NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead

Discussion in 'Politics' started by Rinata, Aug 22, 2012.

  1. Rinata
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    Rinata Gold Member

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    After Mitt Romney selected his vice presidential running mate, and just days before the political conventions kick off next week, President Barack Obama maintains his advantage in the race for the White House, according to the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.

    A Democratic ticket featuring Obama and Vice President Joe Biden gets support from 48 percent of registered voters, and a Republican ticket of Romney and new running mate Paul Ryan gets 44 percent.

    These numbers are only slightly changed from July, when Obama led Romney by six points in the survey, 49 percent to 43 percent, suggesting a minimal bounce for Romney (if at all) after this month’s Ryan pick.

    “The election has moved from a referendum to a choice,” says Democratic pollster Peter D. Hart, who conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff. “Mitt Romney is starting to accumulate a number of negatives on the personal front and issues front.”

    Looking ahead to next week’s Republican convention, which begins on Monday in Tampa, Fla., Hart adds: “Mitt Romney has a lot of repair work to do with his image.”

    NBC/WSJ poll: Heading into conventions, Obama has four-point lead - First Read
     
  2. Mr.Nick
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    Mr.Nick VIP Member

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    Polls don't mean anything......

    If you polled this site you would find Romney beating Obama by 75%.....

    If you polled Huffo you would find Obama beating Romney by 75%....
     
  3. Wolfsister77
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    Wolfsister77 Knowledge Is Power Supporting Member

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    I think it shows Romney as not being very likeable, Obama with work to do on getting above 50%, and not much bounce from Ryan.

    Also, people's minds are basically made up but maybe can be swayed a little by the debates.

    Obama also has an electoral advantage and that hasn't changed or has grown.
     
  4. tjvh
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    tjvh Senior Member

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    Four point lead huh? Obama isn't doing very good then. This from the link:
    Strong Democrat ............................................... 24
    Not very strong Democrat ................................. 10
    Independent/lean Democrat .............................. 11
    Strictly Independent .......................................... 13
    Independent/lean Republican ............................ 12
    Not very strong Republican ............................... 9
    Strong Republican ............................................. 18
    Other (VOL) ....................................................... 3
    Not sure ........................................................... 1
    + Results shown reflect responses among registered voters.
     
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  5. 8537
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    8537 Senior Member

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    What's the problem with those numbers?
     
  6. Leweman
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    Leweman Gold Member

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    It over samples dems by at least 6 points and also they were taken in August and the election is in November.
     
  7. Dr.House
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    Dr.House Lives on in syndication!

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    Barry should be up by more than 4 with that level of oversampling...

    Yikes...
     
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  8. 8537
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    8537 Senior Member

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    Really? What is the actual breakdown of Dems and Republicans in the nation right now - and how did you arrive at your numbers?
     
  9. 8537
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    8537 Senior Member

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    What leads you to believe it was over-sampled?
     
  10. Katzndogz
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    Katzndogz Diamond Member

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    Democrats miss the irony.

    obama will win because someone with a record this bad and it's still a statistical dead heat means victory.
     

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