Oversampling of POLITICAL Polls!!!!

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by beretta304, Sep 17, 2012.

  1. Zander
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    Zander Platinum Member

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  2. Zander
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    Zander Platinum Member

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    :lol: 2008 was a fantasy election for Democrats. They will not even come close to that level of enthusiasm or turnout....You seem to forget that Obama has a record now... and it stinks!

    This election will be far closer to 2010- where Reps had a 1.3% advantage. But please, don't let reality ruin your fantasy!
     
  3. American Horse
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    American Horse AKA "Mustang"

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    It should reflect the percentage of likely voters in each state. Rasmussen just said (to Megyn Kelly) on FNC that would result in a slight lead by Romney in a nationwide poll.

    He is being called a shill for the Republican Party by commenters on the left.

    His results are consistently more accurate all through an election, and not just in the final days when polls close on actual results at the polls.
     
  4. NYcarbineer
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    NYcarbineer Diamond Member

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    lol, how can you know an election poll in September is accurate, since you don't have actual results to compare to?
     
  5. American Horse
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    You really can't, and that is the rub; polls are given far too much weight from what their true value is. But it, polling as grown into a huge industry, and fills a lot of expensive media time, with little more value to the public than that of making news.

    The real value of polls is, and should be for the politicans. They want the truest reflective poll, a poll that does not lie to them.
     
    Last edited: Sep 18, 2012

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