Polls

[USJD]

There are polls everywhere that can be spun anyway people care to. However, if you want to realistically look at polling you have to look at trends and the reputation of the organization doing the polls. Look at Gallup for the last week and it had been tightening towards McCain but over the last three days has been trending towards Obama is now into double digits for today's Gallup tracking poll(s) at REAL CLEAR POLITICS. State polls tend to shadow national polls as far as trend goes so the tightening you are seeing in some state polls TODAY is the tightening based upon the early week tightening in the national polls. So in layman's terms what does this mean?

I would suggest serving coffee at your Election Night Party and I see a slim popular vote for Obama with a possible electoral landslide for him when all is said and done. The crowds Obama is drawing show no sign of his support wanning and now the ground game comes into play (who has the better field organization to get their supporters to the polls?) There Obama has the advantage, then you look at the "security moms" who are breaking in support of Obama. Advantage Obama but it will be a slim victory.

 

[dilloduck]

There are polls everywhere that can be spun anyway people care to. However, if you want to realistically look at polling you have to look at trends and the reputation of the organization doing the polls. Look at Gallup for the last week and it had been tightening towards McCain but over the last three days has been trending towards Obama is now into double digits for today's Gallup tracking poll(s) at REAL CLEAR POLITICS. State polls tend to shadow national polls as far as trend goes so the tightening you are seeing in some state polls TODAY is the tightening based upon the early week tightening in the national polls. So in layman's terms what does this mean?

I would suggest serving coffee at your Election Night Party and I see a slim popular vote for Obama with a possible electoral landslide for him when all is said and done. The crowds Obama is drawing show no sign of his support wanning and now the ground game comes into play (who has the better field organization to get their supporters to the polls?) There Obama has the advantage, then you look at the "security moms" who are breaking in support of Obama. Advantage Obama but it will be a slim victory.

Or you could just wait a day and realize that we're still stuck in the same mess that we were the day before.

 

[DavidS]

There are polls everywhere that can be spun anyway people care to. However, if you want to realistically look at polling you have to look at trends and the reputation of the organization doing the polls. Look at Gallup for the last week and it had been tightening towards McCain but over the last three days has been trending towards Obama is now into double digits for today's Gallup tracking poll(s) at REAL CLEAR POLITICS. State polls tend to shadow national polls as far as trend goes so the tightening you are seeing in some state polls TODAY is the tightening based upon the early week tightening in the national polls. So in layman's terms what does this mean?

Which state polls do you see tightening?