Obama Up 8 Points Nationally In Latest Pew Poll

The only thing you've had your way with is a bottle of cheap booze and your pencil dick.

....and of course all those close to you.

Go ahead and keep referring to my family, you little piece of trash. See what happens.

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you guys really do drink the koolaid, don't you?

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 47% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns 46% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

When “leaners” are included, the race is tied with both Obama and Romney at 48%. Leaners are those who are initially uncommitted to the two leading candidates but lean towards one of them when asked a follow-up question.

Rasmussen is always the outlier. They don't seem to refine their likely voter algorithms until the last two weeks. Until then, they're a joke.

You really ought to try looking at all polls, and see who's been drinking the Cheeri-Aid.

2012 General Election: Romney vs. Obama

Oh, and "leaners" have been breaking for Obama for a few weeks now. Unless you think that Mitt can walk on water, he's going to need a ton of help, mostly to get him to STFU, and reinvent himself in 5 weeks.

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Romney should quit acting like a "victim" and take "personal responsibility" by showing us his tax records.
 
What are the weighted samples?

30% Republican

37% Democrat

33% Independent

And all the landline calls, which were under-represented to begin with - were further skewed by asking not for the head of household, but for the youngest head-of-mush kiddie available.

This is a blatant skew as older people outvote the rest by almost 2:1 - and are more likely to have landlines - and are more likely to be conservative - so why would they ask for the kiddie instead of head of household?
 
Here is the most interesting part about the poll and it was on the last page.
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Oh Real Clear Politics has the Obama lead down to 2.9.


They oversampled Democrat voters 7%, but still could only come up with 52.8% supporting Obama, and that is with intentionally going for the least likely voter / youngest / most liberal child in the household (probably shown in the Independent tally) on the landline calls when they in fact should have been going for the head-of-household.
 

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