New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

[daveman]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

 

[daveman]

2006:

Hurricane Forecast: "Very Active" Season, Five Major Storms Expected

2007:

Above-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2007 - USATODAY.com

2008:

'Well Above-average' Hurricane Season Forecast For 2008

2009:

Forecasters: 2009 to bring 'above average' hurricane season - CNN

2010:

Forecast Team at Colorado State University Predicts Above-Average 2010 Hurricane Season - News & Information - Colorado State University


Reality doesn't cooperate with the Chicken Littles.

 

[Two Thumbs]

2006:

Hurricane Forecast: "Very Active" Season, Five Major Storms Expected

2007:

Above-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2007 - USATODAY.com

2008:

'Well Above-average' Hurricane Season Forecast For 2008

2009:

Forecasters: 2009 to bring 'above average' hurricane season - CNN

2010:

Forecast Team at Colorado State University Predicts Above-Average 2010 Hurricane Season - News & Information - Colorado State University


Reality doesn't cooperate with the Chicken Littles.

It never has.

Remember all those record temps we are supposed to be having?
6/27/11 and I haven't turned my AC on. It's nice outside.

 

[daveman]

2006:

Hurricane Forecast: "Very Active" Season, Five Major Storms Expected

2007:

Above-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2007 - USATODAY.com

2008:

'Well Above-average' Hurricane Season Forecast For 2008

2009:

Forecasters: 2009 to bring 'above average' hurricane season - CNN

2010:

Forecast Team at Colorado State University Predicts Above-Average 2010 Hurricane Season - News & Information - Colorado State University


Reality doesn't cooperate with the Chicken Littles.

It never has.

Remember all those record temps we are supposed to be having?
6/27/11 and I haven't turned my AC on. It's nice outside.

Remember, if it's warmer, it's proof of global warning. If it's cooler, it's just weather.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity, manmade global warming to blame

 

[daveman]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity, manmade global warming to blame

Of course. Because adding more energy to a system makes it less energetic.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity, manmade global warming to blame

Of course. Because adding more energy to a system makes it less energetic.

Indubitably.

 

[Two Thumbs]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity, manmade global warming to blame

Of course. Because adding more energy to a system makes it less energetic.

warmers need math classes badly.

this prediction crap isn't working out so hot.

they have been on the wrong end of predictions for ~ 10 years, yet when given some small evidence, like people getting killed in a tornado storm, they climb up on them while they are still warm and caw about how right they were.

We had a great poster that lost family in the second set, and this scum knew about it, yet they kept on going. Never a moments thought for the victims or thier families.

 

[Momanohedhunter]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

Damn. I just need one decent storm so I cam make enough money for a new truck. Just one small one will do.

 

[Two Thumbs]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

Damn. I just need one decent storm so I cam make enough money for a new truck. Just one small one will do.

Knew of a guy that bought a brand new F-150 and a snow plow for it just before that last blizzards. He plowed around the clock. When spring came he dropped the plow in his front yard and put a for sale sign on it.

 

[Two Thumbs]

Where the hell are the usual suspects!?!?!?!?!?!

 

[Momanohedhunter]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

Damn. I just need one decent storm so I cam make enough money for a new truck. Just one small one will do.

Knew of a guy that bought a brand new F-150 and a snow plow for it just before that last blizzards. He plowed around the clock. When spring came he dropped the plow in his front yard and put a for sale sign on it.

Yeah, after Ike we were flush. I dont need that now, but I would like to get ahead and go to school. Damn it cant we warm the globe faster ?

 

[daveman]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity, manmade global warming to blame

Of course. Because adding more energy to a system makes it less energetic.

Indubitably.

That'll be the upshot of the spin, at any rate.

 

[skookerasbil]

2006:

Hurricane Forecast: "Very Active" Season, Five Major Storms Expected

2007:

Above-average Atlantic hurricane season forecast for 2007 - USATODAY.com

2008:

'Well Above-average' Hurricane Season Forecast For 2008

2009:

Forecasters: 2009 to bring 'above average' hurricane season - CNN

2010:

Forecast Team at Colorado State University Predicts Above-Average 2010 Hurricane Season - News & Information - Colorado State University


Reality doesn't cooperate with the Chicken Littles.

It never has.

Remember all those record temps we are supposed to be having?
6/27/11 and I haven't turned my AC on. It's nice outside.

funny.....was just thinking that today............

Here in New York..........temps have consistently been in the low 80's except for one or two days. I remember back in the 90's having lots of 90+ days in May here. Well......it does correlate with what scientists have been saying.......that the earth has been cooling since 1998.


