Predict the electoral vote

[Chris]

Here's your chance my friends to put your predictions down in advance.

Please don't be shy.

Here's my prediction....

Obama 364 electoral votes

McCain 174 electoral votes

 

[CrimsonWhite]

McCain 274

- AK, AL, AR, AZ, FL, GA, ID, IN, KS, LA, MO, MS, MT, NC, ND, NE, NM (could go either way), OH, OK, SC, SD, TX, UT, VA, WV, WY

Obama 264

- CA, CT, DC, DE, HI, IA, IL, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, NH, NJ NY, NV, OR, PA(could go either way), RI, VT, WA, WI

Just my opinion

 

[DavidS]

McCain 274

- AK, AL, AR, AZ, FL, GA, ID, IN, KS, LA, MO, MS, MT, NC, ND, NE, NM (could go either way), OH, OK, SC, SD, TX, UT, VA, WV, WY

Obama 264

- CA, CT, DC, DE, HI, IA, IL, MA, MD, ME, MI, MN, NH, NJ NY, NV, OR, PA(could go either way), RI, VT, WA, WI

Just my opinion

You forgot Colorado.

 

[Chris]

You forgot Colorado.

So did McCain.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

You forgot Colorado.

Sure did, stick it in McCain's column.

 

[Luissa]

I would say Obama 291
McCain 247

What do you get if you are right?

 

[Jon]

Obama 273
WA, OR, CA, HI, CO, NM, MN, IA, WI, IL, MI, ME, VT, NH, NY, PA, NJ, MA, RI, CT, DE, MD, DC

McCain 265
AK, ID, NV, UT, AZ, MT, WY, ND, SD, KS, NE, OK, TX, MO, AR, LA, KY, TN, MS, IN, OH, WV, VA, NC, SC, AL, GA, FL

Popular vote will go to McCain.

 

[DavidS]

Sure did, stick it in McCain's column.

Then it would be a tie.

Political Dashboard - 2008 Presidential Election on Yahoo! News

269-269.

This would result in Obama winning since the House and Senate are quite blue.

 

[Jon]

Then it would be a tie.

Political Dashboard - 2008 Presidential Election on Yahoo! News

269-269.

This would result in Obama winning since the House and Senate are quite blue.

No, because Crimson put NM in McCain's corner too.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

Then it would be a tie.

Political Dashboard - 2008 Presidential Election on Yahoo! News

269-269.

This would result in Obama winning since the House and Senate are quite blue.

Count 'em again chump. I've New Mexico in McCain's column too. Call it a hunch.

 

[DavidS]

Count 'em again chump. I've New Mexico in McCain's column too. Call it a hunch.

Two words:

Bill Richardson

Every single poll shows Obama is wildly popular with hispanics. This is why Obama is cutting into McCain's lead in AZ.

Also, you might want to check Rasmussen.

Rasmussen Reports: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election.

Lastly, if you visit 2008 Early Voting and scroll down to New Mexico, with 62% of the people who voted in 2004 already voted, Democrats lead Republicans 53-32.

McCain doesn't have a shot in hell with New Mexico.

Colorado is a completely different story. I'm not 100% confident Obama will win Colorado. Turnout has been relatively even.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

Two words:

Bill Richardson

Every single poll shows Obama is wildly popular with hispanics. This is why Obama is cutting into McCain's lead in AZ.

Also, you might want to check Rasmussen.

Rasmussen Reports: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election.

Lastly, if you visit 2008 Early Voting and scroll down to New Mexico, with 62% of the people who voted in 2004 already voted, Democrats lead Republicans 53-32.

McCain doesn't have a shot in hell with New Mexico.

Colorado is a completely different story. I'm not 100% confident Obama will win Colorado. Turnout has been relatively even.

Like I said, call it a hunch. I'm probably wrong. Also, PA isn't as solid as people say it is. I could go both ways. Lots of votes upset about "guns and religion" and "western PA is racist." It is in play. If McCain lose NM, but wins PA. Thats 290 to 248 in McCains favor. Obama is enjoying a huge lead in the national averages but the electoral map is anything but sewn up.

 

[DavidS]

Like I said, call it a hunch. I'm probably wrong. Also, PA isn't as solid as people say it is. I could go both ways. Lots of votes upset about "guns and religion" and "western PA is racist." It is in play. If McCain lose NM, but wins PA. Thats 290 to 248 in McCains favor. Obama is enjoying a huge lead in the national averages but the electoral map is anything but sewn up.

PA is about as much in play as New Mexico is.

Pollster.com: 2008 Pennsylvania Presidential General Election: McCain vs Obama

 

[RetiredGySgt]

Then it would be a tie.

Political Dashboard - 2008 Presidential Election on Yahoo! News

269-269.

This would result in Obama winning since the House and Senate are quite blue.

He already had McCain ahead so how would it take away from his lead? Or is this one of those " McCain wants 300 billion more" moments?

 

[Chris]

Here's your chance my friends to put your predictions down in advance.

Please don't be shy.

Here's my prediction....

Obama 364 electoral votes

McCain 174 electoral votes

I called it!!!

 

[Caligirl]

You got it off 538 silly boy.

 

[Chris]

You got it off 538 silly boy.

No, I don't use that website.

Although I saw a news report yesterday that they were correct.

Interesting that no one else on this thread came close.

 

[Caligirl]

You neg repped me for that? Holy cow! LOL.

Well, good job on the prediction then.

 

[CrimsonWhite]

You neg repped me for that? Holy cow! LOL.

Well, good job on the prediction then.

He's a child. I got you covered.

 

[Caligirl]

Oooh, sweet.