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No, I'm simply confirming that you don't know what you're talking about.
You could just answer the question.....
^ That just confirms you're stupid...
Must be the math they use in blue states...
You seem to be avoiding the question. I don't blame ya.
Now again what should an accurate sample from each party be?
Reagan led in every major poll during the last week of the election, and virtually everyone in the two weeks leading up to Nov 4:Heading into the general election in 1980 Carter was up on Reagan by about 7 points.... how'd that work out?
^ That just confirms you're stupid...
Must be the math they use in blue states...
You seem to be avoiding the question. I don't blame ya.
Now again what should an accurate sample from each party be?
It should be even in terms of strong support for each party
So you believe a split of 33.3% dems, 33.3% reps and 33.3% I's is a representative sample of the US voting-age population?You seem to be avoiding the question. I don't blame ya.
Now again what should an accurate sample from each party be?
I don't answer obvious questions - waste of time... The numbers were right in front of you...
With a sample of registered voters, an even split of R/D/I...
As stated before, it's not a very reliable source... It's what polling firms use when their clients don't want to spend the $ for an LV poll...
How did you arrive at that?
Should polls weight a sample as 25% black, 25% white, 25% Asian, 25% hispanic?
are you ADHD?Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?
What is the actual breakdown of Dems and Republicans in the nation right now - and how did you arrive at your numbers?
Registered voters don't always vote... Getting someone to register is easier than getting them to come out and pull a lever...
Look at Wisconsin and the recall... Lots of registered democratics stayed home or voted Walker... Lots more registered R's came out in droves... Thats why polling before the election showed a close race yet Walker won easily...
Thats what the numbers represent, yes...are you ADHD?Anyone? Anyone? Bueller?
What is the actual breakdown of Dems and Republicans in the nation right now - and how did you arrive at your numbers?
Registered voters don't always vote... Getting someone to register is easier than getting them to come out and pull a lever...
Look at Wisconsin and the recall... Lots of registered democratics stayed home or voted Walker... Lots more registered R's came out in droves... Thats why polling before the election showed a close race yet Walker won easily...
But that's not what you said. You said a segment (I presume Dems) were oversampled.
In a RV poll, you don't get that... You have to pay more for that...How would you know what the population breakdown is in order to determine the proper sample?
NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead
Reagan led in every major poll during the last week of the election, and virtually everyone in the two weeks leading up to Nov 4:Heading into the general election in 1980 Carter was up on Reagan by about 7 points.... how'd that work out?
http://www.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf
NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead
Does ANYbody believe anything "reported" anymore by NBC?
Thats what the numbers represent, yes...[/quote]But that's not what you said. You said a segment (I presume Dems) were oversampled.
In a RV poll, you don't get that... You have to pay more for that...How would you know what the population breakdown is in order to determine the proper sample?
You seem to be avoiding the question. I don't blame ya.
Now again what should an accurate sample from each party be?
It should be even in terms of strong support for each party
What leads you to believe that there is the same percentage of folks strongly supporting each party? How'd you arrive at such a conclusion?
NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead
Does ANYbody believe anything "reported" anymore by NBC?
Reagan led in every major poll during the last week of the election, and virtually everyone in the two weeks leading up to Nov 4:Heading into the general election in 1980 Carter was up on Reagan by about 7 points.... how'd that work out?
http://www.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf
There is no real way to know, but any poll done over the last few years puts those who consider themselves repubs and dems at around 30 percent each.
I'm no pollster but more polls end up being wrong then right.
NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead
Does ANYbody believe anything "reported" anymore by NBC?
Wall Street Journal.
Reagan led in every major poll during the last week of the election, and virtually everyone in the two weeks leading up to Nov 4:Heading into the general election in 1980 Carter was up on Reagan by about 7 points.... how'd that work out?
http://www.amstat.org/sections/srms/Proceedings/papers/1981_011.pdf
Nov 1980, Gallup Pre-Election Poll
Carter 44%
Reagan 41%
General Election Polls: A History of Inaccuracy - Yahoo! Voices - voices.yahoo.com
There is no real way to know, but any poll done over the last few years puts those who consider themselves repubs and dems at around 30 percent each.
No, a poll done at the exact same time as the one mentioned above found a breakdown identical to this poll, using the exact same random sampling process!
Why would you trust some other poll more than the one done concurrent with this one?
I'm no pollster but more polls end up being wrong then right.
virtually every poll taken in the few days prior to the 2008 election was within the MoE - and of course, we fully expect approximately one out of every 20 to be outside that MoE.
Does ANYbody believe anything "reported" anymore by NBC?
Wall Street Journal.
SO?
If the "sample" still is overly weighted with Dims, then adding the name of the WSJ doesn't cover it with anything credible.