But watch.......the first heat wave here in New York, every fcukking k00k will be on the "its the end of the world as we know it" theme!!



Well Dave........this is just more bad news for the k00ks. Every week, they are getting kicked in the balls...........and I have to admit. Im laughing my balls off.


Hey Dave......you see the other day bro? Turns out Old Rocks spends his days at work in the fcukking dark, inspecting furnaces with a flashlight!! No wonder the guy is miserable and jealous about everybody else's success. All the k00ks have that some common denominator........they have to blame others for making dumbass personal decisions in their lives.

 

[daveman]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity, manmade global warming to blame

Of course. Because adding more energy to a system makes it less energetic.

warmers need math classes badly.

this prediction crap isn't working out so hot.

they have been on the wrong end of predictions for ~ 10 years, yet when given some small evidence, like people getting killed in a tornado storm, they climb up on them while they are still warm and caw about how right they were.

We had a great poster that lost family in the second set, and this scum knew about it, yet they kept on going. Never a moments thought for the victims or thier families.

That's because they don't actually give a damn about people. All they care about is political power.

 

[daveman]

Where the hell are the usual suspects!?!?!?!?!?!

Waiting for the talking points from their masters.

 

[RollingThunder]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

LOLOL....I see you denier dingbats are as gullible as ever.

This is being spun the same way that deniers try to spin the massive loss of Arctic sea ice by merging it with the AGW caused growth of Antarctic sea ice to claim that sea ice amounts are "globally stable or even growing".

2010 was actually a very active year in the Atlantic basin but a less than average year in the Pacific basin in terms of sheer numbers, due largely to the suppressing effect of La Nina, but including a tie for the strongest eastern Pacific hurricane on record (Celia) and a category 5 hurricane hitting the Philippines (Megi).


Extremely Active Atlantic Hurricane Season was a 'Gentle Giant' for U.S.

NOAA's Prediction for Active Season Realized; Slow Eastern Pacific Season Sets Record
November 29, 2010

According to NOAA the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which ends tomorrow, was one of the busiest on record. In contrast, the eastern North Pacific season had the fewest storms on record since the satellite era began.

In the Atlantic Basin a total of 19 named storms formed – tied with 1887 and 1995 for third highest on record. Of those, 12 became hurricanes – tied with 1969 for second highest on record. Five of those reached major hurricane status of Category 3 or higher.

These totals are within the ranges predicted in NOAA's seasonal outlooks issued on May 27 (14-23 named storms; 8-14 hurricanes; 3-7 major hurricanes) and August 5 (14-20 named storms; 8-12 hurricanes; 4-6 major hurricanes). An average Atlantic season produces 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

Large-scale climate features strongly influenced this year's hurricane activity, as they often do. This year, record warm Atlantic waters, combined with the favorable winds coming off Africa and weak wind shear aided by La Niña energized developing storms. The 2010 season continues the string of active hurricane seasons that began in 1995.

Hurricanes Karl, Igor and Julia (from left to right on Sept. 16) were part of the onslaught of Atlantic storms this season.
Download here (Credit: NOAA)

But short-term weather patterns dictate where storms actually travel and in many cases this season, that was away from the United States. The jet stream's position contributed to warm and dry conditions in the eastern U.S. and acted as a barrier that kept many storms over open water. Also, because many storms formed in the extreme eastern Atlantic, they re-curved back out to sea without threatening land.

"As NOAA forecasters predicted, the Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most active on record, though fortunately most storms avoided the U.S. For that reason, you could say the season was a gentle giant," said Jack Hayes, Ph.D., director of NOAA's National Weather Service.

Other parts of the Atlantic basin weren't as fortunate. Hurricane Tomas brought heavy rain to earthquake-ravaged Haiti, and several storms, including Alex, battered eastern Mexico and Central America with heavy rain, mudslides and deadly flooding.

Though La Niña helped to enhance the Atlantic hurricane season, it also suppressed storms from forming and strengthening in the eastern North Pacific. Of that region's seven named storms this year, three grew into hurricanes and two of those became major hurricanes. This is the fewest named storms (previous record low was eight in 1977) and the fewest hurricanes (previous record low was four in 1969, 1970, 1977 and 2007) on record since the satellite era began in the mid-1960s. An average eastern North Pacific season produces 15 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes.

 

[skookerasbil]

 

[skookerasbil]

New Paper: Maue (2011) Recent historically low global tropical cyclone activity:

During the past 6-years since Hurricane Katrina, global tropical cyclone frequency and energy have decreased dramatically, and are currently at near-historical record lows. According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.
Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

LOLOL....I see you denier dingbats are as gullible as ever.

