NOAA technical report: global sea level rise scenarios

Trakar

VIP Member
Feb 28, 2011
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NOAA technical report reveals global sea level rise scenarios through 2100
http://researchmatters.noaa.gov/news/Pages/sealevels.aspx
(Excerpt)
The report finds that there is very high confidence (greater than 90% chance) that global mean sea level will rise at least 8 inches (0.2 meters) and no more than 6.6 feet (2 meters) by 2100, depending upon uncertainties associated with ice sheet loss and ocean warming.
The actual amount of sea level change at any one region and location greatly varies in response to regional and local vertical land movement and ocean dynamics. The ranges of global mean sea level rise estimates detailed in this study will help decision makers prepare for and respond to a wide range of future sea level rise and coastal inundation.
Higher mean sea levels increase the frequency, magnitude, and duration of flooding associated with a given storm. Flooding has disproportionately high impacts in most coastal regions, particularly in flat, low-lying areas. In the U.S., over eight million people live in areas at risk to coastal flooding, and many of the nation’s assets related to military readiness, energy, commerce, and ecosystems are already located at or near the ocean.
The report provides a synthesis of the scientific literature on global sea level rise, and presents a set of four global mean scenarios to describe future conditions for the purpose of assessing potential vulnerabilities and impacts. It was authored by a panel of scientists from multiple federal agencies and academic institutions, and will be used to support the National Climate Assessment — a U.S. interagency report produced once every four years to summarize the science and impacts of climate change on the United States.
The report is available online at http://www.cpo.noaa.gov/reports/sealevel.
Additional resources:
http://www.climate.gov
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/index.shtml
http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/slrviewer
http://stateofthecoast.noaa.gov/vulnerability/welcome.html
http://www.globalchange.gov/what-we-do/assessment/nca-overview
 
Well, I am sure there lower boundry is correct. And I hope the upper boundry is, also. 2 meters would be bad enough, more than that will be catastrophic.
 
Obama already said he's not gonna' sign on to that Global Warming stuff because it will kill our already fragile economic recovery. (His words)

In fact, he's so unimpressed with stupid Global Warming Rhetoric that he didn't even go to the latest Doha Climate Talks!

The only reason Obama "cares" about Green Energy is that it's a way to reward Big Doners to his campaign with Stimulus Slush Fund money.

And YOU pay for it all! Haha!

Suckers! :D
 
NOAA technical report reveals global sea level rise scenarios through 2100
http://researchmatters.noaa.gov/news/Pages/sealevels.aspx
(Excerpt)
The report finds that there is very high confidence (greater than 90% chance) that global mean sea level will rise at least 8 inches (0.2 meters) and no more than 6.6 feet (2 meters) by 2100, depending upon uncertainties associated with ice sheet loss and ocean warming.
The actual amount of sea level change at any one region and location greatly varies in response to regional and local vertical land movement and ocean dynamics. The ranges of global mean sea level rise estimates detailed in this study will help decision makers prepare for and respond to a wide range of future sea level rise and coastal inundation.
Higher mean sea levels increase the frequency, magnitude, and duration of flooding associated with a given storm. Flooding has disproportionately high impacts in most coastal regions, particularly in flat, low-lying areas. In the U.S., over eight million people live in areas at risk to coastal flooding, and many of the nation’s assets related to military readiness, energy, commerce, and ecosystems are already located at or near the ocean.
The report provides a synthesis of the scientific literature on global sea level rise, and presents a set of four global mean scenarios to describe future conditions for the purpose of assessing potential vulnerabilities and impacts. It was authored by a panel of scientists from multiple federal agencies and academic institutions, and will be used to support the National Climate Assessment — a U.S. interagency report produced once every four years to summarize the science and impacts of climate change on the United States.
The report is available online at http://www.cpo.noaa.gov/reports/sealevel.
Additional resources:
http://www.climate.gov
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/index.shtml
http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/slrviewer
http://stateofthecoast.noaa.gov/vulnerability/welcome.html
http://www.globalchange.gov/what-we-do/assessment/nca-overview

6 INCHES!

Hold the presses! Run for the hills!
 
NOAA technical report reveals global sea level rise scenarios through 2100
http://researchmatters.noaa.gov/news/Pages/sealevels.aspx
(Excerpt)
The report finds that there is very high confidence (greater than 90% chance) that global mean sea level will rise at least 8 inches (0.2 meters) and no more than 6.6 feet (2 meters) by 2100, depending upon uncertainties associated with ice sheet loss and ocean warming.
The actual amount of sea level change at any one region and location greatly varies in response to regional and local vertical land movement and ocean dynamics. The ranges of global mean sea level rise estimates detailed in this study will help decision makers prepare for and respond to a wide range of future sea level rise and coastal inundation.
Higher mean sea levels increase the frequency, magnitude, and duration of flooding associated with a given storm. Flooding has disproportionately high impacts in most coastal regions, particularly in flat, low-lying areas. In the U.S., over eight million people live in areas at risk to coastal flooding, and many of the nation’s assets related to military readiness, energy, commerce, and ecosystems are already located at or near the ocean.
The report provides a synthesis of the scientific literature on global sea level rise, and presents a set of four global mean scenarios to describe future conditions for the purpose of assessing potential vulnerabilities and impacts. It was authored by a panel of scientists from multiple federal agencies and academic institutions, and will be used to support the National Climate Assessment — a U.S. interagency report produced once every four years to summarize the science and impacts of climate change on the United States.
The report is available online at http://www.cpo.noaa.gov/reports/sealevel.
Additional resources:
http://www.climate.gov
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/index.shtml
http://www.csc.noaa.gov/digitalcoast/tools/slrviewer
http://stateofthecoast.noaa.gov/vulnerability/welcome.html
http://www.globalchange.gov/what-we-do/assessment/nca-overview

6 INCHES!

Hold the presses! Run for the hills!

Sounds like a personal problem to me.
 
Well, I am sure there lower boundry is correct. And I hope the upper boundry is, also. 2 meters would be bad enough, more than that will be catastrophic.

Well, a few points keep slipping from consideration for many people:

  • Thus far the only primary error of climate model estimates, has been a noticeable underestimation/conservatism of consideration.
  • Once the processes of climate warming are put into motion they develop an accelerating momentum of their own that does not stop until equilibrium to the forcing energies is achieved.
  • we are not talking about minimum of 8 inches and a maximum of 6.6 feet, we are talking about a minimum of 8 inches and maximum of 6.6 feet by 2100.
  • If you are planning on adaptation, you have to plan based on worst case senarios.
  • It isn't just the maximum sea level that matters as much as the maximum tidal change and the maximum storm surge height.
 

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