Odds of record U.S. heat being a random event: 1 in 1.6 million

Perhaps a chart can help. The National Climactic Data Center has just released its “State of the Climate” report for June 2012. The last 12 months in the mainland United States, it notes, were the warmest on record. What’s notable, however, is that every single one of the last 13 months were in the top third for their historical distribution (i.e., April 2012 was in the top third for warmest Aprils, etc).

“The odds of this occurring randomly,” notes NCDC, “is 1 in 1,594,323.”

Odds of record U.S. heat being a random event: 1 in 1.6 million

 

I'm going to buy a powerball ticket!

 

Obviously these numbers are "biased", "faked" and "have an agenda".

 

Since NCDC doctors their data, we know the record isn't a random event. It was generated with a magic marker.

 

Odds that record temps are due to that big yellow ball in the sky:

1:1

Whodathunk?

 

Why limit the figures to mainland United States?

 

Now a religious bigot thinks the world was created yesterday in geological terms. How far does climate "history" go? A hundred years? There are grooves in rock outcroppings in Central Park in NYC indicating that a glacier covered half of the East Coast. Those Neanderthals must have been pretty smart to cause an Ice Age.

 

Yeah, but dinosaur farts melted the ice.........

 

Something else Ezra Klein doesn't understand, statistical analysis. At least he admits it.

 

Your attempt at sarcasm fell way short considering the fact that the numbers actually have been proven to be biased in the very article you linked to, thanks for playing though.