you need some new materia konradv
the IPCC says that 2x CO2 adds almost 4 watts per M2. the error bars for water systems are 10-20 watts each. they are trying to detect the effect of one variable that is dwarfed by the uncertainties. not something I am willing to bet trillions of dollars on.
Perhaps that's just because you don't know how science works. Sometimes you have to use "tricks" of the statistical trade to "hide the decline" from other sources. In other words, if you can't subtract out the effect of water, you need to find another field. No need to bet trillions, a math course and one on the scientific method should do. How can you say that a 10-11% increasing in carbon-forcing since the advent of the IR isn't significant?