narrowed I suspect the numbers will shift accordingly.

And you would be absolutely correct. Right now on the GOP side each candidate has a group of supporters that flat out won't budge from their man (or woman if they support Bachmann). Everyone else is kind of shifting support or willing to support multiple people, but there's a segment of the voters who, right now, have the attitude of "if my candidate does not get the nod I will refuse to vote or I will vote for Obama or a third party candidate in protest".

Well that won't last. Give it a month after the nomination is secured and the majority of those voters will line up behind the GOP nominee. That's pretty typical. Step 1: get the nomination. Step 2: unite the party. Step 3: go after the independents and opposition moderates. That's kind of the standard playbook.

 

[Lakhota]

It's funny how the right hangs only on Rasmussen....

 

[BluePhantom]

It's funny how the right hangs only on Rasmussen....

Actually I prefer Quinnapiac or SurveyUSA as they are usually more accurate. However Rasmussen is only slightly behind them in terms of accuracy

 

[JoeB131]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

Obama should be crapping his pants over these kinds of numbers.

He needs to be at 52% at this point. Otherwise, he's vulnerable.

No, that's not true, for two reasons.

1) This far out from the election, the incumbent almost always polls worse than he will on election day. That's because the potential challengers are all campaigning and he isn't yet.

2) It's likely the economy will improve over the time between now and the election. Obama will benefit from the perception that things are improving.

Anything can happen between now and then, but a second Obama term is the way to bet.

1- No president has been this low at this point (11 months) from election as Obama is now. Even Carter and Bush-41, and they lost.

2- I see no sign the economy is improving and a lot of signs it is actually getting a lot worse.

 

[jillian]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

Lakhota, why do you hate Newt Gingrich?

Also this is better then the 8 something he had before?

that's the average. there are polls where he's up 12. but i guess truth sucks for you.

as for newt... rhetorical question???

 

[Charles_Main]

Rasmussen Reports 11/28 - 11/29 1000 LV 43 45 Gingrich +2


Rasmussen is more important then the RCP avg. The rcp is a leftist rag!

RCP isn't a leftist Rag dude. It's an Average of Dozens of Polls from Both Right and left leaning Polling outfits. Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN, CBS, FOX etc are almost always all included in the Average.

it is Perhaps the best gauge of the over all feelings in the country because of it being an Average of all those other Polls.

 

[jillian]

Rasmussen Reports 11/28 - 11/29 1000 LV 43 45 Gingrich +2


Rasmussen is more important then the RCP avg. The rcp is a leftist rag!

RCP isn't a leftist Rag dude. It's an Average of Dozens of Polls from Both Right and left leaning Polling outfits. Gallup, Rasmussen, CNN, CBS, FOX etc are almost always all included in the Average.

it is Perhaps the best gauge of the over all feelings in the country because of it being an Average of all those other Polls.

^^^^^

that.

 

[oreo]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

RASMUSSEN--Gingrich leads Obama by 2 points.

2012 Presidential Matchups - Rasmussen Reports™

 

[hortysir]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

M.O.E???

 

[Zander]

These polls are a total guessing game at this stage of the game.... The Republicans do not even have a friggin' nominee. ....some of you people really need to get outdoors more often!

 

[elvis]

I'd like to thank Lakhota for the math lesson.

 

[elvis]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

RASMUSSEN--Gingrich leads Obama by 2 points.

2012 Presidential Matchups - Rasmussen Reports™

which is a statistical tie. How proud you must be.

 

[Lakhota]

Rasmussen was the only one of seven that showed Gingrich ahead. Obama leads in the other six - including Fox News.

 

[oreo]

RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates

Just went over the 15 trillion mark.

 

[Lakhota]

Thank Bush and those who voted for him...