william the wie
Gold Member
- Nov 18, 2009
- 16,667
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Just reading some of the threads and realized that this was an issue that wasn't being addressed but was causing a lot of problems for example in the Amazon vs. Texas thread. Leaving aside for the moment that Texas is sucking up to Google droid (Apple and its allies do not do as much business in Texas as the PC giants.) the problem is the structure of the government vs. the structure of the economy.
Since our current (third to eighth regime depending on how the English civil war and Glorius revolution are counted) was set up 13 years after the start of the industrial revolution it is an industrial age government that has become increasingly ineffectual over the past forty years. So the question I want to ask is whether it will become more effective fast enough to endure in something resembling current form or will technology drive it onto the rocks?
My position is that 30 years from now there will be a USA recognizably descended from the current one with similar or the same borders. Changes in foreign, economic and entitlement policies between now and then may and I expect will be less recognizable:
Alliances with the depopulating mostly developed northern hemisphere will make much less sense as time goes on and US garrisons will be moved.
As more trade moves to the internet more middlemen will be removed from supply and distribution chains.
Entitlement policies will change in unknown ways.
The balance between the states and DC will change.
So what changes do you expect?
Since our current (third to eighth regime depending on how the English civil war and Glorius revolution are counted) was set up 13 years after the start of the industrial revolution it is an industrial age government that has become increasingly ineffectual over the past forty years. So the question I want to ask is whether it will become more effective fast enough to endure in something resembling current form or will technology drive it onto the rocks?
My position is that 30 years from now there will be a USA recognizably descended from the current one with similar or the same borders. Changes in foreign, economic and entitlement policies between now and then may and I expect will be less recognizable:
Alliances with the depopulating mostly developed northern hemisphere will make much less sense as time goes on and US garrisons will be moved.
As more trade moves to the internet more middlemen will be removed from supply and distribution chains.
Entitlement policies will change in unknown ways.
The balance between the states and DC will change.
So what changes do you expect?