This is being spun the same way that deniers try to spin the massive loss of Arctic sea ice by merging it with the AGW caused growth of Antarctic sea ice to claim that sea ice amounts are "globally stable or even growing".

2010 was actually a very active year in the Atlantic basin but a less than average year in the Pacific basin in terms of sheer numbers, due largely to the suppressing effect of La Nina, but including a tie for the strongest eastern Pacific hurricane on record (Celia) and a category 5 hurricane hitting the Philippines (Megi).


Extremely Active Atlantic Hurricane Season was a 'Gentle Giant' for U.S.

NOAA's Prediction for Active Season Realized; Slow Eastern Pacific Season Sets Record
November 29, 2010

According to NOAA the 2010 Atlantic hurricane season, which ends tomorrow, was one of the busiest on record. In contrast, the eastern North Pacific season had the fewest storms on record since the satellite era began.

In the Atlantic Basin a total of 19 named storms formed – tied with 1887 and 1995 for third highest on record. Of those, 12 became hurricanes – tied with 1969 for second highest on record. Five of those reached major hurricane status of Category 3 or higher.

These totals are within the ranges predicted in NOAA's seasonal outlooks issued on May 27 (14-23 named storms; 8-14 hurricanes; 3-7 major hurricanes) and August 5 (14-20 named storms; 8-12 hurricanes; 4-6 major hurricanes). An average Atlantic season produces 11 named storms, six hurricanes and two major hurricanes.

Large-scale climate features strongly influenced this year's hurricane activity, as they often do. This year, record warm Atlantic waters, combined with the favorable winds coming off Africa and weak wind shear aided by La Niña energized developing storms. The 2010 season continues the string of active hurricane seasons that began in 1995.

Hurricanes Karl, Igor and Julia (from left to right on Sept. 16) were part of the onslaught of Atlantic storms this season.
Download here (Credit: NOAA)

But short-term weather patterns dictate where storms actually travel and in many cases this season, that was away from the United States. The jet stream's position contributed to warm and dry conditions in the eastern U.S. and acted as a barrier that kept many storms over open water. Also, because many storms formed in the extreme eastern Atlantic, they re-curved back out to sea without threatening land.

"As NOAA forecasters predicted, the Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most active on record, though fortunately most storms avoided the U.S. For that reason, you could say the season was a gentle giant," said Jack Hayes, Ph.D., director of NOAA's National Weather Service.

Other parts of the Atlantic basin weren't as fortunate. Hurricane Tomas brought heavy rain to earthquake-ravaged Haiti, and several storms, including Alex, battered eastern Mexico and Central America with heavy rain, mudslides and deadly flooding.

Though La Niña helped to enhance the Atlantic hurricane season, it also suppressed storms from forming and strengthening in the eastern North Pacific. Of that region's seven named storms this year, three grew into hurricanes and two of those became major hurricanes. This is the fewest named storms (previous record low was eight in 1977) and the fewest hurricanes (previous record low was four in 1969, 1970, 1977 and 2007) on record since the satellite era began in the mid-1960s. An average eastern North Pacific season produces 15 named storms, nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes.

s0n.........not sure if you you might be hampered by a plate in your head, but not for nothing, you and the handful of k00ks who troll the BS in here are getting your clocks cleaned by Ian, West, Wire, Frank and Dave et. al.......I mean, sometimes, I even feel bad for you guys. Go check the ledger sheet on this forum..........anybody who would wander in this forum as an open minded person is going to say to themselves, "Shit......who knew this climate change stuff was all contrived BS??!!!". Anybody who didnt draw that conclusion would also be a person who believes, "Of course OJ was innocent!!!"

 

[daveman]

LOLOL....I see you denier dingbats are as gullible as ever.

If I were gullible, I'd be on your side.

This is being spun the same way that deniers try to spin the massive loss of Arctic sea ice by merging it with the AGW caused growth of Antarctic sea ice to claim that sea ice amounts are "globally stable or even growing".

"AGW caused growth of Antarctic sea ice"?



You might want to read the OP again. I can tell you didn't.

According to a new peer-reviewed research paper accepted to be published, only 69 tropical storms were observed globally during 2010, the fewest in almost 40-years of reliable records.

Furthermore, when each storm's intensity and duration were taken into account, the total global tropical cyclone accumulated energy (ACE) was found to have fallen by half to the lowest level since 1977.​

Fewer storms, less energy.

Of course, if someone is dumb enough to claim Antarctic sea ice growth is caused by global warming, they're dumb enough to claim that adding more energy to a system will make it less energetic.

And you're dumb enough.