Discussion in 'Politics' started by Dick Tuck, May 24, 2012.
Six points in Ohio is huge.
NBC/Marist Poll: Obama With Narrow Leads In Ohio, Florida And Virginia
any one of those hold for Obama, Romney is done.
But there's a long way to go yet ...
Small sample polls at this stage of the game (or at any time, if you ask me) mean nothing in reality... we'll see people on both sides posting polls all over the place until the time comes about when the only true poll happens and brings about whatever result is in store
48 percent to 42 percent.
That adds up to 90% of the registered voter, many who will not vote again if disappointed in the incumbent.
The other 10% undecideds? They swing en masse to the challenger in Presidential elections when a POTUS polls under 50% approval.
Right now, Owebama is getting his ass kicked in Ohio.
You are, of course 100% right. But it is interesting to watch the ebb and flow.
Funny, the latest Quinnipiac poll I saw in the paper today had Romney with a 7 point lead in Florida. Pick your poll, I guess. It's going to come down to who people think has a plan to get the economy going again and get people back to work. Barry's plan seems to be to let the Bush tax cuts expire. Not sure why he thinks that's going to improve the economy but it's pretty obvious that getting reelected is his number one priority not fixing the economy or putting people back to work.
Six points is not huge, but at this point, I do not see Romney getting over the hump in Ohio. The auto industry is big in Ohio, and Obama saved Chrysler and GM, which saved a lot of jobs here, while the Republicans were saying we should let those companies go belly up.
why is it Obamabots claim polls are meaningless, UNTIL those polls say something the Obamabots like?
Six points in May is not huge. Six points this fall would be pretty darn big.
But Ohio in itself is huge - especially for Romney. Obama can cut a path to 270 that doesn't include Ohio. It wouldn't be an easy path, but it's there. Romney really doesn't have much of a realistic path without it. Yeah, it's theoretically possible ... but not very realistic.
Actually the last time around it was fairly easy to see that Obama was going to win based on polling.
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